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Why SDRL Stock dropped -9.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$47.73 -9.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.85

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.99B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SDRL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SDRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Seadrill Limited (NYSE: SDRL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $47.73 (-9.21% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SDRL ranks #142 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SDRL compare to GPOR and NOG in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SDRL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.2%. By comparison, GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $2.96B) and NOG (Northern Oil and Gas Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 76.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SDRL?
▼

Per SDRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001737706), Seadrill Limited generated $1.09B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), -$77.0M in net income, and -$28.0M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $613.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.85 (-1.85%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (17)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$58 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
📬 FREE SDRL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SDRL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SDRL SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$46.98+4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$49.17+6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$52.48-9.1% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$47.73-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SDRL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SDRL currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($48.01) and Max Pain ($50.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $58.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SDRL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SDRL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SDRL Stock dropped -9.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) dropped -9.21% to $47.73, trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($28.1 – $55.47). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($28.1 – $55.47) with RSI-14 at 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $47.73 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SDRL Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 11d ago
Missed Seadrill's Rally? Here's What Holders Had To Buy

If Seadrill was on your watchlist rather than in your portfolio, the outcome over this stretch may feel like a missed call. For Seadrill shareholders, the return from the start of the year was 49.8%, including dividends.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SDRL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SDRL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SDRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.39%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $52.57H $52.57L $47.73C $47.73VOL 813.1K
RES: $54.88SUP: $45.72SMA50: $48.01SMA200: $45.32
$56.83$51.18$45.54$39.89$34.24RES $54.88SUP $45.72$47.732026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SDRL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SDRL Butterfly Map → + Track SDRL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SDRL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SDRL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SDRL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SDRL)

Energy Rank #142 of 211 ⚔️ GPOR vs SDRL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SDRL vs. GPOR, NOG, TALO, CPK)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seadrill Limited (SDRL) ranks #142 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #105 by equity capitalization ($2.99B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with SDRL at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SDRL ACTIVE
Seadrill Limited
D 48/100 — — 1.2% -9.21% $2.99B Benchmark Subject
GPOR
Gulfport Energy Corporation
C+ 66/100 6.8x 74.8% 18.1% +0.64% $2.96B /gpor-vs-sdrl →
NOG
Northern Oil and Gas Inc.
C 62/100 76.4x 80.9% 9.2% -8.99% $2.75B /nog-vs-sdrl →
TALO
Talos Energy Inc.
C- 60/100 — — -14.6% -9.71% $2.75B /talo-vs-sdrl →
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
D+ 58/100 23.3x — 6.9% +2.11% $3.36B /cpk-vs-sdrl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001737706 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seadrill Limited (SDRL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.09B (+7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$77.0M, operating cash flow of -$28.0M, and free cash flow of -$28.0M (-131.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SDRL closed FY2025 with $3.95B in total assets against $613.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.09B -$77.0M -$28.0M -$28.0M $3.95B $613.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.01B $446.0M $88.0M $88.0M $4.16B $610.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.15B $300.0M $287.0M $287.0M — —

3. SDRL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SDRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Seadrill Limited (NYSE: SDRL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $47.73 (-9.21% 1D, market cap $2.99B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SDRL ranks #142 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SDRL compare to GPOR and NOG in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SDRL carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.2%. By comparison, GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 6.8x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $2.96B) and NOG (Northern Oil and Gas Inc.) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 76.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SDRL?

Per SDRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001737706), Seadrill Limited generated $1.09B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), -$77.0M in net income, and -$28.0M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $613.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SDRL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SDRL last traded at $47.73 (-9.21% on volume of 813,079 shares), positioning the stock -0.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($48.01) and +5.32% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.32). Across its 52-week range of $28.10 to $55.47, SDRL sits at the 71.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($43.20 to $52.26).

Direct Sub-Reports: SDRL RQD Cockpit SDRL 12M Forecast SDRL Earnings & Move SDRL Dividends & DRIP SDRL Insiders & 13F SDRL Whale Options SDRL Profit Sankey SDRL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SDRL — Seadrill Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $47.73 (-9.21% 1D, market capitalization $2.99B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 4.3%, and free cash flow yield of -0.86%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.21x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Oil & Gas Production..2B. The source data identifies the sector and industry only.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Seadrill Limited (SDRL) reported $1.09B in annual revenue (up from $1.01B in FY2024, +7.9% YoY) and -$77.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.15B revenue, $300.0M net income) through FY2025, SDRL scaled operating cash flow to -$28.0M and free cash flow to -$28.0M, backed by $3.95B in total assets against $613.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -0.86% and institutional whale pillar of 17/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $28.10 – $55.47 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 74.8x EV/EBITDA against 4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided data. Investors should note that the sector classification (Energy / Oil & Gas Production) and the beta of 1.0 are the only structural indicators available.

  • Key Question #1: Can SDRL sustain or expand its 4.3% operating margin and 1.2% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.09B and free cash flow of -$28.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $613.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SDRL's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SDRL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Seadrill Limited (SDRL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SDRL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SDRL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.73?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SDRL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SDRL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $63.08 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16/20 in the RQD rating, and the news wire cites multi-year rig deals as a cat

Long SDRL at $52.57 targeting $63.08. Institutional accumulation and options positioning score 16/20 in the RQD rating, and the news wire cites multi-year rig deals as a catalyst.. Institutional whale score is 17/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $28.10 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $52.57 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $39.43 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $52.57

Operating income fell from $412.0M in FY 2024 to $47.0M in FY 2025, and net income turned to -$77.0M with FCF yield at -0.86%.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SDRL: Operating income fell from $412.0M in FY 2024 to $47.0M in FY 2025, and net income turned to -$77.0M with FCF yield at -0.86%.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Oil & Gas Production triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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