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Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$10.85 -2.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77

Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $132.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SAMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SAMG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $10.85 (-2.95% 1D, market cap $132.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, SAMG ranks #183 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SAMG compare to RILY and GGZ in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), SAMG carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, RILY (BRC Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $133.3M) and GGZ (Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $131.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAMG leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while SAMG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAMG?
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Per SAMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001549966), Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) generated $125.3M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $8.1M in net income, and $15.0M in free cash flow against $166.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.77 (-0.72%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 11.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$17 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE SAMG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SAMG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SAMG SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.9% FCF Margin ($15.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (59.2) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$10.52-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$10.27-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$10.25+5.9% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$10.85+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SAMG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, SAMG faces multiple-compression risk if 15.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($10.20) or 200D SMA ($11.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.29) toward Bear Floor ($8.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SAMG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SAMG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±8.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SAMG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SAMG.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SAMG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SAMG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SAMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $10.35H $11.18L $10.35C $10.85VOL 85.2K
RES: $11.45SUP: $8.76SMA50: $10.20SMA200: $11.93
$15.35$13.65$11.96$10.26$8.56RES $11.45SUP $8.76$10.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SAMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
7.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SAMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SAMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SAMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SAMG)

Financials Rank #183 of 1097 ⚔️ RILY vs SAMG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SAMG vs. RILY, GGZ, BVC, PAAC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) ranks #183 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #937 by equity capitalization ($132.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAMG leads on earnings valuation at 15.2x trailing P/E, while SAMG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SAMG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SAMG ACTIVE
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A)
C+ 67/100 15.2x — 85.0% -2.95% $132.5M Benchmark Subject
RILY
BRC Group Holdings Inc.
D- 37/100 — — 85.0% -5.17% $133.3M /rily-vs-samg →
GGZ
Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of
D- 42/100 — — — +1.28% $131.3M /ggz-vs-samg →
BVC
BitVentures Limited
D 46/100 — — — -3.24% $122.9M /bvc-vs-samg →
PAAC
Proem Acquisition Corp I
D 48/100 — — — 0.00% $177.4M /paac-vs-samg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001549966 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) reported GAAP revenue of $125.3M (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $123.7M , and +6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.1M, operating cash flow of $18.6M, and free cash flow of $15.0M (-24.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SAMG closed FY2025 with $166.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $125.3M $8.1M $18.6M $15.0M $166.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $123.7M $15.7M $21.6M $19.9M $194.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $117.4M $15.2M $21.0M $21.0M — —

3. SAMG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SAMG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SAMG) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $10.85 (-2.95% 1D, market cap $132.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, SAMG ranks #183 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SAMG compare to RILY and GGZ in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), SAMG carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, RILY (BRC Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $133.3M) and GGZ (Gabelli Global Small and Mid Cap Value Trust of) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $131.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAMG leads on earnings multiple (15.2x) while SAMG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SAMG?

Per SAMG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001549966), Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) generated $125.3M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $8.1M in net income, and $15.0M in free cash flow against $166.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SAMG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SAMG last traded at $10.85 (-2.95% on volume of 78,453 shares), positioning the stock +6.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($10.20) and -9.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.93). Across its 52-week range of $9.09 to $16.16, SAMG sits at the 24.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($9.88 to $11.82).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SAMG — Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 67/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $10.85 (-2.95% 1D, market capitalization $132.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 7.4%, and free cash flow yield of 12.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) reported $125.3M in annual revenue (up from $123.7M in FY2024, +1.3% YoY) and $8.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($117.4M revenue, $15.2M net income) through FY2025, SAMG scaled operating cash flow to $18.6M and free cash flow to $15.0M, backed by $166.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 67/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.09 – $16.16 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 15.2x trailing P/E and 6.3x EV/EBITDA against 7.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Managers (Financials), SAMG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can SAMG sustain or expand its 7.4% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $125.3M and free cash flow of $15.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SAMG's 14.1x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SAMG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. (Class A) (SAMG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SAMG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SAMG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SAMG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SAMG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.97 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

An 85% ROIC and 12.21% FCF yield, with a 5.77% dividend yield, indicate a strong cash-generating engine priced at 15.2x trailing earnin

Picked up a starter position in SAMG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $11.18. An 85% ROIC and 12.21% FCF yield, with a 5.77% dividend yield, indicate a strong cash-generating engine priced at 15.2x trailing earnings.. Trading inside a $9.09–$16.16 52-week range with 12.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Investment Managers multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 67/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $11.18 and keeping dry powder in case we test $10.40.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.83 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $11.18

Net income fell from $15.7M in FY 2024 to $8.1M in FY 2025 while institutional whale flow scores only 6 of 20.

Net income fell from $15.7M in FY 2024 to $8.1M in FY 2025 while institutional whale flow scores only 6 of 20.. Look at the math on SAMG: paying 15.2x trailing P/E for 85.0% ROIC and 7.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Investment Managers demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $9.84 before getting long.

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