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Radware Ltd. (RDWR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$32.64 -5.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.25

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RDWR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RDWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Radware Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDWR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $32.64 (-5.61% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RDWR ranks #370 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RDWR compare to LQDT and NUTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RDWR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.5x, gross margin of 80.7%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.40B) and NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) posts a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDWR?
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Per RDWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094366), Radware Ltd. generated $301.9M in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $20.3M in net income, and $41.6M in free cash flow against $671.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.25 (-1.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 13.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (9)Whales (16)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$40 Bull$33 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE RDWR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RDWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RDWR SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$29.36-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$29.33+21% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$35.50-8.1% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$32.64+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RDWR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, RDWR faces multiple-compression risk if 76.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.12) or 200D SMA ($27.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.64) toward Bear Floor ($25.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RDWR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RDWR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your RDWR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $32.64: 306.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $25.46
$7,800
$-2,200 (-22.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $32.64
$10,000
+$0 (+0.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $40.43
$12,387
+$2,387 (+23.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$2958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RDWR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RDWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RDWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.87%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $36.64H $36.64L $32.64C $32.64VOL 1.17M
RES: $38.75SUP: $26.22SMA50: $30.12SMA200: $27.87
$39.57$35.12$30.67$26.22$21.77RES $38.75SUP $26.22$32.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RDWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RDWR Butterfly Map → + Track RDWR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RDWR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RDWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RDWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RDWR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #370 of 1009 ⚔️ LQDT vs RDWR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RDWR vs. LQDT, NUTX, RSKD, WU)

Industry: Business Services (88 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Radware Ltd. (RDWR) ranks #370 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #459 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WU leads on earnings valuation at 3.9x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with RDWR at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RDWR ACTIVE
Radware Ltd.
D+ 58/100 76.5x 80.7% 3.7% -5.61% $1.46B Benchmark Subject
LQDT
Liquidity Services Inc.
B 73/100 50.5x 43.8% 12.9% +0.05% $1.40B /lqdt-vs-rdwr →
NUTX
Nutex Health Inc.
A- 84/100 20.3x 50.8% 85.0% -7.27% $1.37B /nutx-vs-rdwr →
RSKD
Riskified Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 54/100 — 51.7% -20.3% -1.05% $1.17B /rskd-vs-rdwr →
WU
Western Union Company
D+ 52/100 3.9x 34.3% 85.0% +2.11% $1.92B /wu-vs-rdwr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001094366 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Radware Ltd. (RDWR) reported GAAP revenue of $301.9M (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $274.9M , and +15.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.3M, operating cash flow of $50.1M, and free cash flow of $41.6M (-37.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, RDWR closed FY2025 with $671.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $301.9M $20.3M $50.1M $41.6M $671.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $274.9M $6.0M $71.6M $66.3M $618.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $261.3M -$21.6M -$3.5M -$3.5M — —

3. RDWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RDWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Radware Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDWR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $32.64 (-5.61% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RDWR ranks #370 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RDWR compare to LQDT and NUTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), RDWR carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.5x, gross margin of 80.7%, and ROIC of 3.7%. By comparison, LQDT (Liquidity Services Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 50.5x, ROIC 12.9%, cap $1.40B) and NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) posts a A- grade (84/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WU leads on earnings multiple (3.9x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RDWR?

Per RDWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001094366), Radware Ltd. generated $301.9M in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $20.3M in net income, and $41.6M in free cash flow against $671.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RDWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RDWR last traded at $32.64 (-5.61% on volume of 487,266 shares), positioning the stock +8.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.12) and +17.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($27.87). Across its 52-week range of $21.68 to $38.50, RDWR sits at the 65.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($28.56 to $36.72).

Direct Sub-Reports: RDWR RQD Cockpit RDWR 12M Forecast RDWR Earnings & Move RDWR Dividends & DRIP RDWR Insiders & 13F RDWR Whale Options RDWR Profit Sankey RDWR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RDWR — Radware Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $32.64 (-5.61% 1D, market capitalization $1.46B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.7%, gross margin of 80.7%, operating margin of 3.8%, and free cash flow yield of 2.68%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Radware Ltd. (RDWR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry. The sourced data does not itemize its products, customer segments, or revenue model. The sector and industry classification and the company's 80.7% gross margin (per market data) are the only business-level facts available. — for further detail on how the company generates revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Radware Ltd. (RDWR) reported $301.9M in annual revenue (up from $274.9M in FY2024, +9.8% YoY) and $20.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($261.3M revenue, -$21.6M net income) through FY2025, RDWR scaled operating cash flow to $50.1M and free cash flow to $41.6M, backed by $671.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $21.68 – $38.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 76.5x trailing P/E and 77.4x EV/EBITDA against 3.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks can be sourced. Investors should note that the sector and industry classification alone does not establish any linkage to other issuers.

  • Key Question #1: Can RDWR sustain or expand its 3.8% operating margin and 3.7% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $301.9M and free cash flow of $41.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RDWR's 71.1x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RDWR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Radware Ltd. (RDWR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RDWR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RDWR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RDWR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RDWR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.65 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 80.7% gross margin and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9 point to a financially strong, high-margin balance sheet, with the 16 / 20

Long RDWR at $34.58 targeting $45.65. The 80.7% gross margin and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9 point to a financially strong, high-margin balance sheet, with the 16 / 20 institutional flow pillar showing sponsorship.. Institutional whale score is 16/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $21.68 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — RDWR's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.74 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $34.58

A 76.5 trailing P/E against a 3.7% ROIC and a 2.68% FCF yield leaves the valuation resting on expectations the current cash returns do

Fading this rally in RDWR at $34.58. A 76.5 trailing P/E against a 3.7% ROIC and a 2.68% FCF yield leaves the valuation resting on expectations the current cash returns do not yet support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $34.58 (52-wk range $21.68–$38.50), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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