Why RVLV Stock slipped -1.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$22.00 -1.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.88

Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.59B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RVLV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: RVLV) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $22.00 (-1.92% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RVLV ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RVLV compare to LUXE and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), RVLV carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of 53.5%, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, LUXE (LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.35B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RVLV?
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Per RVLV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001746618), Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.23B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $61.7M in net income, and $48.0M in free cash flow against $765.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.88 (-0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 3.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-
Cash (18)Whales (8)SEC (18)Macro (6)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$33 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE RVLV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RVLV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RVLV SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.9% FCF Margin ($48.0M FCF) & 53.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.15 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.7) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
57
Grade C$21.53+7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$23.20-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$22.62-2.7% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$22.00+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RVLV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, RVLV faces multiple-compression risk if 26.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 51.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($21.72) or 200D SMA ($23.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.69) toward Bear Floor ($17.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RVLV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RVLV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why RVLV Stock slipped -1.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) slipped -1.92% to $22.00, trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($17.35 – $31.68). Solid 54% profit margin (27% return on capital), mixed timing at 27x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 32% of its 52-week range ($17.35 – $31.68) with RSI-14 at 51.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $22.00 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 53.5% gross margin and $48.0M annual free cash flow.
Live RVLV Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RVLV Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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RVLV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.22%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $23.09H $23.09L $22.00C $22.00VOL 934.5K
RES: $23.46SUP: $20.13SMA50: $21.72SMA200: $23.24
$28.04$25.14$22.25$19.35$16.45RES $23.46SUP $20.13$22.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RVLV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RVLV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RVLV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RVLV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RVLV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #236 of 1011 ⚔️ LUXE vs RVLV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RVLV vs. LUXE, GCT, HEPS, CNXN)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) ranks #236 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #446 by equity capitalization ($1.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GCT leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while GCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 23.3% gross margin. GCT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with RVLV at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RVLV ACTIVE
Revolve Group Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 26.6x 53.5% 26.6% -1.92% $1.59B Benchmark Subject
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share
D+ 58/100 — — — +3.00% $1.35B /luxe-vs-rvlv →
GCT
GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)
A- 81/100 15.8x 23.3% 85.0% -1.58% $2.08B /gct-vs-rvlv →
HEPS
D-Market Electronic Services & Trading
D+ 56/100 — — — +0.36% $1.18B /heps-vs-rvlv →
CNXN
PC Connection Inc.
C- 60/100 25.8x 18.8% 10.9% -0.08% $2.19B /cnxn-vs-rvlv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001746618

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) reported GAAP revenue of $1.23B (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.13B , and +14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.7M, operating cash flow of $59.4M, and free cash flow of $48.0M (+128.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RVLV closed FY2025 with $765.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.15, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.23B $61.7M $59.4M $48.0M $765.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.13B $49.6M $26.7M $21.0M $665.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.07B $28.1M $43.3M $43.3M — —

3. RVLV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RVLV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: RVLV) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $22.00 (-1.92% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RVLV ranks #236 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RVLV compare to LUXE and GCT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), RVLV carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.6x, gross margin of 53.5%, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, LUXE (LuxExperience B.V. each representing one Ordinary Share) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.35B) and GCT (GigaCloud Technology Inc (Class A)) posts a A- grade (81/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GCT leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while GCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RVLV?

Per RVLV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001746618), Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) generated $1.23B in revenue (+8.5% YoY), $61.7M in net income, and $48.0M in free cash flow against $765.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (54% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RVLV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RVLV last traded at $22.00 (-1.92% on volume of 849,006 shares), positioning the stock +1.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($21.72) and -5.34% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.24). Across its 52-week range of $17.35 to $31.68, RVLV sits at the 32.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($20.24 to $23.76).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RVLV — Revolve Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:22Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

RVLV scores 68 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 18 of 20 (ROIC 26.6%; FCF yield 2.92%), suggesting the business generates strong returns on invested capital relative to the cash it returns to shareholders. Whale/13F flow scores 11 of 20 and insider conviction scores 15 of 20, indicating moderate rather than strong institutional and insider signals in the source data. Macro regime fit scores 6 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), the weakest pillar, implying the stock's price behavior is closely tied to broader market and sector conditions. Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20 (Altman Z 7.15; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), reflecting a sound balance sheet by the metrics provided. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a mixed picture: strong operating economics and balance-sheet strength, offset by a valuation that the source data places at 26.6x trailing earnings and a macro-sensitivity profile that leaves the stock exposed to market-wide moves. The verdict's "watch for breakout" language is the rating's own framing and reflects a neutral stance rather than a directional call.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) is a NYSE-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry. Its market capitalization is $1.6B.

Revenue rose from $1.07B (FY 2023) to $1.23B (FY 2025), and operating income moved from $22.1M to $74.3M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 53.5%, operating margin 6.1%, and net margin 5%, with ROIC at 26.6%. The RQD forensic pillar reports an Altman Z-Score of 7.15, a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Cash on the balance sheet was $292.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong cash engine and balance sheet: ROIC of 26.6% and an Altman Z-Score of 7.15 both sit well above typical thresholds. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 (ROIC 26.6%, FCF yield 2.92%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $17.35 – $31.68 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Macro-regime fit scores just 6 of 20 at Beta 1.0, leaving the stock highly exposed to market and sector swings. Investors must weigh 26.6x trailing P/E and 16.1x EV/EBITDA against 6.1% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Catalog/Specialty Distribution (Consumer Discretionary), RVLV carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 53.5%.

  • Key Question #1: What EPS figures were reported for FY 2023–FY 2025, given that the financials list EPS as N/A for each period?
  • Key Question #2: What is the date and outcome of the upcoming earnings report referenced in the news feed?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the FY 2023–FY 2025 revenue growth, and what products or customer segments contributed to it?

RVLV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RVLV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RVLV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RVLV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RVLV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.93 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash engine and balance sheet: ROIC of 26.6% and an Altman Z-Score of 7.15 both sit well above typical thresholds.

The street is overcomplicating Revolve Group Inc. (Class A) (RVLV). Strong cash engine and balance sheet: ROIC of 26.6% and an Altman Z-Score of 7.15 both sit well above typical thresholds.. With an RQD score of 65/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $24.22.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 65/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $22.43 and keeping dry powder in case we test $20.86.

FA FadeTheHype Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.05 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $22.43

Macro-regime fit scores just 6 of 20 at Beta 1.0, leaving the stock highly exposed to market and sector swings.

Macro-regime fit scores just 6 of 20 at Beta 1.0, leaving the stock highly exposed to market and sector swings.. Look at the math on RVLV: paying 26.6x trailing P/E for 26.6% ROIC and 6.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Catalog/Specialty Distribution demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $19.74 before getting long.

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