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Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$10.75 +0.28% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.73

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $84.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: RPT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $10.75 (+0.28% 1D, market cap $84.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, RPT ranks #1068 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RPT compare to BHR and SUNS in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RPT carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -0.9%. By comparison, BHR (Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $89.3M) and SUNS (Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $89.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPT?
β–Ό

Per RPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001614806), Rithm Property Trust Inc. generated $437.4M in revenue (+6.6% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and -$8.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.73 (-0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510024
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
$19 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RPT SCORES 24/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (42% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 1/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (17% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
16
Grade E$10.57+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
19
Grade E$11.01+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$11.10-3.2% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$10.75-10.9% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (16) β†’ E (24)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While RPT currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.51) and Max Pain ($11.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.84.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of RPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.57%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $11.33H $11.33L $10.72C $10.75VOL 37.7K
RES: $11.75SUP: $10.51SMA50: $11.51SMA200: $13.47
$15.62$14.04$12.47$10.89$9.31RES $11.75SUP $10.51$10.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPT)

Financials Rank #1068 of 1097 βš”οΈ BHR vs RPT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RPT vs. BHR, SUNS, IOR, CHMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) ranks #1068 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #977 by equity capitalization ($84.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUNS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while BHR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CHMI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RPT at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPT ACTIVE
Rithm Property Trust Inc.
E 24/100 β€” β€” -0.9% +0.28% $84.8M Benchmark Subject
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” 85.0% +10.00% $89.3M /bhr-vs-rpt β†’
SUNS
Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.
E 33/100 7.3x β€” 6.7% +0.61% $89.3M /suns-vs-rpt β†’
IOR
Income Opportunity Realty Investors Inc.
D- 36/100 18.9x β€” -0.2% 0.00% $75.3M /ior-vs-rpt β†’
CHMI
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation
D+ 57/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.92% $96.1M /chmi-vs-rpt β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001614806 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) reported GAAP revenue of $437.4M (+6.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $410.5M , and +97.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$8.3M (-2963.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPT closed FY2025 with $1.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $437.4M -$2.7M -$8.3M -$8.3M $1.04B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $410.5M -$92.2M $290.0K $290.0K $977.3M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $221.7M -$49.3M -$46.5M -$46.5M β€” β€”

3. RPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: RPT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $10.75 (+0.28% 1D, market cap $84.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, RPT ranks #1068 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPT compare to BHR and SUNS in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RPT carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -0.9%. By comparison, BHR (Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $89.3M) and SUNS (Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $89.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPT?

Per RPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001614806), Rithm Property Trust Inc. generated $437.4M in revenue (+6.6% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and -$8.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPT last traded at $10.75 (+0.28% on volume of 40,432 shares), positioning the stock -6.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.51) and -20.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.47). Across its 52-week range of $9.80 to $17.94, RPT sits at the 11.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.5% ($9.84 to $11.66).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 24/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RPT β€” Rithm Property Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.75 (+0.28% 1D, market capitalization $84.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -0.9%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of -9.27%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) reported $437.4M in annual revenue (up from $410.5M in FY2024, +6.6% YoY) and -$2.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($221.7M revenue, -$49.3M net income) through FY2025, RPT scaled operating cash flow to -$8.3M and free cash flow to -$8.3M, backed by $1.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.27% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.80 – $17.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), RPT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of β€”.

  • Key Question #1: Can RPT sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and -0.9% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $437.4M and free cash flow of -$8.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RPT's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

RPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $10.75?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RPT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RPT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.86 (+20.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional flow scores 6 of 20 and the balance sheet holds an Altman Z of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, while cash of $79.3M is report

Long RPT at $10.72 targeting $12.86. Institutional flow scores 6 of 20 and the balance sheet holds an Altman Z of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, while cash of $79.3M is reported for FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $9.80 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 24/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $10.72 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.97.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.15 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $10.72

Negative ROIC of -0.9%, free cash flow yield of -9.27%, Piotroski F-Score of 1 of 9, and net losses in each reported period point to we

Fading this rally in RPT at $10.72. Negative ROIC of -0.9%, free cash flow yield of -9.27%, Piotroski F-Score of 1 of 9, and net losses in each reported period point to weak cash generation.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $10.72 (52-wk range $9.80–$17.94), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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