MARKET WIREYahoo Finance Singapore • 21h ago
Redwire Corporation (RDW) stock price, news, quote and historyYahoo Finance Singapore report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why RDW Stock dropped -6.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$7.83 -6.67% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.72
Redwire Corporation (RDW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $2.10B
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Is RDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $7.83 (-6.67% 1D, market cap $2.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, RDW ranks #396 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does RDW compare to AADX and DCO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), RDW carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.2%, and ROIC of -17.4%. By comparison, AADX (Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.92B) and DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDW?
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Per RDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819810), Redwire Corporation generated $335.4M in revenue (+10.3% YoY), -$226.6M in net income, and -$190.8M in free cash flow against $1.45B in total assets and $80.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.72 (-1.39%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDW SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.59 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (19% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 5.2% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$8.62-0.7% Next Q
39
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$8.56+5.3% Next Q
36
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$9.01-13.1% Next Q
34
CurrentGrade E$7.83-9.4% Hist 90D α
31
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RDW Turnaround Squeeze
While RDW currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.04) and Max Pain ($8.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.97.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why RDW Stock dropped -6.67% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Redwire Corporation (RDW) dropped -6.67% to $7.83, trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($4.87 – $26.64). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-17% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 14% of its 52-week range ($4.87 – $26.64) with RSI-14 at 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 5.2% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RDW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREThe Motley Fool • 1d ago
Could Investing $5,000 in Redwire Stock Make You a Millionaire?The Motley Fool report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStockInvest.us • 1d ago
Redwire Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy RDW?StockInvest.us report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Stock Forecast & Analyst PredictionsSimply Wall St report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHMarketBeat • 1d ago
Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Stock Falls 3.6% - Here's WhyMarketBeat report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREQuiver Quantitative • 1d ago
Why Redwire (RDW) Stock Is Down TodayQuiver Quantitative report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTBenzinga • 1d ago
Redwire Deepens European Presence with EnduroSat PartnershipBenzinga report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
You Can Do Better Than SpaceX: 2 Industrial Stocks to Buy InsteadSpaceX gets the headlines, but Rocket Lab and Redwire offer other ways to invest in the space boom, with very different valuations and risks.
CATALYSTBenzinga • 1d ago
Redwire In Play Ahead of Earnings: Here’s What Investors Need to KnowRedwire shares are in the spotlight Monday ahead of earnings, with backlog growth, gross margins and improving technical momentum in focus.
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Partnership Deal Could Change The Case For Redwire StockRedwire Corporation and EnduroSat recently signed a memorandum of understanding to combine Redwire’s power systems and prime contractor experience with EnduroSat’s high-volume spacecraft manufacturing for European defenc
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDW)
- ✓Walkthrough of RDW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.38%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $9.16H $9.16L $7.83C $7.83VOL 11.93M
RES: $9.95SUP: $7.33SMA50: $10.04SMA200: $11.05
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
RDW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +10.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDW today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDW)
Industrials Rank #396 of 486
⚔️ AADX vs RDW Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (RDW vs. AADX, DCO, ATRO, VOYG)
Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Redwire Corporation (RDW) ranks #396 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #206 by equity capitalization ($2.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with RDW at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDW
ACTIVE
Redwire Corporation | E | 31/100 | — | 5.2% | -17.4% | -6.67% | $2.10B | Benchmark Subject |
| AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc. | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | -0.18% | $1.92B | /aadx-vs-rdw → |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | D- | 37/100 | — | 26.9% | -3.1% | +2.10% | $2.42B | /dco-vs-rdw → |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | D | 49/100 | 92.1x | 29.9% | 13.2% | +0.94% | $2.55B | /atro-vs-rdw → |
| VOYG Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A) | E | 16/100 | — | 18.0% | -35.0% | -6.96% | $1.64B | /voyg-vs-rdw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819810 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Redwire Corporation (RDW) reported GAAP revenue of $335.4M (+10.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $304.1M , and +37.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$226.6M, operating cash flow of -$177.3M, and free cash flow of -$190.8M (-703.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDW closed FY2025 with $1.45B in total assets against $80.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.59, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $335.4M | -$226.6M | -$177.3M | -$190.8M | $1.45B | $80.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $304.1M | -$114.3M | -$17.3M | -$23.7M | $292.6M | $124.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $243.8M | -$27.3M | $1.2M | -$9.7M | $1.26B | $294.7M |
3. RDW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs RDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Redwire Corporation (NYSE: RDW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $7.83 (-6.67% 1D, market cap $2.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, RDW ranks #396 in composite RQD confidence.
How does RDW compare to AADX and DCO in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), RDW carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.2%, and ROIC of -17.4%. By comparison, AADX (Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.92B) and DCO (Ducommun Incorporated) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDW?
Per RDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819810), Redwire Corporation generated $335.4M in revenue (+10.3% YoY), -$226.6M in net income, and -$190.8M in free cash flow against $1.45B in total assets and $80.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is RDW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
RDW last traded at $7.83 (-6.67% on volume of 12,728,697 shares), positioning the stock -22.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.04) and -29.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.05). Across its 52-week range of $4.87 to $26.64, RDW sits at the 13.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.85 to $8.81).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
RDW — Redwire Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Redwire Corporation (RDW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $7.83 (-6.67% 1D, market capitalization $2.10B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -17.4%, gross margin of 5.2%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -8.33%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.59, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Redwire Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Industrials sector and the Military/Government/Technical industry.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Redwire Corporation (RDW) reported $335.4M in annual revenue (up from $304.1M in FY2024, +10.3% YoY) and -$226.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($243.8M revenue, -$27.3M net income) through FY2025, RDW scaled operating cash flow to -$177.3M and free cash flow to -$190.8M, backed by $1.45B in total assets against $80.0M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -8.33% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.87 – $26.64 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are available in the source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot identify ripple effects from suppliers or customers.
- Key Question #1: Can RDW sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -17.4% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $335.4M and free cash flow of -$190.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $80.0M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is RDW's 31.0x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?
RDW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Redwire Corporation (RDW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 21h ago
Redwire Corporation (RDW) stock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE The Motley Fool • 1d ago
Could Investing $5,000 in Redwire Stock Make You a Millionaire? The Motley Fool report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago
Redwire Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy RDW? StockInvest.us report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago
Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions Simply Wall St report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago
Redwire (NYSE:RDW) Stock Falls 3.6% - Here's Why MarketBeat report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago
Why Redwire (RDW) Stock Is Down Today Quiver Quantitative report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 1d ago
Redwire Deepens European Presence with EnduroSat Partnership Benzinga report covering Redwire Corporation (RDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 1d ago
You Can Do Better Than SpaceX: 2 Industrial Stocks to Buy Instead SpaceX gets the headlines, but Rocket Lab and Redwire offer other ways to invest in the space boom, with very different valuations and risks.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
RDW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.83?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RDW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $10.99 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with Altman Z 3.59, Piotroski F 4/9, and Debt/Equity 0.08 alongside debt reduced from $
Don't sleep on RDW's setup in Industrials. Forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with Altman Z 3.59, Piotroski F 4/9, and Debt/Equity 0.08 alongside debt reduced from $294.7M to $80.0M.. Beta of 0.99 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (31/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL
@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 31.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Military/Government/Technical. If gross margin (5.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $7.22 (-13.9%)
Spot @ $8.39 Negative ROIC of -17.4%, FCF yield of -8.33%, and FY 2025 net loss of -$226.6M leave the cash engine and sentiment pillars scoring 5 to
Fading this rally in RDW at $8.39. Negative ROIC of -17.4%, FCF yield of -8.33%, and FY 2025 net loss of -$226.6M leave the cash engine and sentiment pillars scoring 5 to 6 out of 20.. With a beta of 0.99 and the stock sitting at $8.39 (52-wk range $4.87–$26.64), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.