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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / QVCG / options
SFIX (19) TDUP (27) DDL (53) HNST (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.59 +10.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.71

QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $345.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is QVCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, QVC Group Inc. (NASDAQ: QVCG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $7.59 (+10.00% 1D, market cap $345.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QVCG ranks #827 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QVCG compare to SFIX and TDUP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), QVCG carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SFIX (Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.9%, cap $360.7M) and TDUP (ThredUp Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $273.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QVCG?
β–Ό

Per QVCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001254699), QVC Group Inc. generated $8.29B in revenue (-7.8% YoY), -$2.17B in net income, and $419.0M in free cash flow against $8.46B in total assets and $1.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.71 (+1.61%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 5.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510033
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$21 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE QVCG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QVCG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY QVCG SCORES 33/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 6% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 22.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.1% FCF Margin ($419.0M FCF) & 33.6% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$11.18-22.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$8.62-12.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$7.52+0.9% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$7.59-8.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ E (33)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a QVCG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While QVCG currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.12) and Max Pain ($7.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.00.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QVCGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œQVCG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (QVCG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for QVCG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring QVCG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of QVCG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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QVCG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -61.06%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.58H $7.59L $6.90C $7.59VOL 208.5K
RES: $10.68SUP: $5.78SMA50: $13.12SMA200: $13.62
$20.92$17.10$13.27$9.44$5.61RES $10.68SUP $5.78$7.592026-08-102026-08-312026-09-222026-10-132026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QVCG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ QVCG Butterfly Map β†’ + Track QVCG β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QVCG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QVCG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QVCG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QVCG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #827 of 1009 βš”οΈ SFIX vs QVCG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (QVCG vs. SFIX, TDUP, DDL, HNST)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) ranks #827 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #631 by equity capitalization ($345.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DDL leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while DDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. DDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with QVCG at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QVCG ACTIVE
QVC Group Inc.
E 33/100 β€” 33.6% -35.0% +10.00% $345.0M Benchmark Subject
SFIX
Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)
E 19/100 β€” 44.4% -33.9% +3.33% $360.7M /sfix-vs-qvcg β†’
TDUP
ThredUp Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 β€” 79.4% -35.0% +0.48% $273.2M /tdup-vs-qvcg β†’
DDL
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (each two representing three )
D+ 53/100 13.8x β€” 65.3% +2.13% $444.1M /ddl-vs-qvcg β†’
HNST
The Honest Company Inc.
D 48/100 β€” 33.3% -18.2% +3.12% $447.4M /hnst-vs-qvcg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001254699 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) reported GAAP revenue of $8.29B (-7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.00B , and -12.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.17B, operating cash flow of $419.0M, and free cash flow of $419.0M (-21.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, QVCG closed FY2025 with $8.46B in total assets against $1.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.29B -$2.17B $419.0M $419.0M $8.46B $1.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.00B -$1.07B $535.0M $535.0M $9.89B $3.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.45B $159.0M $1.09B $1.09B β€” β€”

3. QVCG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QVCG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, QVC Group Inc. (NASDAQ: QVCG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $7.59 (+10.00% 1D, market cap $345.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QVCG ranks #827 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QVCG compare to SFIX and TDUP in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), QVCG carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SFIX (Stitch Fix Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.9%, cap $360.7M) and TDUP (ThredUp Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $273.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DDL leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while DDL leads on capital efficiency (65.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QVCG?

Per QVCG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001254699), QVC Group Inc. generated $8.29B in revenue (-7.8% YoY), -$2.17B in net income, and $419.0M in free cash flow against $8.46B in total assets and $1.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QVCG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QVCG last traded at $7.59 (+10.00% on volume of 130,781 shares), positioning the stock -42.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.12) and -44.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.62). Across its 52-week range of $6.80 to $20.00, QVCG sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($6.64 to $8.54).

Direct Sub-Reports: QVCG RQD Cockpit QVCG 12M Forecast QVCG Earnings & Move QVCG Dividends & DRIP QVCG Insiders & 13F QVCG Whale Options QVCG Profit Sankey QVCG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 33/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

QVCG β€” QVC Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $7.59 (+10.00% 1D, market capitalization $345.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 33.6%, operating margin of -24.3%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

QVC Group Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. Per the market data, gross margin is 33.6%, indicating that the company retains a portion of revenue after cost of goods.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) reported $8.29B in annual revenue (up from $9.00B in FY2024, -7.8% YoY) and -$2.17B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.45B revenue, $159.0M net income) through FY2025, QVCG scaled operating cash flow to $419.0M and free cash flow to $419.0M, backed by $8.46B in total assets against $1.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $6.80 – $20.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -24.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary classification. The sector correlation cannot be quantified from the inputs.

  • Key Question #1: Can QVCG sustain or expand its -24.3% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Catalog/Specialty Distribution peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.29B and free cash flow of $419.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is QVCG's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

QVCG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for QVC Group Inc. (QVCG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to QVCG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

QVCG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $7.59?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON QVCG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on QVCG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.93 (+14.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Cash of $1.50B against debt of $1.0M in FY 2025 gives the balance sheet substantial liquidity relative to reported debt.

Cash of $1.50B against debt of $1.0M in FY 2025 gives the balance sheet substantial liquidity relative to reported debt.. When you look under the hood at QVCG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 33.6% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $20.00. My 12M target is $7.93.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Catalog/Specialty Distribution. If gross margin (33.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.38 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $6.90

ROIC of -35% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 indicate weak returns and distress-range forensic balance-sheet metrics.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on QVCG: ROIC of -35% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 indicate weak returns and distress-range forensic balance-sheet metrics.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Catalog/Specialty Distribution triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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