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Stock Ratings / Technology / SAIL / forecast
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SailPoint Inc. (SAIL) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.19 -8.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.85

SailPoint Inc. (SAIL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $12.02B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SAIL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SailPoint Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $19.19 (-8.88% 1D, market cap $12.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SAIL ranks #140 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SAIL compare to PAYC and HUBS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SAIL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.5%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, PAYC (Paycom Software Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $11.91B) and HUBS (HubSpot Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $11.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PAYC leads on earnings multiple (25.9x) while BSY leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAIL?
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Per SAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0002030781), SailPoint Inc. generated $1.07B in revenue (+24.4% YoY), -$270.1M in net income, and $64.6M in free cash flow against $7.60B in total assets and $338.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.85 (-1.79%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (15)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$24 Bull$20 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE SAIL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAIL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SAIL SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 10.02 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$19.30+2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$19.68+13.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$22.28-13.9% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$19.19+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SAIL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, SAIL faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 62.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($20.11) or 200D SMA ($16.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($19.79) toward Bear Floor ($15.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAIL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SAIL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SAIL Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.19: 521.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $15.44
$8,046
$-1,954 (-19.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $19.79
$10,313
+$313 (+3.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $23.75
$12,376
+$2,376 (+23.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$2269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SAIL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SAIL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +57.94%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $22.00H $22.00L $19.19C $19.19VOL 2.73M
RES: $23.05SUP: $19.29SMA50: $20.11SMA200: $16.12
$23.41$20.13$16.86$13.58$10.30RES $23.05SUP $19.29$19.192026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAIL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SAIL Butterfly Map → + Track SAIL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAIL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAIL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAIL)

Technology Rank #140 of 715 ⚔️ PAYC vs SAIL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SAIL vs. PAYC, HUBS, BSY, FROG)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SailPoint Inc. (SAIL) ranks #140 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #136 by equity capitalization ($12.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PAYC leads on earnings valuation at 25.9x trailing P/E, while BSY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 81.5% gross margin. BSY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with SAIL at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SAIL ACTIVE
SailPoint Inc.
C 65/100 — 64.5% -3.6% -8.88% $12.02B Benchmark Subject
PAYC
Paycom Software Inc.
B- 70/100 25.9x 83.2% 11.7% +0.70% $11.91B /payc-vs-sail →
HUBS
HubSpot Inc.
C 65/100 — 83.8% 0.3% -0.59% $11.71B /hubs-vs-sail →
BSY
Bentley Systems Incorporated
B+ 76/100 43.1x 81.5% 12.4% +3.67% $12.36B /bsy-vs-sail →
FROG
JFrog Ltd.
C 64/100 — 76.8% -7.2% -9.83% $11.64B /frog-vs-sail →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0002030781 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), SailPoint Inc. (SAIL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.07B (+24.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $861.6M , and +53.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$270.1M, operating cash flow of $70.6M, and free cash flow of $64.6M (+157.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAIL closed FY2025 with $7.60B in total assets against $338.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.02, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.07B -$270.1M $70.6M $64.6M $7.60B $338.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $861.6M -$315.8M -$106.4M -$111.8M $7.41B $811.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $699.6M -$395.4M -$250.4M -$281.8M $6.91B $1.62B

3. SAIL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SailPoint Inc. (NASDAQ: SAIL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $19.19 (-8.88% 1D, market cap $12.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SAIL ranks #140 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAIL compare to PAYC and HUBS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SAIL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.5%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, PAYC (Paycom Software Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $11.91B) and HUBS (HubSpot Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $11.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PAYC leads on earnings multiple (25.9x) while BSY leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAIL?

Per SAIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0002030781), SailPoint Inc. generated $1.07B in revenue (+24.4% YoY), -$270.1M in net income, and $64.6M in free cash flow against $7.60B in total assets and $338.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAIL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAIL last traded at $19.19 (-8.88% on volume of 4,003,687 shares), positioning the stock -4.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.11) and +19.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.12). Across its 52-week range of $10.30 to $22.62, SAIL sits at the 72.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($17.10 to $21.28).

Direct Sub-Reports: SAIL RQD Cockpit SAIL 12M Forecast SAIL Earnings & Move SAIL Dividends & DRIP SAIL Insiders & 13F SAIL Whale Options SAIL Profit Sankey SAIL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SAIL — SailPoint Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SailPoint Inc. (SAIL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $19.19 (-8.88% 1D, market capitalization $12.02B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -3.6%, gross margin of 64.5%, operating margin of -28.7%, and free cash flow yield of 0.51%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.37x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 10.02, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SailPoint Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. Gross margin is 64.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), SailPoint Inc. (SAIL) reported $1.07B in annual revenue (up from $861.6M in FY2024, +24.4% YoY) and -$270.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($699.6M revenue, -$395.4M net income) through FY2025, SAIL scaled operating cash flow to $70.6M and free cash flow to $64.6M, backed by $7.60B in total assets against $338.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $10.30 – $22.62 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -28.7% operating margins and a 1.37x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector-level context is the Technology / Prepackaged Software classification.

  • Key Question #1: Can SAIL sustain or expand its -28.7% operating margin and -3.6% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.07B and free cash flow of $64.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $338.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SAIL's 20.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.37x)?

SAIL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SailPoint Inc. (SAIL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SAIL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SAIL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SAIL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SAIL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.69 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 10.02, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.05) with 17/20 institutional flow support.

Picked up a starter position in SAIL in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $21.06. Strong balance sheet (Altman Z 10.02, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.05) with 17/20 institutional flow support.. Trading inside a $10.30–$22.62 52-week range with 0.51% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SAIL's 16/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.22 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $21.06

Negative ROIC (-3.6%), operating margin -28.7%, and FCF yield of 0.51% leave the cash engine weak at 13/20.

Fading this rally in SAIL at $21.06. Negative ROIC (-3.6%), operating margin -28.7%, and FCF yield of 0.51% leave the cash engine weak at 13/20.. With a beta of 1.37 and the stock sitting at $21.06 (52-wk range $10.30–$22.62), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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