Why SENS Stock dropped -2.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$9.51 -2.46% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.45

Senseonics Holdings Inc. (SENS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $515.5M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SENS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Senseonics Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SENS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $9.51 (-2.46% 1D, market cap $515.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SENS ranks #500 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SENS compare to RCEL and ANGO in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), SENS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RCEL (Avita Medical Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $516.8M) and ANGO (AngioDynamics Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.4%, cap $519.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SENS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DCTH leads on capital efficiency (0.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SENS?
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Per SENS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001616543), Senseonics Holdings Inc. generated $35.3M in revenue (+56.9% YoY), -$69.1M in net income, and -$59.1M in free cash flow against $126.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.45 (-0.63%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (15)SEC (8)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
$11 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE SENS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SENS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SENS SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (37% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+9/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$9.24-13.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$8.02-6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$7.48+27.1% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$9.51-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SENS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SENS currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.19) and Max Pain ($9.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.17.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SENS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SENS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SENS Stock dropped -2.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Senseonics Holdings Inc. (SENS) dropped -2.46% to $9.51, trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($4.79 – $10.64). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($4.79 – $10.64) with RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $9.51 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 44.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SENS Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SENS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SENS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SENS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +89.82%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $9.34H $9.75L $9.34C $9.51VOL 522.7K
RES: $11.22SUP: $7.48SMA50: $9.19SMA200: $7.22
$11.05$9.35$7.66$5.96$4.26RES $11.22SUP $7.48$9.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SENS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +56.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SENS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SENS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SENS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SENS)

Health Care Rank #500 of 1016 ⚔️ RCEL vs SENS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SENS vs. RCEL, ANGO, DCTH, SGHT)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Senseonics Holdings Inc. (SENS) ranks #500 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #444 by equity capitalization ($515.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SENS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DCTH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.8% ROIC and 86.2% gross margin. DCTH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with SENS at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SENS ACTIVE
Senseonics Holdings Inc.
D- 41/100 — 44.7% -35.0% -2.46% $515.5M Benchmark Subject
RCEL
Avita Medical Inc.
D 46/100 — 82.1% -35.0% -6.34% $516.8M /rcel-vs-sens →
ANGO
AngioDynamics Inc.
D- 36/100 — 54.6% -23.4% -2.91% $519.4M /ango-vs-sens →
DCTH
Delcath Systems Inc.
C 62/100 — 86.2% 0.8% -4.10% $508.0M /dcth-vs-sens →
SGHT
Sight Sciences Inc.
D- 39/100 — 86.2% -35.0% -2.61% $527.2M /sght-vs-sens →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001616543

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Senseonics Holdings Inc. (SENS) reported GAAP revenue of $35.3M (+56.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.5M , and +57.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.1M, operating cash flow of -$59.1M, and free cash flow of -$59.1M (+2.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SENS closed FY2025 with $126.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $35.3M -$69.1M -$59.1M -$59.1M $126.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.5M -$78.6M -$60.5M -$60.5M $100.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.4M -$60.4M -$70.2M -$70.2M — —

3. SENS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SENS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Senseonics Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SENS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $9.51 (-2.46% 1D, market cap $515.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SENS ranks #500 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SENS compare to RCEL and ANGO in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), SENS carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 44.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, RCEL (Avita Medical Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $516.8M) and ANGO (AngioDynamics Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.4%, cap $519.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SENS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DCTH leads on capital efficiency (0.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SENS?

Per SENS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001616543), Senseonics Holdings Inc. generated $35.3M in revenue (+56.9% YoY), -$69.1M in net income, and -$59.1M in free cash flow against $126.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SENS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SENS last traded at $9.51 (-2.46% on volume of 988,614 shares), positioning the stock +3.48% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.19) and +31.72% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.22). Across its 52-week range of $4.79 to $10.64, SENS sits at the 80.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.32 to $10.70).

SENS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is SENS stock moving today?

Why SENS Stock dropped -2.46% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SENS — Senseonics Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:35:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SENS scores 41 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -11.47%. For a prospective investor, the core issue is that the business is consuming cash rather than generating it, so the equity case depends on future operating improvement that the current numbers do not yet show.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 15 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar, suggesting some professional interest, though the source data does not break out the size or direction of those positions.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates weak insider signaling, which a prospective investor may weigh as a lack of visible conviction from people with the most information.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. The stock is assessed as moving in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion in a downturn.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These are moderate readings that do not signal acute distress but do not provide strong balance-sheet comfort either.

Taken together, the rating points to a company with a cash-burning operating model, moderate forensic health, and a valuation that depends heavily on a turnaround that has not yet appeared in reported results. The upside case rests on margin improvement and sustained institutional interest; the downside risk is continued burn that erodes the cash position.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$35.3M$-68.3M$-69.1MN/A$-59.1M$40.2MN/A
FY 2024$22.5M$-74.8M$-78.6MN/A$-60.5M$74.6MN/A
FY 2023$22.4M$-75.6M$-60.4MN/A$-70.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $22.4M in FY 2023 to $35.3M in FY 2025, but operating losses remained large in every period shown, and net margin per the market data is -60%. Operating margin is also -60% and ROIC is -35%. Cash declined from $74.6M at FY 2024 to $40.2M at FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, indicating moderate forensic health, with Debt/Equity at 0.5.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most recent items (all tagged as market wire, yellow signal) include: a Stock Titan item reporting a one-year diabetes monitor designed without an external transmitter entering human testing; a Stock Titan item noting two November talks in New York; and a Barclays price target of USD 10 reported by ad-hoc-news.de. Other items are general market coverage from Yahoo Finance, Kalkine Media, and Yahoo! Finance Canada. The human-testing entry is the most substantive product catalyst; the Barclays target is the only specific valuation reference. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data section, no information is available. Per the holders section, no information is available. Consensus rating and price targets from the Barclays item are the only analyst reference in the feed, but no consensus or full target set is provided. Form 4 insider, 13F institutional, and Congressional trade detail is Not available in source data beyond the RQD pillar scores noted above.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between the $35.3M FY 2025 revenue and the -$68.3M operating loss, and when does management expect that gap to narrow?
  • Why did cash decline by roughly $34.4M from FY 2024 to FY 2025, and how much runway remains at the current burn rate?
  • What is the size and direction of institutional and options positioning behind the 13F pillar score?
  • Does the Barclays USD 10 target reflect a full analyst coverage set, and what assumptions underpin it?
  • What are the commercial milestones and regulatory timelines associated with the human-testing monitor?

SENS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Senseonics Holdings Inc. (SENS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SENS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SENS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.51?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SENS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SENS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.58 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SENS (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $9.75?

Welcome to the SENS (Senseonics Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.80 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $9.75

Pump the brakes on SENS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SENS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 44.7% gross margins. Unless Senseonics Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.99 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $9.75

SENS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SENS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.75 (52-wk range $4.79 - $10.64), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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