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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / SGA / forecast
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Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$7.77 -4.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.70

Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $51.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SGA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SGA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (NASDAQ: SGA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $7.77 (-4.07% 1D, market cap $51.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SGA ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SGA compare to TSQ and MDIA in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SGA carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, TSQ (Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.4%, cap $54.1M) and MDIA (Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.7%, cap $74.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TSQ leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGA?
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Per SGA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000886136), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) generated $30.9M in revenue (+369.0% YoY), -$7.9M in net income, and $2.4M in free cash flow against $201.3M in total assets and $5.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.70 (-0.92%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$13 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE SGA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SGA SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.8% FCF Margin ($2.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$8.10+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$8.40-0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$8.37-7.2% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$7.77-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SGA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SGA currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.58) and Max Pain ($8.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SGA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your SGA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $7.77: 1287.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $5.84
$7,516
$-2,484 (-24.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.49
$9,640
$-360 (-3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.40
$17,246
+$7,246 (+72.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SGA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SGA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SGA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.81%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $8.14H $8.14L $7.77C $7.77VOL 5.0K
RES: $8.40SUP: $7.99SMA50: $8.58SMA200: $9.94
$12.26$11.05$9.83$8.61$7.39RES $8.40SUP $7.99$7.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SGA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SGA Butterfly Map → + Track SGA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +369.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGA)

Communication Services Rank #59 of 132 ⚔️ TSQ vs SGA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SGA vs. TSQ, MDIA, UONE, UONEK)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) ranks #59 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #104 by equity capitalization ($51.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TSQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. SGA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SGA ACTIVE
Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A)
D 50/100 — — -6.5% -4.07% $51.5M Benchmark Subject
TSQ
Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)
E 29/100 — 25.5% 8.4% +7.07% $54.1M /tsq-vs-sga →
MDIA
Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — -18.7% +14.61% $74.8M /mdia-vs-sga →
UONE
Urban One Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 — — -31.3% +2.47% $18.7M /uone-vs-sga →
UONEK
Urban One Inc. Class D
E 28/100 — — -31.3% -3.52% $17.0M /uonek-vs-sga →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000886136 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) reported GAAP revenue of $30.9M (+369.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.6M , and -73.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.9M, operating cash flow of $5.5M, and free cash flow of $2.4M (-75.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SGA closed FY2025 with $201.3M in total assets against $5.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $30.9M -$7.9M $5.5M $2.4M $201.3M $5.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.6M $3.5M $13.8M $10.0M $221.7M $5.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $115.5M $9.5M $15.4M $15.4M — —

3. SGA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SGA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (NASDAQ: SGA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $7.77 (-4.07% 1D, market cap $51.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SGA ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SGA compare to TSQ and MDIA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SGA carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, TSQ (Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.4%, cap $54.1M) and MDIA (Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.7%, cap $74.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TSQ leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGA?

Per SGA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000886136), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) generated $30.9M in revenue (+369.0% YoY), -$7.9M in net income, and $2.4M in free cash flow against $201.3M in total assets and $5.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SGA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SGA last traded at $7.77 (-4.07% on volume of 18,844 shares), positioning the stock -9.44% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.58) and -21.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.94). Across its 52-week range of $8.08 to $12.76, SGA sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($7.44 to $8.10).

Direct Sub-Reports: SGA RQD Cockpit SGA 12M Forecast SGA Earnings & Move SGA Dividends & DRIP SGA Insiders & 13F SGA Whale Options SGA Profit Sankey SGA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SGA — Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.77 (-4.07% 1D, market capitalization $51.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -6.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 4.68%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, operating in the Broadcasting industry..1B. —: detailed product lines, customer segments, and revenue model description.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) reported $30.9M in annual revenue (up from $6.6M in FY2024, +369.0% YoY) and -$7.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($115.5M revenue, $9.5M net income) through FY2025, SGA scaled operating cash flow to $5.5M and free cash flow to $2.4M, backed by $201.3M in total assets against $5.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.68% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.08 – $12.76 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

—: upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can SGA sustain or expand its — operating margin and -6.5% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $30.9M and free cash flow of $2.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SGA's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SGA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A) (SGA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SGA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SGA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.77?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SGA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SGA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.12 (+24.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet and cash generation are supported by a 0.03 Debt/Equity ratio and a 4.68% FCF yield, with $22.5M cash against $5.0M debt

Don't sleep on SGA's setup in Communication Services. Balance sheet and cash generation are supported by a 0.03 Debt/Equity ratio and a 4.68% FCF yield, with $22.5M cash against $5.0M debt in FY 2025.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (50/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.10 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.40 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $8.10

Operating income fell from $2.4M in FY 2024 to -$11.0M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -6.5% and institutional flow scores only 4 of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SGA above $8.10. Operating income fell from $2.4M in FY 2024 to -$11.0M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -6.5% and institutional flow scores only 4 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (4.68%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $12.76.

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