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Why RGTI Stock dropped -5.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$10.67 -5.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.55

Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.75B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RGTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Rigetti Computing Inc. (NASDAQ: RGTI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $10.67 (-5.16% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, RGTI ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RGTI compare to FA and LIF in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RGTI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.1%, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, FA (First Advantage Corporation) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $3.71B) and LIF (Life360 Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIF leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while LIF leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGTI?
▼

Per RGTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001838359), Rigetti Computing Inc. generated $7.1M in revenue (-34.3% YoY), -$216.2M in net income, and -$77.2M in free cash flow against $666.6M in total assets and $54.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.55 (-1.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (5)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$47 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE RGTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RGTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RGTI SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 18.83 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 29.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$11.68+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$12.05+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$12.40-14% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$10.67-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RGTI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RGTI currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.23) and Max Pain ($11.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RGTI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RGTI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why RGTI Stock dropped -5.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) dropped -5.16% to $10.67, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($10.82 – $44.38). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($10.82 – $44.38) with RSI-14 at 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12% around $10.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 29.1% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RGTI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETrefis • 1d ago
What Is Next For Rigetti Stock?

Trefis report covering Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RGTI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RGTI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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RGTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $12.06H $12.06L $10.67C $10.67VOL 14.68M
RES: $15.84SUP: $9.48SMA50: $14.23SMA200: $16.98
$29.28$24.23$19.19$14.15$9.10RES $15.84SUP $9.48$10.672026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RGTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RGTI Butterfly Map → + Track RGTI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
27.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -34.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RGTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RGTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RGTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RGTI)

Technology Rank #541 of 715 ⚔️ FA vs RGTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RGTI vs. FA, LIF, JOYY, QBTS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) ranks #541 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #230 by equity capitalization ($3.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIF leads on earnings valuation at 24.6x trailing P/E, while LIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.0% ROIC and 77.8% gross margin. FA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RGTI at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RGTI ACTIVE
Rigetti Computing Inc.
E 33/100 — 29.1% -12.1% -5.16% $3.75B Benchmark Subject
FA
First Advantage Corporation
D+ 57/100 — — 3.3% +2.18% $3.71B /fa-vs-rgti →
LIF
Life360 Inc.
D 51/100 24.6x 77.8% 8.0% +0.56% $3.62B /lif-vs-rgti →
JOYY
JOYY Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — 0.7% -1.23% $3.93B /joyy-vs-rgti →
QBTS
D-Wave Quantum Inc.
D- 35/100 — 82.6% -22.6% -5.26% $4.04B /qbts-vs-rgti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001838359 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) reported GAAP revenue of $7.1M (-34.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.8M , and -96.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$216.2M, operating cash flow of -$58.5M, and free cash flow of -$77.2M (-25.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RGTI closed FY2025 with $666.6M in total assets against $54.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 18.83, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.1M -$216.2M -$58.5M -$77.2M $666.6M $54.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $10.8M -$201.0M -$50.6M -$61.7M $284.8M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $202.4M -$75.1M -$50.6M -$50.6M $2.21B $518.0M

3. RGTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RGTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rigetti Computing Inc. (NASDAQ: RGTI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $10.67 (-5.16% 1D, market cap $3.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, RGTI ranks #541 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RGTI compare to FA and LIF in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), RGTI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.1%, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, FA (First Advantage Corporation) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.3%, cap $3.71B) and LIF (Life360 Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIF leads on earnings multiple (24.6x) while LIF leads on capital efficiency (8.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RGTI?

Per RGTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001838359), Rigetti Computing Inc. generated $7.1M in revenue (-34.3% YoY), -$216.2M in net income, and -$77.2M in free cash flow against $666.6M in total assets and $54.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RGTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RGTI last traded at $10.67 (-5.16% on volume of 12,632,781 shares), positioning the stock -25.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.23) and -37.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.98). Across its 52-week range of $10.82 to $44.38, RGTI sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($9.39 to $11.95).

Direct Sub-Reports: RGTI RQD Cockpit RGTI 12M Forecast RGTI Earnings & Move RGTI Dividends & DRIP RGTI Insiders & 13F RGTI Whale Options RGTI Profit Sankey RGTI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RGTI — Rigetti Computing Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.67 (-5.16% 1D, market capitalization $3.75B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.1%, gross margin of 29.1%, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -1.92%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.26x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 18.83, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.09x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rigetti Computing Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector, EDP Services industry. It operates in EDP Services with a market capitalization of $4.0B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) reported $7.1M in annual revenue (up from $10.8M in FY2024, -34.3% YoY) and -$216.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($202.4M revenue, -$75.1M net income) through FY2025, RGTI scaled operating cash flow to -$58.5M and free cash flow to -$77.2M, backed by $666.6M in total assets against $54.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.92% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.82 – $44.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.26x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Technology / EDP Services. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from these sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can RGTI sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -12.1% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.1M and free cash flow of -$77.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $54.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RGTI's 35.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.26x)?

RGTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RGTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RGTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.67?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RGTI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RGTI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.29 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance sheet is the RQD's strongest pillar, with an Altman Z-Score of 18.83 and Debt/Equity of 0.09.

The balance sheet is the RQD's strongest pillar, with an Altman Z-Score of 18.83 and Debt/Equity of 0.09.. When you look under the hood at RGTI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 29.1% gross margins and -12.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (5/20) has been quietly accumulating below $38.62. My 12M target is $14.29.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.89 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $11.25

Cash generation is deeply negative, with ROIC at -12.1%, FCF yield at -1.92%, and FY 2025 FCF of -$77.2M.

Cash generation is deeply negative, with ROIC at -12.1%, FCF yield at -1.92%, and FY 2025 FCF of -$77.2M.. Look at the math on RGTI: paying 35.0x forward P/E for -12.1% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if EDP Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $9.90 before getting long.

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