MarketBeat report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SDHC Stock advanced +1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SDHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: SDHC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $10.43 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $520.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SDHC ranks #860 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SDHC compare to HOV and LEGH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), SDHC carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.0x, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 12.3%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $592.5M) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $698.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SDHC?
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Per SDHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001982518), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) generated $971.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $10.7M in net income, and -$36.9M in free cash flow against $557.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 21.8% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SDHC Turnaround Squeeze
While SDHC currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.53) and Max Pain ($10.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.66.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why SDHC Stock advanced +1.86% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) advanced +1.86% to $10.43, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($9.71 – $23.49). Stretched risk/reward at 50x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($9.71 – $23.49) with RSI-14 at 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.8% around $10.43 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 21.8% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Wells Fargo analyst Sam Reid maintains Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $14 to $10.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SDHC)
- ✓Walkthrough of SDHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SDHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SDHC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SDHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SDHC)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SDHC vs. HOV, LEGH, DFH, LGIH)
Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) ranks #860 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #580 by equity capitalization ($520.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with SDHC at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDHC
ACTIVE
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) | E | 31/100 | 50.0x | 21.8% | 12.3% | +1.86% | $520.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | — | — | — | +5.54% | $592.5M | /hov-vs-sdhc → |
| LEGH Legacy Housing Corporation (TX) | C+ | 68/100 | 16.5x | — | 7.4% | +9.54% | $698.3M | /legh-vs-sdhc → |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A) | D- | 38/100 | 4.2x | — | 15.3% | +11.85% | $886.3M | /dfh-vs-sdhc → |
| LGIH LGI Homes Inc. | E | 28/100 | 14.0x | 20.7% | 3.0% | +6.87% | $1.03B | /lgih-vs-sdhc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001982518 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) reported GAAP revenue of $971.1M (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $975.5M , and +27.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.7M, operating cash flow of -$31.3M, and free cash flow of -$36.9M (-341.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SDHC closed FY2025 with $557.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $971.1M | $10.7M | -$31.3M | -$36.9M | $557.6M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $975.5M | $16.1M | $19.1M | $15.2M | $475.9M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $764.6M | $0 | $76.3M | $76.3M | — | — |
3. SDHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SDHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: SDHC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $10.43 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $520.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SDHC ranks #860 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SDHC compare to HOV and LEGH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), SDHC carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.0x, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 12.3%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $592.5M) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $698.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SDHC?
Per SDHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001982518), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) generated $971.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $10.7M in net income, and -$36.9M in free cash flow against $557.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SDHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SDHC last traded at $10.43 (+1.86% on volume of 45,050 shares), positioning the stock -0.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.53) and -22.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.50). Across its 52-week range of $9.71 to $23.49, SDHC sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($9.51 to $11.35).
SDHC — Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.43 (+1.86% 1D, market capitalization $520.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.3%, gross margin of 21.8%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -6.89%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Homebuilding industry. FY 2025 revenue was $971.1M, indicating a sizable homebuilding operation.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) reported $971.1M in annual revenue (up from $975.5M in FY2024, -0.4% YoY) and $10.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($764.6M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, SDHC scaled operating cash flow to -$31.3M and free cash flow to -$36.9M, backed by $557.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.89% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.71 – $23.49 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 50.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
A prospective investor should note that the absence of recorded links means second-order ripples cannot be mapped from the provided material.
- Key Question #1: Can SDHC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 12.3% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $971.1M and free cash flow of -$36.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is SDHC's 46.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
SDHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
MarketBeat report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Business Wire report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SDHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.43?
Reported ROIC of 12.3% and a 21.8% gross margin show the underlying operating model still earns a respectable return on capital.
Long SDHC at $10.24 targeting $12.90. Reported ROIC of 12.3% and a 21.8% gross margin show the underlying operating model still earns a respectable return on capital.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $9.71 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 31/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $10.24 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.52.
A Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 and a -6.89% FCF yield show weak fundamental quality and cash conversion behind a 50x trailing P/E.
I respect the product at Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A), but the stock at $10.24 is a different story. A Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 and a -6.89% FCF yield show weak fundamental quality and cash conversion behind a 50x trailing P/E.. FCF yield is -6.89% and RQD sits at 31/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?