Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$3.32 -11.23% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.25

Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 11/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $575.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SATL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SATL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 11/100 at a spot price of $3.32 (-11.23% 1D, market cap $575.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SATL ranks #714 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SATL compare to GILT and BKSY in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), SATL carries a Roarable E (11/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M) and BKSY (BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.1%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SATL?
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Per SATL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001874315), Satellogic Inc. (Class A) generated $17.7M in revenue (+37.6% YoY), -$4.8M in net income, and -$34.3M in free cash flow against $151.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.25 (-2.21%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (11/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-13.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510011
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-21.1% Base Target
$13 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE SATL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SATL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (11/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SATL SCORES 11/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (36% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (36% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
19
Grade E$4.71-17.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
16
Grade E$3.90-4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
18
Grade E$3.71-10.5% Next Q
Current
11
Grade E$3.32-13.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (19) → E (11)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SATL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SATL currently carries a cautious 11/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.82) and Max Pain ($3.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.60.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SATL• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SATL Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.41 Expected Swing
$2.91 (-12.5%)Spot $3.32$3.73 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SATL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 15/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 37.6%

Model Bullish Setup (15/100)Model Risk Weight (85/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$17.7M-$4.8M-$34.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$12.9M-$116.3M-$40.9M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$10.1M$0-$49.6M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SATL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SATL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SATL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.97%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $3.81H $3.81L $3.32C $3.32VOL 2.88M
RES: $6.67SUP: $3.37SMA50: $4.82SMA200: $5.31
$12.62$10.06$7.49$4.93$2.36RES $6.67SUP $3.37$3.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SATL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +37.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SATL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SATL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SATL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SATL)

Technology Rank #714 of 714 ⚔️ GILT vs SATL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SATL vs. GILT, BKSY, UMAC, HLIT)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) ranks #714 by composite RQD confidence (11/100, grade E) and #409 by equity capitalization ($575.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GILT leads on earnings valuation at 29.3x trailing P/E, while GILT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.6% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. HLIT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with SATL at 11/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SATL ACTIVE
Satellogic Inc. (Class A)
E 11/100 — — -35.0% -11.23% $575.0M Benchmark Subject
GILT
Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.
D- 41/100 29.3x 29.5% 5.6% -3.35% $607.5M /gilt-vs-satl →
BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 — — -15.1% -6.93% $785.8M /bksy-vs-satl →
UMAC
Unusual Machines Inc.
E 23/100 — 34.9% -27.7% -10.13% $863.2M /umac-vs-satl →
HLIT
Harmonic Inc.
D 50/100 — 48.5% 3.0% -5.28% $1.18B /hlit-vs-satl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001874315

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) reported GAAP revenue of $17.7M (+37.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.9M , and +75.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.8M, operating cash flow of -$26.9M, and free cash flow of -$34.3M (+16.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SATL closed FY2025 with $151.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.23, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $17.7M -$4.8M -$26.9M -$34.3M $151.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.9M -$116.3M -$35.9M -$40.9M $61.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $10.1M $0 -$49.6M -$49.6M — —

3. SATL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SATL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SATL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 11/100 at a spot price of $3.32 (-11.23% 1D, market cap $575.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SATL ranks #714 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SATL compare to GILT and BKSY in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), SATL carries a Roarable E (11/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GILT (Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $607.5M) and BKSY (BlackSky Technology Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.1%, cap $785.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GILT leads on earnings multiple (29.3x) while GILT leads on capital efficiency (5.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SATL?

Per SATL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001874315), Satellogic Inc. (Class A) generated $17.7M in revenue (+37.6% YoY), -$4.8M in net income, and -$34.3M in free cash flow against $151.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SATL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SATL last traded at $3.32 (-11.23% on volume of 6,023,645 shares), positioning the stock -31.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.82) and -37.48% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.31). Across its 52-week range of $1.25 to $12.00, SATL sits at the 19.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.91 to $3.73).

SATL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SATL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SATL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for SATL, spanning a range between $2.91 and $3.73.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 11/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SATL — Satellogic Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:52Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SATL carries an RQD Score of 11 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are scored as follows: Fundamental Cash Engine 0/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -5.96%); Whale 13F Flow 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 3/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 2/20 (Altman Z 0.23; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the zero score on the cash engine is the central fact: the rating's own inputs show negative returns on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield, meaning the business is not currently generating cash relative to its capital base. The forensic pillar's low score reflects an Altman Z of 0.23 and a Piotroski F of 3 out of 9, both of which the rating treats as signals of distress and weak financial health. Upside drivers would have to come from outside the current cash engine, such as improved flow or sentiment, while the valuation tradeoff is that the market price of $3.74 is set against a 52-week range of $1.25 - $12, a span that itself indicates high volatility. The rating's verdict frames the stock as one to avoid on these inputs; the points above are presented as educational context rather than personalized advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$17.7M$-31.0M$-4.8MN/A$-34.3M$94.4MN/A
FY 2024$12.9M$-52.2M$-116.3MN/A$-40.9M$22.5MN/A
FY 2023$10.1M$-69.4M$0.0MN/A$-49.6MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -60%, and net margin is -27%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.23, the Piotroski F-Score is 3 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported operating losses persisted across all three periods shown, and free cash flow was negative in each period. The FY 2025 cash balance of $94.4M is the largest cash figure in the table, while the debt column is marked N/A for every period.

Open Questions

  • What are SATL's specific products, customers, and revenue sources that generate the reported $17.7M in FY 2025 revenue?
  • What is the company's debt position, given that every period's debt figure is listed as N/A despite a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5?
  • What drove the FY 2024 net loss of $-116.3M versus the FY 2025 net loss of $-4.8M, and what is the trajectory of operating losses?
  • What are the TTM earnings and the forward valuation metrics, which are absent from the market data?
  • What is the identity and holding size of institutional and insider holders, given that the holders section is empty?

SATL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Satellogic Inc. (Class A) (SATL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SATL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SATL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.32?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SATL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SATL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.29 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SATL (E • RQD 11/100) a Buy at $3.74?

Welcome to the SATL (Satellogic Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 11/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.95 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $3.74

Pump the brakes on SATL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SATL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Satellogic Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.26 (+13.9%)
Spot @ $3.74

SATL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SATL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.74 (52-wk range $1.25 - $12.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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