Why SCLX Stock dropped -10.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.85 -10.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81

Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $15.7M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SCLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Scilex Holding Company (NASDAQ: SCLX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.85 (-10.19% 1D, market cap $15.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SCLX ranks #471 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SCLX compare to DYAI and ABOS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), SCLX carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DYAI (Dyadic International Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.2M) and ABOS (Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SCLX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SCLX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SCLX?
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Per SCLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820190), Scilex Holding Company generated $30.3M in revenue (-46.5% YoY), -$374.1M in net income, and $3.7M in free cash flow against $365.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.81 (-2.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$18 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE SCLX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SCLX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SCLX SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.2% FCF Margin ($3.7M FCF) & 415.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$2.88-12.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$2.53-19% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$2.05-9.8% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$1.85-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SCLX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SCLX currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.02) and Max Pain ($1.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.65.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SCLX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SCLX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SCLX Stock dropped -10.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) dropped -10.19% to $1.85, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $16.81). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $16.81) with RSI-14 at 20.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.85 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 415.8% gross margin and $3.7M annual free cash flow.
Live SCLX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 1d ago
12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Monday's Pre-Market Session

Gainers Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO) shares increased by 232.0% to $2.0 during Monday&#39;s pre-market session. The company&#39;s market cap stands at $62.2 million. AngioDynamics (NASDAQ:ANGO) shares increased

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 14d ago
12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Tuesday's Pre-Market Session

Gainers SCWorx (NASDAQ:WORX) stock rose 47.8% to $3.96 during Tuesday&#39;s pre-market session. Integra Lifesciences (NASDAQ:IART) shares increased by 31.97% to $17.75. The market value of their outstanding shares is

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SCLX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SCLX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SCLX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -73.34%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.06H $2.06L $1.85C $1.85VOL 49.9K
RES: $8.73SUP: $1.69SMA50: $4.02SMA200: $5.26
$11.03$8.54$6.04$3.55$1.06RES $8.73SUP $1.69$1.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SCLX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -46.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SCLX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SCLX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SCLX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SCLX)

Health Care Rank #471 of 1016 ⚔️ DYAI vs SCLX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SCLX vs. DYAI, ABOS, PLUR, JSPR)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) ranks #471 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #850 by equity capitalization ($15.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SCLX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SCLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. SCLX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SCLX ACTIVE
Scilex Holding Company
D- 40/100 — 96.0% -35.0% -10.19% $15.7M Benchmark Subject
DYAI
Dyadic International Inc.
E 31/100 — 24.9% -35.0% +5.32% $15.2M /dyai-vs-sclx →
ABOS
Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -90.82% $15.2M /abos-vs-sclx →
PLUR
Pluri Inc.
E 34/100 — 49.0% -35.0% +3.33% $16.7M /plur-vs-sclx →
JSPR
Jasper Therapeutics Inc.
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -2.22% $17.3M /jspr-vs-sclx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001820190

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) reported GAAP revenue of $30.3M (-46.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $56.6M , and -35.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$374.1M, operating cash flow of $3.8M, and free cash flow of $3.7M (-81.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, SCLX closed FY2025 with $365.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $30.3M -$374.1M $3.8M $3.7M $365.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $56.6M -$72.8M $19.3M $19.3M $93.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $46.7M -$114.3M -$20.7M -$20.7M — —

3. SCLX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SCLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Scilex Holding Company (NASDAQ: SCLX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.85 (-10.19% 1D, market cap $15.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SCLX ranks #471 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SCLX compare to DYAI and ABOS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), SCLX carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DYAI (Dyadic International Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.2M) and ABOS (Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $15.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SCLX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SCLX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SCLX?

Per SCLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001820190), Scilex Holding Company generated $30.3M in revenue (-46.5% YoY), -$374.1M in net income, and $3.7M in free cash flow against $365.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SCLX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SCLX last traded at $1.85 (-10.19% on volume of 49,895 shares), positioning the stock -53.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.02) and -64.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.26). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $16.81, SCLX sits at the 0.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 20.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.62 to $2.08).

SCLX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is SCLX stock moving today?

Why SCLX Stock dropped -10.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SCLX — Scilex Holding Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SCLX carries an RQD Score of 40, a letter grade of D-, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The pillar notes ROIC of -35% alongside an FCF yield of 21.05%. For a prospective investor, the strong FCF yield sits against a deeply negative return on invested capital, so the cash signal and the profitability signal point in different directions and require closer scrutiny before any conclusion is drawn.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. This is the weakest pillar and is described as covering institutional accumulation and options positioning. A low score here indicates that the institutional-flow signal provides little support for the stock.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. This pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A below-midpoint score suggests insider and disclosed-trade activity offers limited conviction support.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The pillar references a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity, while the score indicates the macro-regime backdrop is not favorable to the name.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. The pillar cites an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. These readings fall in a middle-to-weak range, and the balance-sheet score signals vulnerability rather than strength.

Taken together, the pillars indicate that the valuation discount (price of $2.06 against a 52-week range of $1.83–$16.81) reflects a deteriorated fundamental and flow picture rather than a clear mispricing. Upside drivers would need to come from a reversal in operating losses or a shift in institutional and insider positioning, neither of which is evidenced in the source data. The rating framework therefore frames SCLX as a high-risk profile where the downside factors currently outweigh the supportive ones.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$30.3M$-346.0M$-374.1MN/A$3.7M$5.0MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$56.6M$-83.4M$-72.8MN/A$19.3M$3.3MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$46.7M$-105.4M$-114.3MN/A$-20.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $56.6M in FY 2024 to $30.3M in FY 2025, while net loss widened to $-374.1M. Per the market data, net margin is -60% and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic pillar cites an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 4/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, which together describe a balance sheet with limited financial strength. Reported cash of $5.0M against a net loss of $-374.1M highlights liquidity sensitivity in the source data.

Open Questions

  • What drove the revenue decline from $56.6M in FY 2024 to $30.3M in FY 2025, and what products or segments were affected?
  • What explains the $-374.1M net loss in FY 2025 relative to the $-72.8M loss in FY 2024?
  • What is the company's total debt, since the debt field is reported as N/A across all periods?
  • What is the source of the discrepancy between the rounded $0.0B market-cap label in the profile and the $17.5M market-cap figure in the market data?
  • What is the company's EPS and debt position given that EPS is reported as N/A across all periods?

SCLX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Scilex Holding Company (SCLX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SCLX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SCLX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.85?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SCLX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SCLX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.81 (-12.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SCLX (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $2.06?

Welcome to the SCLX (Scilex Holding Company) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.59 (-22.8%)
Spot @ $2.06

Pump the brakes on SCLX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SCLX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 96.0% gross margins. Unless Scilex Holding Company expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.49 (+20.9%)
Spot @ $2.06

SCLX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SCLX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.06 (52-wk range $1.83 - $16.81), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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