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Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (SG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$11.47 +3.61% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.52

Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (SG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $1.32B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $11.47 (+3.61% 1D, market cap $1.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SG ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SG compare to BJRI and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), SG carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BJRI (BJ's Restaurants Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.33B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SG?
β–Ό

Per SG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001477815), Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) generated $679.5M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$134.1M in net income, and -$119.2M in free cash flow against $788.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.52 (+0.46%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (17)SEC (3)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$12 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SG SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (55% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±11.1% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 97% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 64.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$10.03+6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$10.67-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$10.31+11.3% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$11.47-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (23) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SG currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.62) and Max Pain ($12.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.30.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +70.43%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $11.41H $11.47L $11.07C $11.47VOL 3.53M
RES: $11.78SUP: $3.82SMA50: $8.62SMA200: $7.23
$12.18$10.23$8.29$6.34$4.40RES $11.78SUP $3.82$11.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #859 of 1009 βš”οΈ BJRI vs SG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SG vs. BJRI, WEN, ARCO, CBRL)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (SG) ranks #859 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #473 by equity capitalization ($1.32B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCO leads on earnings valuation at 6.9x trailing P/E, while ARCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. CBRL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with SG at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SG ACTIVE
Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +3.61% $1.32B Benchmark Subject
BJRI
BJ's Restaurants Inc.
C- 61/100 27.6x 74.7% 10.7% +0.98% $1.33B /bjri-vs-sg β†’
WEN
Wendy's Company
D 49/100 8.3x 63.6% 10.7% +0.69% $1.37B /wen-vs-sg β†’
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 6.9x 96.0% 18.9% +0.59% $1.42B /arco-vs-sg β†’
CBRL
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc
B- 70/100 34.9x 69.0% 5.4% -0.43% $1.57B /cbrl-vs-sg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-28 β€’ CIK 0001477815 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (SG) reported GAAP revenue of $679.5M (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $676.8M , and +16.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$134.1M, operating cash flow of -$12.7M, and free cash flow of -$119.2M (-190.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SG closed FY2025 with $788.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.39, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $679.5M -$134.1M -$12.7M -$119.2M $788.1M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $676.8M -$90.4M $43.4M -$41.1M $856.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $584.0M -$113.4M $26.5M $26.5M β€” β€”

3. SG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $11.47 (+3.61% 1D, market cap $1.32B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SG ranks #859 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SG compare to BJRI and WEN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), SG carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BJRI (BJ's Restaurants Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 27.6x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.33B) and WEN (Wendy's Company) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 8.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCO leads on earnings multiple (6.9x) while ARCO leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SG?

Per SG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001477815), Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) generated $679.5M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$134.1M in net income, and -$119.2M in free cash flow against $788.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SG last traded at $11.47 (+3.61% on volume of 5,084,371 shares), positioning the stock +33.06% above its 50-day simple moving average ($8.62) and +58.64% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.23). Across its 52-week range of $4.49 to $11.71, SG sits at the 96.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.1% ($10.20 to $12.74).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 31/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SG β€” Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (SG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $11.47 (+3.61% 1D, market capitalization $1.32B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of -20.5%, and free cash flow yield of -8.78%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.39, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Restaurants industry. Its market capitalization is $1.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (SG) reported $679.5M in annual revenue (up from $676.8M in FY2024, +0.4% YoY) and -$134.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($584.0M revenue, -$113.4M net income) through FY2025, SG scaled operating cash flow to -$12.7M and free cash flow to -$119.2M, backed by $788.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 31/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of -8.78% and institutional whale pillar of 17/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.49 – $11.71 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -20.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is β€” Sector correlation data beyond beta of 1.0 is β€” Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can SG sustain or expand its -20.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $679.5M and free cash flow of -$119.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SG's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A) (SG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $11.47?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.06 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional whale-flow and options positioning score 17 of 20, the strongest pillar in the RQD rating.

Here is why I am bullish on SG here at $11.07: Institutional whale-flow and options positioning score 17 of 20, the strongest pillar in the RQD rating.. Compare SG's -20.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Restaurants. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $10.52 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader πŸ‚ BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 17/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.07 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.86 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $11.07

Altman Z of 0.39, Piotroski F of 2/9, and ROIC of -35% signal forensic distress and negative cash economics.

I respect the product at Sweetgreen Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $11.07 is a different story. Altman Z of 0.39, Piotroski F of 2/9, and ROIC of -35% signal forensic distress and negative cash economics.. FCF yield is -8.78% and RQD sits at 31/100 (E) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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