Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE: SEG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $22.56 (-2.13% 1D, market cap $289.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEG ranks #994 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, XPOF (Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.8%, cap $220.0M) and CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $393.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).
Per SEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002009684), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. generated $130.4M in revenue (+18.3% YoY), -$116.7M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $650.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While SEG currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.90) and Max Pain ($23.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.09.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) dropped -2.13% to $22.56, trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($17.74 – $29.61). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-25% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Seeking Alpha report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEG today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) ranks #994 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #649 by equity capitalization ($289.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SEG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LUCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CDRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SEG at 18/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEG
ACTIVE
Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | E | 18/100 | — | — | -24.6% | -2.13% | $289.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| XPOF Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A) | D | 44/100 | — | — | 6.8% | +19.25% | $220.0M | /xpof-vs-seg → |
| CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg S.A. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | +1.53% | $393.3M | /cdro-vs-seg → |
| AIBZ Bitzero Holdings Inc. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -11.66% | $179.2M | /aibz-vs-seg → |
| LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A) | E | 21/100 | — | — | 7.7% | -0.25% | $550.8M | /luck-vs-seg → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) reported GAAP revenue of $130.4M (+18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.2M , and +13.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$116.7M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEG closed FY2025 with $650.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $130.4M | -$116.7M | -$49.7M | -$49.7M | $650.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $110.2M | -$153.2M | -$52.7M | -$52.7M | $743.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $114.9M | -$838.1M | -$50.8M | -$50.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE: SEG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $22.56 (-2.13% 1D, market cap $289.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEG ranks #994 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, XPOF (Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.8%, cap $220.0M) and CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $393.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).
Per SEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002009684), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. generated $130.4M in revenue (+18.3% YoY), -$116.7M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $650.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
SEG last traded at $22.56 (-2.13% on volume of 41,190 shares), positioning the stock -5.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.90) and -4.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.61). Across its 52-week range of $17.74 to $29.61, SEG sits at the 40.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($21.43 to $23.69).
Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEG scores 20 out of 100, a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC of -24.6% and FCF yield of -16.82%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z-Score of 0.2, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is the cash engine, where the reported negative ROIC and negative FCF yield indicate the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow
Per the company profile, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B.
Per the news feed, the headlines include: a Seeking Alpha report titled "Seaport Entertainment: Qualitative Story Seems Interesting, But Execution Risks Suggest Caution," flagged RED with impact label RISK WATCH; a Yahoo Finance announcement of third quarter earnings release and conference call dates; a TradingView estimates page; a MarketBeat item on a JonesTrading Q3 earnings estimate; a Moomoo preview stating SEG will report financial results post-market on November 04; and an Investing.com Form 144 filing item dated 11 October. The earnings date is a near-term catalyst, and the RISK WATCH item is the only RED-flagged signal. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals or butterfly links.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE with no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com Nigeria report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the SEG (Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 20/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SEG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SEG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $23.05 (52-wk range $17.74 - $29.61), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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