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Stock Ratings / Energy / RGCO / earnings
KGEI (63) PED (48) EPSN (66) FTW (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$22.56 -2.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.43

RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $240.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RGCO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, RGC Resources Inc. (NASDAQ: RGCO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $22.56 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $240.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RGCO ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RGCO compare to KGEI and PED in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), RGCO carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, KGEI (Kolibri Global Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $234.0M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGCO leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while RGCO leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGCO?
▼

Per RGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001069533), RGC Resources Inc. generated $93.9M in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $13.3M in net income, and $8.2M in free cash flow against $341.0M in total assets and $138.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.43 (-0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 8.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$29 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE RGCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RGCO SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.8% FCF Margin ($8.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$23.01-4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$22.10+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$22.71-0.7% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$22.56+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RGCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, RGCO faces multiple-compression risk if 18.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.99) or 200D SMA ($22.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.17) toward Bear Floor ($18.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RGCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$1.49 Expected Swing
$21.07 (-6.6%)Spot $22.56$24.05 (+6.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RGCO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $1.27 • YoY Revenue Growth: 16.6%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$93.9M$13.3M$8.2M52%
FY 20242024-09-30$80.5M$11.8M-$4.7M52%
FY 20232023-09-30$94.4M$11.3M$23.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating RGCO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on RGCO
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RGCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $22.92H $23.04L $22.56C $22.56VOL 11.0K
RES: $23.50SUP: $20.09SMA50: $21.99SMA200: $22.40
$28.51$26.36$24.22$22.08$19.93RES $23.50SUP $20.09$22.562026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RGCO Butterfly Map → + Track RGCO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
11.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGCO)

Energy Rank #74 of 211 ⚔️ KGEI vs RGCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (RGCO vs. KGEI, PED, EPSN, FTW)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) ranks #74 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #170 by equity capitalization ($240.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGCO leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while RGCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.7% ROIC and — gross margin. EPSN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with RGCO at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RGCO ACTIVE
RGC Resources Inc.
C 64/100 18.0x — 5.7% -2.08% $240.1M Benchmark Subject
KGEI
Kolibri Global Energy Inc.
C 63/100 — — — -3.07% $234.0M /kgei-vs-rgco →
PED
Pedevco Corp.
D 48/100 — — -3.0% -0.52% $203.2M /ped-vs-rgco →
EPSN
Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share
C+ 66/100 — — -7.2% -3.48% $182.9M /epsn-vs-rgco →
FTW
Presidio Production Company (Class A)
D 51/100 — — — -0.40% $316.9M /ftw-vs-rgco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001069533 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) reported GAAP revenue of $93.9M (+16.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $80.5M , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $13.3M, operating cash flow of $28.9M, and free cash flow of $8.2M (+276.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGCO closed FY2025 with $341.0M in total assets against $138.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $93.9M $13.3M $28.9M $8.2M $341.0M $138.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $80.5M $11.8M $17.4M -$4.7M $335.2M $111.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $94.4M $11.3M $23.8M $23.8M — —

3. RGCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, RGC Resources Inc. (NASDAQ: RGCO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $22.56 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $240.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, RGCO ranks #74 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RGCO compare to KGEI and PED in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), RGCO carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 18.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, KGEI (Kolibri Global Energy Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $234.0M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGCO leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while RGCO leads on capital efficiency (5.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGCO?

Per RGCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001069533), RGC Resources Inc. generated $93.9M in revenue (+16.6% YoY), $13.3M in net income, and $8.2M in free cash flow against $341.0M in total assets and $138.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RGCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGCO last traded at $22.56 (-2.08% on volume of 9,787 shares), positioning the stock +2.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.99) and +0.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($22.40). Across its 52-week range of $20.55 to $27.99, RGCO sits at the 27.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($21.07 to $24.05).

Direct Sub-Reports: RGCO RQD Cockpit RGCO 12M Forecast RGCO Earnings & Move RGCO Dividends & DRIP RGCO Insiders & 13F RGCO Whale Options RGCO Profit Sankey RGCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RGCO — RGC Resources Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $22.56 (-2.08% 1D, market capitalization $240.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.6%, and free cash flow yield of 3.45%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.19x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Oil & Gas Production, profile. — for product detail, customer base, or revenue mix. The source describes the issuer's market capitalization as $0.2B. — for how the company makes money beyond the reported financial figures.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) reported $93.9M in annual revenue (up from $80.5M in FY2024, +16.6% YoY) and $13.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($94.4M revenue, $11.3M net income) through FY2025, RGCO scaled operating cash flow to $28.9M and free cash flow to $8.2M, backed by $341.0M in total assets against $138.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 3.45% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.55 – $27.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 18.0x trailing P/E and 10.4x EV/EBITDA against 19.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The one ripple the data does suggest is indirect: a news item references Chesapeake Utilities Corporation (CPK), but the source does not establish a dependency relationship.

  • Key Question #1: Can RGCO sustain or expand its 19.6% operating margin and 5.7% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $93.9M and free cash flow of $8.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $138.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RGCO's 15.1x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RGCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for RGC Resources Inc. (RGCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RGCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RGCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.56?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RGCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RGCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.03 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 15 of 20 and the forward P/E of 15.1 sits below the trailing 18, suggesting expected earnings improvement.

Don't sleep on RGCO's setup in Energy. Insider conviction scores 15 of 20 and the forward P/E of 15.1 sits below the trailing 18, suggesting expected earnings improvement.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on 18.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.88 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $22.92

Debt climbed from $111.3M to $138.0M while institutional flow scores only 10 of 20 and ROIC is 5.7%.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short RGCO above $22.92. Debt climbed from $111.3M to $138.0M while institutional flow scores only 10 of 20 and ROIC is 5.7%.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (3.45%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $27.99.

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