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Stock Ratings / Financials / RITM
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Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.45 +1.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.46

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $5.28B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RITM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RITM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE: RITM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $9.45 (+1.50% 1D, market cap $5.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, RITM ranks #964 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RITM compare to PECO and KRG in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RITM carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, PECO (Phillips Edison & Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.9x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $5.12B) and KRG (Kite Realty Group Trust) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RITM leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while OUT leads on capital efficiency (7.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RITM?
▼

Per RITM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001556593), Rithm Capital Corp. generated $4.59B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $567.2M in net income, and -$1.50B in free cash flow against $53.06B in total assets and $19.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.46 (+0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$13 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE RITM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RITM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RITM SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.9) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
28
Grade E$8.71-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$8.68+8.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$9.40+0.5% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$9.45-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (28) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RITM Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RITM currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.25) and Max Pain ($9.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RITM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RITM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
58.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE30% OF RANGE
L: $8$9.45H: $12
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on RITM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

2.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -18.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (30)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RITM
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RITM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RITM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RITM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.58%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $9.31H $9.45L $9.31C $9.45VOL 8.87M
RES: $10.90SUP: $8.21SMA50: $9.25SMA200: $9.66
$11.22$10.43$9.64$8.85$8.07RES $10.90SUP $8.21$9.452026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RITM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 RITM Butterfly Map → + Track RITM →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-2.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RITM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RITM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RITM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RITM)

Financials Rank #964 of 1097 ⚔️ PECO vs RITM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RITM vs. PECO, KRG, SBRA, OUT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) ranks #964 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #267 by equity capitalization ($5.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RITM leads on earnings valuation at 9.3x trailing P/E, while OUT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.3% ROIC and — gross margin. KRG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with RITM at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RITM ACTIVE
Rithm Capital Corp.
D- 36/100 9.3x — 2.2% +1.50% $5.28B Benchmark Subject
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company Inc.
D+ 56/100 44.9x — 4.9% +2.19% $5.12B /peco-vs-ritm →
KRG
Kite Realty Group Trust
C 63/100 16.8x — 6.4% +2.67% $5.10B /krg-vs-ritm →
SBRA
Sabra Health Care REIT Inc.
C- 59/100 32.2x — 5.5% -0.10% $5.04B /sbra-vs-ritm →
OUT
OUTFRONT Media Inc.
D+ 58/100 39.0x — 7.3% +0.47% $5.66B /out-vs-ritm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001556593 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) reported GAAP revenue of $4.59B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.92B , and +24.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $567.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.29B, and free cash flow of -$1.50B (+37.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, RITM closed FY2025 with $53.06B in total assets against $19.71B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.59B $567.2M -$1.29B -$1.50B $53.06B $19.71B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.92B $835.0M -$2.19B -$2.41B $46.05B $17.17B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.68B $532.7M $693.6M $528.0M $4.42B $1.03B

3. RITM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RITM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE: RITM) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $9.45 (+1.50% 1D, market cap $5.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, RITM ranks #964 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RITM compare to PECO and KRG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RITM carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, PECO (Phillips Edison & Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 44.9x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $5.12B) and KRG (Kite Realty Group Trust) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 16.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $5.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RITM leads on earnings multiple (9.3x) while OUT leads on capital efficiency (7.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RITM?

Per RITM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001556593), Rithm Capital Corp. generated $4.59B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $567.2M in net income, and -$1.50B in free cash flow against $53.06B in total assets and $19.71B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RITM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RITM last traded at $9.45 (+1.50% on volume of 8,870,732 shares), positioning the stock +2.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.25) and -2.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.66). Across its 52-week range of $8.31 to $12.15, RITM sits at the 29.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($8.93 to $9.97).

Direct Sub-Reports: RITM RQD Cockpit RITM 12M Forecast RITM Earnings & Move RITM Dividends & DRIP RITM Insiders & 13F RITM Whale Options RITM Profit Sankey RITM News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RITM — Rithm Capital Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 36/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.45 (+1.50% 1D, market capitalization $5.28B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 15.1%, and free cash flow yield of -18.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $5.2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) reported $4.59B in annual revenue (up from $4.92B in FY2024, -6.7% YoY) and $567.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.68B revenue, $532.7M net income) through FY2025, RITM scaled operating cash flow to -$1.29B and free cash flow to -$1.50B, backed by $53.06B in total assets against $19.71B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 36/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -18.00% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.31 – $12.15 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 9.3x trailing P/E and 25.1x EV/EBITDA against 15.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), RITM carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can RITM sustain or expand its 15.1% operating margin and 2.2% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.59B and free cash flow of -$1.50B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $19.71B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RITM's 8.6x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RITM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RITM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RITM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RITM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RITM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.89 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low trailing and forward P/E multiples of 9.3 and 8.6 combined with institutional accumulation signals in the whale 13F flow pillar.

The street is overcomplicating Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM). Low trailing and forward P/E multiples of 9.3 and 8.6 combined with institutional accumulation signals in the whale 13F flow pillar.. With an RQD score of 36/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $10.05.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 36/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.31 and keeping dry powder in case we test $8.66.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.08 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $9.31

Negative FCF yield of -18% and ROIC of 2.2% alongside a macro regime fit pillar score of 3 out of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short RITM above $9.31. Negative FCF yield of -18% and ROIC of 2.2% alongside a macro regime fit pillar score of 3 out of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20) and FCF yield (-18.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $12.15.

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