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Stock Ratings / Technology / RDDT / earnings
VRSK (74) IOT (64) VRSN (75) CTSH (83) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Reddit Inc. (RDDT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.7% Move

$91.73 -29.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73

Reddit Inc. (RDDT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $24.93B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RDDT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RDDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Reddit Inc. (NYSE: RDDT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $91.73 (-29.22% 1D, market cap $24.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDDT ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RDDT compare to VRSK and IOT in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RDDT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of 91.2%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, VRSK (Verisk Analytics Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 53.5%, cap $24.82B) and IOT (Samsara Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $24.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while VRSK leads on capital efficiency (53.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDDT?
▼

Per RDDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713445), Reddit Inc. generated $2.20B in revenue (+69.4% YoY), $530.0M in net income, and $684.2M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $139.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (91% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $86.73 (-5.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 31.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Cash (17)Whales (7)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$277 Bull$94 Base$73 Bear
📬 FREE RDDT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDDT SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 31.1% FCF Margin ($684.2M FCF) & 91.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$155.29+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$155.65-12.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$136.46-32.8% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$91.73+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RDDT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, RDDT faces multiple-compression risk if 47.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($149.43) or 200D SMA ($158.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($94.21) toward Bear Floor ($73.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDDT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDDT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.7% Swing Band

±$10.73 Expected Swing
$81.00 (-11.7%)Spot $91.73$102.46 (+11.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RDDT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $2.75 • YoY Revenue Growth: 69.4%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.20B$530.0M$684.2M91.2%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.30B-$484.0M$215.8M90.5%
FY 20232023-12-31$804.0M-$90.8M-$111.3M91.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RDDT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RDDT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
RDDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.74%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $134.7H $134.7L $91.73C $91.73VOL 17.87M
RES: $159.7SUP: $87.86SMA50: $149.4SMA200: $158.4
$216.4$181.9$147.5$113.0$78.59RES $159.7SUP $87.86$91.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RDDT Butterfly Map → + Track RDDT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
34.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +69.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDDT)

Technology Rank #177 of 714 ⚔️ VRSK vs RDDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RDDT vs. VRSK, IOT, VRSN, CTSH)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Reddit Inc. (RDDT) ranks #177 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #99 by equity capitalization ($24.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTSH leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while VRSK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.5% ROIC and 69.9% gross margin. CTSH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with RDDT at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RDDT ACTIVE
Reddit Inc.
C 64/100 47.0x 91.2% 16.6% -29.22% $24.93B Benchmark Subject
VRSK
Verisk Analytics Inc.
B 74/100 27.3x 69.9% 53.5% +2.93% $24.82B /vrsk-vs-rddt →
IOT
Samsara Inc.
C 64/100 — 76.7% -2.1% +1.01% $24.39B /iot-vs-rddt →
VRSN
VeriSign Inc.
B 75/100 33.2x 88.2% 40.3% +0.41% $27.44B /vrsn-vs-rddt →
CTSH
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation
A- 83/100 12.6x — 19.6% +4.14% $28.16B /ctsh-vs-rddt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001713445

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Reddit Inc. (RDDT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.20B (+69.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.30B , and +173.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $530.0M, operating cash flow of $690.9M, and free cash flow of $684.2M (+217.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDDT closed FY2025 with $3.24B in total assets against $139.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.20B $530.0M $690.9M $684.2M $3.24B $139.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.30B -$484.0M $222.1M $215.8M $2.34B $92.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $804.0M -$90.8M -$75.1M -$111.3M $13.71B $3.21B

3. RDDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Reddit Inc. (NYSE: RDDT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $91.73 (-29.22% 1D, market cap $24.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RDDT ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDDT compare to VRSK and IOT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RDDT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of 91.2%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, VRSK (Verisk Analytics Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 53.5%, cap $24.82B) and IOT (Samsara Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $24.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while VRSK leads on capital efficiency (53.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDDT?

Per RDDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713445), Reddit Inc. generated $2.20B in revenue (+69.4% YoY), $530.0M in net income, and $684.2M in free cash flow against $3.24B in total assets and $139.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (91% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDDT last traded at $91.73 (-29.22% on volume of 33,411,631 shares), positioning the stock -38.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($149.43) and -42.08% below its 200-day simple moving average ($158.37). Across its 52-week range of $89.28 to $263.50, RDDT sits at the 1.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($81.00 to $102.46).

RDDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RDDT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Reddit Inc. (RDDT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is RDDT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.7% event move for RDDT, spanning a range between $81 and $102.46.

Direct Sub-Reports: RDDT RQD Cockpit RDDT 12M Forecast RDDT Earnings & Move RDDT Dividends & DRIP RDDT Insiders & 13F RDDT Whale Options RDDT Profit Sankey RDDT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RDDT — Reddit Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:56Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RDDT scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 16.6% and an FCF yield of 2.74%. Strong returns on capital are offset by a modest free-cash-flow yield at the current price, meaning the market is paying a high multiple for each dollar of cash generated.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates limited evidence of sustained large-holder accumulation in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A mid-range score suggests insider activity is neither a clear confidence signal nor a clear warning.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.42, implying the stock tends to move more than the broader market. Investors should expect amplified moves in both directions during market stress.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 26, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.04. This is the strongest pillar, indicating low balance-sheet risk.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a business with a sound balance sheet and high returns on capital, but a stock priced richly relative to near-term cash generation, with weak institutional-flow confirmation and above-market volatility. The verdict is a balanced risk-reward profile rather than a clear upside or downside case. This is an educational framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
129.6$24.93B4739.553.92.750%1.42$89.28 - $263.516.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2202.5M$442.0M$530.0MN/A$684.2M$953.6M$139.6M
FY 2024$1300.2M$-560.6M$-484.0MN/A$215.8M$562.1M$92.6M
FY 2023$804.0M$-140.2M$-90.8MN/A$-111.3MN/A$3209.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $804.0M in FY 2023 to $2202.5M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss to $442.0M over that span. Per the market data, operating margin is 20.1% and ROIC is 16.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.04, indicating a strong balance-sheet posture. Reported debt fell from $3209.1M in FY 2023 to $139.6M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, coverage on the most recent sessions is largely negative for the stock:

  • A CNBC report (RISK WATCH) titled with the theme of weak sales guidance and a planned login-requirement test, tied to shrinking Google search traffic.
  • A Reuters report (MARKET WIRE) attributing pressure to Google's AI search reducing traffic.
  • A Barron's report (RISK WATCH) on the stock's reaction following earnings.
  • An Investor's Business Daily report (MARKET WIRE) describing the stock as heading toward its worst single-day decline.
  • Yahoo Finance (MARKET WIRE) and TradingView (MARKET WIRE) reports on the stock's trading action.

Per the market data, the stock closed with a change of -3.79% and traded 17,872,359 shares. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals recorded.

Open Questions

  • What share of revenue comes from search-referred traffic versus other sources, and how exposed is that share to the Google search changes cited in the news wire?
  • What is the stated basis for the weak sales guidance referenced in recent coverage, and what magnitude is implied?
  • What drove the $3209.1M debt in FY 2023 and how was it reduced to $139.6M?
  • What do the FY 2025 EPS and per-share figures look like, since EPS is listed as N/A in every reported period?
  • What is the institutional and insider holder composition behind the Pillar 2 and Pillar 3 scores?

RDDT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Reddit Inc. (RDDT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RDDT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RDDT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $91.73?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RDDT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RDDT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $139.97 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RDDT (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $129.60?

Welcome to the RDDT (Reddit Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in EDP Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (47.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $99.79 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $129.60

Pump the brakes on RDDT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RDDT, but look at what you are paying: 47.0x trailing P/E with 91.2% gross margins. Unless Reddit Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $150.34 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $129.60

RDDT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RDDT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $129.60 (52-wk range $89.28 - $263.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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