How profitable is Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SBGI converted $3.2B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 5.5% operating margin, and $115.0M in free cash flow (3.6% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SBGI / financials

NMAX (25) TV (44) EVC (25) GTN (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$12.97 +1.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.98

Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $925.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SBGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SBGI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $12.97 (+1.33% 1D, market cap $925.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SBGI ranks #62 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SBGI compare to NMAX and TV in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SBGI carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, NMAX (Newsmax Inc. (Class B)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.04B) and TV (Grupo Televisa S.A.B.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBGI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SBGI leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBGI?

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Per SBGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001971213), Sinclair Inc. (Class A) generated $3.17B in revenue (-10.7% YoY), -$99.0M in net income, and $115.0M in free cash flow against $5.95B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.98 (+0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SBGI SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($115.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$12.66+5.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$13.30-9.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$12.08+7.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D$12.97-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SBGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SBGI currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.15) and Max Pain ($13.62) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SBGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SBGI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$115.0M (3.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $3.13B

FY24

Rev $3.55B

FY25

Rev $3.17B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$3.17B	52%	5.5%	-$99.0M	$115.0M	95%
FY 2024	$3.55B	52%	15.5%	$319.0M	$14.0M	95%
FY 2023	$3.13B	52%	-10.6%	-$279.0M	$235.0M	85%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SBGI)

✓Walkthrough of SBGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SBGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.07%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $12.70H $12.97L $12.70C $12.97VOL 503.3K

RES: $17.36SUP: $11.70SMA50: $13.15SMA200: $14.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SBGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SBGI Butterfly Map → + Track SBGI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBGI)

Communication Services Rank #62 of 132 ⚔️ NMAX vs SBGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SBGI vs. NMAX, TV, EVC, GTN)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) ranks #62 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #65 by equity capitalization ($925.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBGI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SBGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SBGI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SBGI ACTIVE Sinclair Inc. (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	85.0%	+1.33%	$925.7M	Benchmark Subject
NMAX Newsmax Inc. (Class B)	E	25/100	—	39.3%	-35.0%	-0.99%	$1.04B	/nmax-vs-sbgi →
TV Grupo Televisa S.A.B.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-3.35%	$1.29B	/tv-vs-sbgi →
EVC Entravision Communications Corporation	E	25/100	—	58.9%	-35.0%	+5.91%	$562.0M	/evc-vs-sbgi →
GTN Gray Media Inc.	D-	38/100	—	—	4.1%	+3.56%	$462.4M	/gtn-vs-sbgi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001971213 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) reported GAAP revenue of $3.17B (-10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.55B , and +1.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$99.0M, operating cash flow of $189.0M, and free cash flow of $115.0M (+721.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBGI closed FY2025 with $5.95B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.89, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.17B	-$99.0M	$189.0M	$115.0M	$5.95B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.55B	$319.0M	$98.0M	$14.0M	$5.88B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.13B	-$279.0M	$235.0M	$235.0M	—	—

3. SBGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SBGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SBGI compare to NMAX and TV in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBGI?

Where is SBGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SBGI last traded at $12.97 (+1.33% on volume of 660,647 shares), positioning the stock -1.37% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.15) and -7.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.05). Across its 52-week range of $11.83 to $17.88, SBGI sits at the 18.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($12.02 to $13.92).

Direct Sub-Reports: SBGI RQD Cockpit SBGI 12M Forecast SBGI Earnings & Move SBGI Dividends & DRIP SBGI Insiders & 13F SBGI Whale Options SBGI Profit Sankey SBGI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SBGI — Sinclair Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $12.97 (+1.33% 1D, market capitalization $925.7M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 5.5%, and free cash flow yield of 12.52%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.89, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (Class A) (SBGI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, operating in the Broadcasting industry. The source data identifies the company's market capitalization as $0.9B. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue-generation mechanics are — Gross margin is reported as 0%, and operating margin as 5.5%, per the market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) reported $3.17B in annual revenue (up from $3.55B in FY2024, -10.7% YoY) and -$99.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.13B revenue, -$279.0M net income) through FY2025, SBGI scaled operating cash flow to $189.0M and free cash flow to $115.0M, backed by $5.95B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Free cash flow yield of 12.52% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.83 – $17.88 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against 5.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations: — Second-order bottlenecks: — The sector and industry classification (Communication Services / Broadcasting) is the only sector-level context provided.

Key Question #1: Can SBGI sustain or expand its 5.5% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.17B and free cash flow of $115.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is SBGI's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SBGI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SBGI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Why Sinclair Stock Could Benefit From The Streaming TV Ad Shakeup

Yahoo Finance report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Sinclair, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:SBGI

TradingView report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sinclair, Inc. (NASDAQ:SBGI) Stock Now Rated "Hold" by Sell-Side Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Fox Stock And Other Income Plays In High Yield US Media

Simply Wall St report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Behavioral Patterns of SBGI and Institutional Flows

Stock Traders Daily report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Sinclair (NASDAQ:SBGI) Reaches New 52-Week Low - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Wells Fargo keeps USD 16.00 target for Sinclair stock

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

3 US TV Stocks Riding The Political Ad Boom

Simply Wall St report covering Sinclair Inc. (Class A) (SBGI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SBGI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SBGI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.72 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Cash generation is strong, with ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 12.52%, supporting a 7.51% dividend yield.

Cash generation is strong, with ROIC of 85% and an FCF yield of 12.52%, supporting a 7.51% dividend yield.. When you look under the hood at SBGI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 85.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $17.88. My 12M target is $14.72.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $12.80 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.73 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $12.80

The balance sheet and institutional flow are weak, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.89, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Whale 13F Flow pil

The balance sheet and institutional flow are weak, with an Altman Z-Score of 0.89, a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and a Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 5 of 20.. Look at the math on SBGI: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 85.0% ROIC and 5.5% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Broadcasting demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $11.26 before getting long.