Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $9.14 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $172.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RRGB ranks #402 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), RRGB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.5M) and JACK (Jack In The Box Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RICK leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per RRGB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001171759), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), -$23.3M in net income, and $37.0M in free cash flow against $563.5M in total assets and $164.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.1% FCF Margin ($37.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, RRGB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($8.32) or 200D SMA ($5.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.10) toward Bear Floor ($7.10).
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) advanced +0.33% to $9.14, trading at 79% of its 52-week range ($2.46 – $10.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Wendy's (WEN) saw its shares surge in the last session with trading volume being higher than average. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions could translate into further price increase in the near term.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RRGB today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RRGB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) ranks #402 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #704 by equity capitalization ($172.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RICK leads on earnings valuation at 20.0x trailing P/E, while BDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BDL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with RRGB at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RRGB
ACTIVE
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | 5.7% | +0.33% | $172.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc. | D+ | 54/100 | 20.0x | — | 5.6% | +2.72% | $216.5M | /rick-vs-rrgb → |
| JACK Jack In The Box Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +6.03% | $249.6M | /jack-vs-rrgb → |
| BDL Flanigan's Enterprises Inc. | B | 73/100 | 21.4x | — | 8.2% | +10.82% | $111.5M | /bdl-vs-rrgb → |
| PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 85.7% | 4.3% | +8.69% | $272.7M | /play-vs-rrgb → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) reported GAAP revenue of $1.21B (-3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.25B , and -7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$23.3M, operating cash flow of $37.0M, and free cash flow of $37.0M (+425.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, RRGB closed FY2025 with $563.5M in total assets against $164.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.65, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $1.21B | -$23.3M | $37.0M | $37.0M | $563.5M | $164.7M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-29 | $1.25B | -$77.5M | $7.0M | $7.0M | $641.3M | $181.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.30B | -$21.2M | -$1.2M | -$1.2M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (NASDAQ: RRGB) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $9.14 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $172.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RRGB ranks #402 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), RRGB carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.7%. By comparison, RICK (RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 20.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $216.5M) and JACK (Jack In The Box Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $249.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RICK leads on earnings multiple (20.0x) while BDL leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).
Per RRGB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001171759), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. generated $1.21B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), -$23.3M in net income, and $37.0M in free cash flow against $563.5M in total assets and $164.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
RRGB last traded at $9.14 (+0.33% on volume of 241,555 shares), positioning the stock +9.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.32) and +55.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.89). Across its 52-week range of $2.46 to $10.95, RRGB sits at the 78.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.00 to $10.28).
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.14 (+0.33% 1D, market capitalization $172.2M).
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Restaurants industry. The profile describes the company as a Consumer Discretionary issuer operating in Restaurants with a market capitalization of $0.2B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) reported $1.21B in annual revenue (up from $1.25B in FY2024, -3.1% YoY) and -$23.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.30B revenue, -$21.2M net income) through FY2025, RRGB scaled operating cash flow to $37.0M and free cash flow to $37.0M, backed by $563.5M in total assets against $164.7M in total debt.
Investors should monitor the scheduled fiscal third quarter 2026 release on November 4, 2026, and the debt refinancing as the nearest sources of second-order change.
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Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Long RRGB at $9.11 targeting $10.93. The RQD scores a 20.98% FCF yield against a $176.4M market cap, and FY 2025 operating income turned positive at $2.8M.. Institutional whale score is 14/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.46 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 57/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $9.11 and keeping dry powder in case we test $8.47.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short RRGB above $9.11. The RQD gives a Forensic Balance Sheet score of 8/20 with Altman Z of 1.65 and Piotroski F of 4/9, while net income was negative in every reported period.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (20.98%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $10.95.
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