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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SEAT / earnings
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Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.65 +14.72% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.72

Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $27.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SEAT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SEAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SEAT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $2.65 (+14.72% 1D, market cap $27.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEAT ranks #758 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SEAT compare to AIFA and NOMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEAT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AIFA (All In FutureTech Alliance Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $27.4M) and NOMA (NOMADAR Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.6%, cap $23.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHMA leads on earnings multiple (26.2x) while AHMA leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEAT?
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Per SEAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001856031), Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) generated $450.5M in revenue (-30.5% YoY), $806.1M in net income, and -$93.8M in free cash flow against $636.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.72 (+2.46%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.1% Base Target
$13 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE SEAT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEAT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SEAT SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 6% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$2.79+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$2.79-21.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$2.18+21.6% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$2.65-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SEAT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SEAT currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.92) and Max Pain ($2.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEAT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SEAT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.33 Expected Swing
$2.32 (-12.5%)Spot $2.65$2.98 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SEAT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 38/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -30.5%

Model Bullish Setup (38/100)Model Risk Weight (62/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$450.5M$806.1M-$93.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$647.9M$13.4M$49.7M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$597.4M$69.4M$147.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEAT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SEAT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SEAT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -58.79%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.35H $2.65L $2.31C $2.65VOL 57.8K
RES: $8.81SUP: $1.71SMA50: $3.92SMA200: $6.35
$11.93$9.25$6.56$3.88$1.20RES $8.81SUP $1.71$2.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SEAT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SEAT Butterfly Map → + Track SEAT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -30.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEAT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEAT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEAT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEAT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #758 of 1009 ⚔️ AIFA vs SEAT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SEAT vs. AIFA, NOMA, AHMA, SLMT)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) ranks #758 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #867 by equity capitalization ($27.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AHMA leads on earnings valuation at 26.2x trailing P/E, while AHMA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 24.9% gross margin. SLMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SEAT at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SEAT ACTIVE
Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 — — — +14.72% $27.1M Benchmark Subject
AIFA
All In FutureTech Alliance Inc.
D 46/100 — — -35.0% -8.92% $27.4M /aifa-vs-seat →
NOMA
NOMADAR Corp. (Class A)
E 21/100 — 51.7% -29.6% +9.21% $23.2M /noma-vs-seat →
AHMA
Ambitions Enterprise Management Co. L.L.C (Class A)
D 45/100 26.2x 24.9% 10.6% -6.14% $33.9M /ahma-vs-seat →
SLMT
Solmate Infrastructure Public Limited Company (Class B)
D 48/100 — — — -9.15% $34.9M /slmt-vs-seat →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001856031 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) reported GAAP revenue of $450.5M (-30.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $647.9M , and -24.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $806.1M, operating cash flow of -$91.6M, and free cash flow of -$93.8M (-288.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEAT closed FY2025 with $636.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $450.5M $806.1M -$91.6M -$93.8M $636.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $647.9M $13.4M $53.9M $49.7M $1.64B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $597.4M $69.4M $147.3M $147.3M — —

3. SEAT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SEAT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: SEAT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $2.65 (+14.72% 1D, market cap $27.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEAT ranks #758 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SEAT compare to AIFA and NOMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEAT carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AIFA (All In FutureTech Alliance Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $27.4M) and NOMA (NOMADAR Corp. (Class A)) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.6%, cap $23.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AHMA leads on earnings multiple (26.2x) while AHMA leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEAT?

Per SEAT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001856031), Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) generated $450.5M in revenue (-30.5% YoY), $806.1M in net income, and -$93.8M in free cash flow against $636.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SEAT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SEAT last traded at $2.65 (+14.72% on volume of 98,667 shares), positioning the stock -32.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.92) and -58.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.35). Across its 52-week range of $2.03 to $12.73, SEAT sits at the 5.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.32 to $2.98).

Direct Sub-Reports: SEAT RQD Cockpit SEAT 12M Forecast SEAT Earnings & Move SEAT Dividends & DRIP SEAT Insiders & 13F SEAT Whale Options SEAT Profit Sankey SEAT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SEAT — Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.65 (+14.72% 1D, market capitalization $27.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. Revenue-generating activities, customer base, and monetization model are — The profile lists a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $27.5M figure in market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) reported $450.5M in annual revenue (up from $647.9M in FY2024, -30.5% YoY) and $806.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($597.4M revenue, $69.4M net income) through FY2025, SEAT scaled operating cash flow to -$91.6M and free cash flow to -$93.8M, backed by $636.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.03 – $12.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty.

  • Key Question #1: Can SEAT sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $450.5M and free cash flow of -$93.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SEAT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SEAT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vivid Seats Inc. (Class A) (SEAT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SEAT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SEAT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SEAT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SEAT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.03 (+31.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported net margin of 68% and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 suggest reported profitability and a balance sheet outside the distress zone de

Don't sleep on SEAT's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Reported net margin of 68% and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 suggest reported profitability and a balance sheet outside the distress zone despite weak cash flow.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (38/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 38/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $2.31 and keeping dry powder in case we test $2.15.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.76 (-23.8%)
Spot @ $2.31

Negative FY 2025 free cash flow of -$93.8M, 0% ROIC, and a 2 of 9 Piotroski F-Score point to weak cash generation and fragile fundament

Fading this rally in SEAT at $2.31. Negative FY 2025 free cash flow of -$93.8M, 0% ROIC, and a 2 of 9 Piotroski F-Score point to weak cash generation and fragile fundamentals.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $2.31 (52-wk range $2.03–$12.73), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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