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Why RPID Stock dropped -4.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$0.70 -4.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69

Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $36.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RPID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RPID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (-4.50% 1D, market cap $36.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, RPID ranks #644 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RPID compare to HBIO and PRPO in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), RPID carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HBIO (Harvard Bioscience Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.5M) and PRPO (Precipio Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.9%, cap $32.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RPID leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PRPO leads on capital efficiency (-7.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPID?
▼

Per RPID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001380106), Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) generated $33.6M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$47.1M in net income, and -$31.9M in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.69 (-1.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.4% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE RPID RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPID)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RPID SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$0.87-11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$0.77+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$0.79-11.4% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$0.70-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPID Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RPID currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.06) and Max Pain ($0.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPID• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RPID Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why RPID Stock dropped -4.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) dropped -4.50% to $0.70, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.7 – $4.94). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.7 – $4.94) with RSI-14 at 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.70 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live RPID Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPID)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RPID's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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RPID // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -71.89%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.79H $0.79L $0.70C $0.70VOL 201.6K
RES: $1.64SUP: $0.64SMA50: $1.06SMA200: $2.21
$3.48$2.73$1.97$1.22$0.47RES $1.64SUP $0.64$0.702026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPID Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPID today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPID. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPID today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPID)

Health Care Rank #644 of 1015 ⚔️ HBIO vs RPID Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (RPID vs. HBIO, PRPO, EYPT, BNGO)

Industry: Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) ranks #644 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #777 by equity capitalization ($36.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RPID leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PRPO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.9% ROIC and 44.2% gross margin. HBIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with RPID at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPID ACTIVE
Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A)
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -4.50% $36.9M Benchmark Subject
HBIO
Harvard Bioscience Inc.
D 47/100 — 57.7% -35.0% -3.37% $40.5M /hbio-vs-rpid →
PRPO
Precipio Inc.
E 30/100 — 44.2% -7.9% -1.71% $32.4M /prpo-vs-rpid →
EYPT
EyePoint Inc.
E 26/100 — — -35.0% +7.58% $30.0M /eypt-vs-rpid →
BNGO
Bionano Genomics Inc.
E 29/100 — 46.3% -35.0% +0.87% $16.1M /bngo-vs-rpid →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001380106 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) reported GAAP revenue of $33.6M (+19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $28.1M , and +49.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$47.1M, operating cash flow of -$31.1M, and free cash flow of -$31.9M (+29.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPID closed FY2025 with $74.9M in total assets against $18.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $33.6M -$47.1M -$31.1M -$31.9M $74.9M $18.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $28.1M -$46.9M -$44.2M -$45.5M $98.2M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.5M -$52.5M -$45.1M -$45.1M — —

3. RPID Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPID stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: RPID) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $0.70 (-4.50% 1D, market cap $36.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, RPID ranks #644 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPID compare to HBIO and PRPO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments), RPID carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HBIO (Harvard Bioscience Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.5M) and PRPO (Precipio Inc.) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.9%, cap $32.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RPID leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PRPO leads on capital efficiency (-7.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPID?

Per RPID's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001380106), Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) generated $33.6M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$47.1M in net income, and -$31.9M in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $18.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPID trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPID last traded at $0.70 (-4.50% on volume of 77,267 shares), positioning the stock -33.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.06) and -68.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.21). Across its 52-week range of $0.70 to $4.94, RPID sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.79).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RPID — Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.70 (-4.50% 1D, market capitalization $36.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed Health Care issuer in the Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments industry. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue model details are — The reported revenue figures in the SEC financials indicate an operating business with $33.6M of FY 2025 revenue, but the source does not describe how that revenue is generated.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) reported $33.6M in annual revenue (up from $28.1M in FY2024, +19.7% YoY) and -$47.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.5M revenue, -$52.5M net income) through FY2025, RPID scaled operating cash flow to -$31.1M and free cash flow to -$31.9M, backed by $74.9M in total assets against $18.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.70 – $4.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals in the source data. Upstream/downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — 2nd-order bottlenecks: — The only sector information available is the Health Care / Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments classification.

  • Key Question #1: Can RPID sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $33.6M and free cash flow of -$31.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $18.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RPID's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RPID Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A) (RPID) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RPID Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RPID Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.70?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RPID 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RPID:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.96 (+29.7%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $22.5M in FY 2023 to $33.6M in FY 2025, and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 / 20 on Altman Z 2.5 and Debt

Here is why I am bullish on RPID here at $0.74: Revenue grew from $22.5M in FY 2023 to $33.6M in FY 2025, and the forensic balance sheet pillar scores 11 / 20 on Altman Z 2.5 and Debt/Equity 0.57.. Compare RPID's -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Biotechnology: Laboratory Analytical Instruments. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $0.70 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (-16.2%)
Spot @ $0.74

FY 2025 free cash flow of -$31.9M against $20.0M of cash, with ROIC at -35% and operating margin at -60%, leaves the cash engine pillar

I respect the product at Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $0.74 is a different story. FY 2025 free cash flow of -$31.9M against $20.0M of cash, with ROIC at -35% and operating margin at -60%, leaves the cash engine pillar at 9 / 20.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 34/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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