Yahoo Finance report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why RDN Stock advanced +1.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Radian Group Inc. (RDN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is RDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $36.17 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $4.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, RDN ranks #413 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RDN compare to WTM and MCY in the Financials sector?
▼
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), RDN carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, WTM (White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $5.42B) and MCY (Mercury General Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 22.4%, cap $5.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WTM leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while MCY leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDN?
▼
Per RDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000890926), Radian Group Inc. generated $1.20B in revenue (-0.8% YoY), $582.6M in net income, and $66.0M in free cash flow against $8.12B in total assets and $1.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)
Capital intensity & 52% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RDN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, RDN faces multiple-compression risk if 8.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.76) or 200D SMA ($35.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($36.33) toward Bear Floor ($28.34).
Why RDN Stock advanced +1.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Radian Group Inc. (RDN) advanced +1.77% to $36.17, trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($30.53 – $41.05). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 54% of its 52-week range ($30.53 – $41.05) with RSI-14 at 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.8% around $36.17 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $66.0M annual free cash flow.
ChartMill report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Fidelity National Financial (FNF) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RDN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDN)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RDN vs. WTM, MCY, MTG, SIGI)
Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Radian Group Inc. (RDN) ranks #413 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #282 by equity capitalization ($4.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WTM leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while MCY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.4% ROIC and — gross margin. SIGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with RDN at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDN
ACTIVE
Radian Group Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 8.1x | — | 9.1% | +1.77% | $4.70B | Benchmark Subject |
| WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd. | B- | 70/100 | 4.8x | — | 16.4% | +2.09% | $5.42B | /wtm-vs-rdn → |
| MCY Mercury General Corporation | B | 72/100 | 10.5x | — | 22.4% | +1.28% | $5.67B | /mcy-vs-rdn → |
| MTG MGIC Investment Corporation | B | 72/100 | 8.0x | — | 13.2% | +1.87% | $5.83B | /mtg-vs-rdn → |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc. | B | 74/100 | 12.6x | — | 6.8% | +1.95% | $5.83B | /sigi-vs-rdn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000890926 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Radian Group Inc. (RDN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.20B (-0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.21B , and +1.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $582.6M, operating cash flow of $119.9M, and free cash flow of $66.0M (+109.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDN closed FY2025 with $8.12B in total assets against $1.50B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.20B | $582.6M | $119.9M | $66.0M | $8.12B | $1.50B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.21B | $604.4M | -$663.6M | -$717.9M | $8.69B | $1.83B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.18B | $603.1M | $529.4M | $476.5M | $2.60B | $607.5M |
3. RDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $36.17 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $4.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, RDN ranks #413 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RDN compare to WTM and MCY in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), RDN carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, WTM (White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $5.42B) and MCY (Mercury General Corporation) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 10.5x, ROIC 22.4%, cap $5.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WTM leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while MCY leads on capital efficiency (22.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDN?
Per RDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000890926), Radian Group Inc. generated $1.20B in revenue (-0.8% YoY), $582.6M in net income, and $66.0M in free cash flow against $8.12B in total assets and $1.50B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RDN last traded at $36.17 (+1.77% on volume of 864,334 shares), positioning the stock +4.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.76) and +2.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.25). Across its 52-week range of $30.53 to $41.05, RDN sits at the 53.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($34.43 to $37.91).
RDN — Radian Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Radian Group Inc. (RDN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $36.17 (+1.77% 1D, market capitalization $4.70B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 59.4%, and free cash flow yield of 1.40%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.92x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Radian Group Inc. (RDN) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Property-Casualty Insurers industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $4.70B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 59.4%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.1% (free cash flow yield of 1.4%). Within the Property-Casualty Insurers peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Radian Group Inc. (RDN) reported $1.20B in annual revenue (up from $1.21B in FY2024, -0.8% YoY) and $582.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.18B revenue, $603.1M net income) through FY2025, RDN scaled operating cash flow to $119.9M and free cash flow to $66.0M, backed by $8.12B in total assets against $1.50B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.40% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $30.53 – $41.05 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 8.1x trailing P/E and 8.1x EV/EBITDA against 59.4% operating margins and a 0.92x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Property-Casualty Insurers (Financials), RDN carries a macro regime beta of 0.92 and gross margin of —.
- Key Question #1: Can RDN sustain or expand its 59.4% operating margin and 9.1% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.20B and free cash flow of $66.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.50B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is RDN's 7.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.92x)?
RDN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Radian Group Inc. (RDN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ChartMill report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Radian Group Inc. (RDN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RDN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.17?
Trades at 8.1x trailing earnings with a 59.4% operating margin and a sound balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.
The street is overcomplicating Radian Group Inc. (RDN). Trades at 8.1x trailing earnings with a 59.4% operating margin and a sound balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5).. With an RQD score of 59/100 (C-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $38.38.
@ForensicBear Fair point on 8.1x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Property-Casualty Insurers. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Thin 1.4% FCF yield and negative FY 2024 free cash flow of -$717.9M undercut the cash-generation case despite low multiples.
Careful chasing RDN at $35.54. Thin 1.4% FCF yield and negative FY 2024 free cash flow of -$717.9M undercut the cash-generation case despite low multiples.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 59.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $27.37 on multiple compression.