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Regis Corporation (RGS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$29.50 -0.56% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.41

Regis Corporation (RGS) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $74.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Regis Corporation (NASDAQ: RGS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $29.50 (-0.56% 1D, market cap $74.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RGS ranks #403 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), RGS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, ASPS (Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $62.9M) and TISI (Team Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $109.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TISI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?
β–Ό

Per RGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000716643), Regis Corporation generated $210.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $123.5M in net income, and $12.4M in free cash flow against $588.3M in total assets and $111.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.41 (-0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 5.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (6)Whales (13)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$35 Bull$29 Base$23 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RGS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RGS SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 88% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±4.1% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 9.5% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$29.30+0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$29.42+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$29.44+0.2% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$29.50-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (49) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RGS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, RGS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($28.57) or 200D SMA ($26.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($29.37) toward Bear Floor ($22.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRGS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±4.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (RGS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for RGS.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of RGS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RGS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.94%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $29.78H $29.78L $29.50C $29.50VOL 2.0K
RES: $29.86SUP: $27.08SMA50: $28.57SMA200: $26.58
$31.38$29.50$27.63$25.75$23.87RES $29.86SUP $27.08$29.502026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #403 of 1009 βš”οΈ ASPS vs RGS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RGS vs. ASPS, TISI, WW, ABLV)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Regis Corporation (RGS) ranks #403 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #775 by equity capitalization ($74.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RGS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TISI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 25.8% gross margin. ABLV currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with RGS at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RGS ACTIVE
Regis Corporation
D+ 57/100 β€” β€” 5.6% -0.56% $74.2M Benchmark Subject
ASPS
Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.
E 29/100 β€” 28.6% 0.6% +4.82% $62.9M /asps-vs-rgs β†’
TISI
Team Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” 25.8% 85.0% -2.84% $109.7M /tisi-vs-rgs β†’
WW
WW International Inc.
D 45/100 β€” β€” 85.0% -10.13% $149.0M /ww-vs-rgs β†’
ABLV
Able View Global Inc. (Class B)
C+ 66/100 β€” 11.3% -5.5% -8.18% $155.2M /ablv-vs-rgs β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0000716643 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Regis Corporation (RGS) reported GAAP revenue of $210.1M (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $203.0M , and -9.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $123.5M, operating cash flow of $13.7M, and free cash flow of $12.4M (+615.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGS closed FY2025 with $588.3M in total assets against $111.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.73, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $210.1M $123.5M $13.7M $12.4M $588.3M $111.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $203.0M $91.1M -$2.0M -$2.4M $530.1M $111.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $233.3M -$7.4M -$7.9M -$7.9M β€” β€”

3. RGS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Regis Corporation (NASDAQ: RGS) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $29.50 (-0.56% 1D, market cap $74.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RGS ranks #403 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RGS compare to ASPS and TISI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Consumer Services), RGS carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, ASPS (Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.6%, cap $62.9M) and TISI (Team Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $109.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RGS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TISI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGS?

Per RGS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000716643), Regis Corporation generated $210.1M in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $123.5M in net income, and $12.4M in free cash flow against $588.3M in total assets and $111.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RGS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGS last traded at $29.50 (-0.56% on volume of 5,691 shares), positioning the stock +3.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.57) and +10.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.58). Across its 52-week range of $19.31 to $30.93, RGS sits at the 87.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±4.1% ($28.29 to $30.71).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 57/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RGS β€” Regis Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Regis Corporation (RGS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $29.50 (-0.56% 1D, market capitalization $74.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.6%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 9.5%, and free cash flow yield of 16.72%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.73, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.59x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Regis Corporation (RGS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, classified under Other Consumer Services..1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Regis Corporation (RGS) reported $210.1M in annual revenue (up from $203.0M in FY2024, +3.5% YoY) and $123.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($233.3M revenue, -$7.4M net income) through FY2025, RGS scaled operating cash flow to $13.7M and free cash flow to $12.4M, backed by $588.3M in total assets against $111.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 16.72% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.31 – $30.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation and 8.0x EV/EBITDA against 9.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore identifies no upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the dataset rather than evidence that none exist.

  • Key Question #1: Can RGS sustain or expand its 9.5% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $210.1M and free cash flow of $12.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $111.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RGS's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RGS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Regis Corporation (RGS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RGS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RGS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $29.50?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RGS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RGS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.79 (+24.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 16.72% FCF yield and a 1.42% gain on the annual meeting news signal the market may be underpricing cash generation.

Here is why I am bullish on RGS here at $29.67: A 16.72% FCF yield and a 1.42% gain on the annual meeting news signal the market may be underpricing cash generation.. Compare RGS's 9.5% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against the rest of Other Consumer Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $28.19 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” RGS's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.03 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $29.67

A 0.73 Altman Z-Score, a 5.6% ROIC, and a negative FY 2024 free cash flow point to weak fundamentals and balance sheet strain.

I respect the product at Regis Corporation, but the stock at $29.67 is a different story. A 0.73 Altman Z-Score, a 5.6% ROIC, and a negative FY 2024 free cash flow point to weak fundamentals and balance sheet strain.. FCF yield is 16.72% and RQD sits at 57/100 (D+) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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