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Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$66.42 +4.50% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.83

Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $14.63B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Somnigroup International Inc. (NYSE: SGI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $66.42 (+4.50% 1D, market cap $14.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SGI ranks #496 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SGI compare to MHK and WSM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), SGI carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.6x, gross margin of 42.6%, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, MHK (Mohawk Industries Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $9.44B) and WSM (Williams-Sonoma Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 28.1x, ROIC 45.4%, cap $29.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TILE leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while WSM leads on capital efficiency (45.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGI?
β–Ό

Per SGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001206264), Somnigroup International Inc. generated $7.48B in revenue (+51.6% YoY), $384.1M in net income, and $633.2M in free cash flow against $11.60B in total assets and $3.82B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.83 (+0.62%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) β€’ 8.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 50.1% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510052
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk D-
Cash (15)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (5)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$103 Bull$65 Base$50 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SGI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SGI SCORES 52/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.5% FCF Margin ($633.2M FCF) & 42.6% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.6) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$62.04+1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$62.87-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$62.30+6.6% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$66.42-1.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (44) β†’ D+ (52)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SGI currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Strong cash generator (42.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($64.12) and Max Pain ($69.74) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $103.49.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±7.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SGI)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SGI.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SGI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.14%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $64.44H $66.42L $63.56C $66.42VOL 2.15M
RES: $64.15SUP: $60.00SMA50: $64.12SMA200: $73.24
$86.03$79.00$71.96$64.93$57.90RES $64.15SUP $60.00$66.422026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SGI Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SGI β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
29.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +51.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #496 of 1009 βš”οΈ MHK vs SGI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SGI vs. MHK, WSM, TILE, MBC)

Industry: Home Furnishings (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) ranks #496 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #128 by equity capitalization ($14.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TILE leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while WSM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.4% ROIC and 46.2% gross margin. WSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with SGI at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SGI ACTIVE
Somnigroup International Inc.
D+ 52/100 38.6x 42.6% 11.3% +4.50% $14.63B Benchmark Subject
MHK
Mohawk Industries Inc.
B- 70/100 23.8x 23.9% 4.2% +6.58% $9.44B /mhk-vs-sgi β†’
WSM
Williams-Sonoma Inc.
B+ 79/100 28.1x 46.2% 45.4% +2.66% $29.77B /wsm-vs-sgi β†’
TILE
Interface Inc.
B+ 78/100 18.4x 38.7% 17.5% +4.37% $2.13B /tile-vs-sgi β†’
MBC
MasterBrand Inc.
D+ 54/100 54.6x 30.3% 4.4% +1.52% $1.48B /mbc-vs-sgi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001206264 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) reported GAAP revenue of $7.48B (+51.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.93B , and +51.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $384.1M, operating cash flow of $800.1M, and free cash flow of $633.2M (+11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SGI closed FY2025 with $11.60B in total assets against $3.82B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.34, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.48B $384.1M $800.1M $633.2M $11.60B $3.82B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.93B $384.3M $666.5M $569.2M $5.98B $2.44B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.93B $368.1M $570.3M $348.7M $8.16B $1.91B

3. SGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Somnigroup International Inc. (NYSE: SGI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $66.42 (+4.50% 1D, market cap $14.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SGI ranks #496 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SGI compare to MHK and WSM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Home Furnishings), SGI carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.6x, gross margin of 42.6%, and ROIC of 11.3%. By comparison, MHK (Mohawk Industries Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $9.44B) and WSM (Williams-Sonoma Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 28.1x, ROIC 45.4%, cap $29.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TILE leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while WSM leads on capital efficiency (45.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGI?

Per SGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001206264), Somnigroup International Inc. generated $7.48B in revenue (+51.6% YoY), $384.1M in net income, and $633.2M in free cash flow against $11.60B in total assets and $3.82B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SGI last traded at $66.42 (+4.50% on volume of 4,085,848 shares), positioning the stock +3.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($64.12) and -9.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($73.24). Across its 52-week range of $60.08 to $98.56, SGI sits at the 16.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.2% ($61.64 to $71.20).

Direct Sub-Reports: SGI RQD Cockpit SGI 12M Forecast SGI Earnings & Move SGI Dividends & DRIP SGI Insiders & 13F SGI Whale Options SGI Profit Sankey SGI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 52/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SGI β€” Somnigroup International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $66.42 (+4.50% 1D, market capitalization $14.63B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.3%, gross margin of 42.6%, operating margin of 10.1%, and free cash flow yield of 4.27%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.89x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.34, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.14x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Somnigroup International Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Home Furnishings industry. β€” for detailed product lines, customer base, or revenue-model specifics. The source data reports FY 2025 revenue of $7.48B and a gross margin of 42.6%, but does not describe how the company generates that revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) reported $7.48B in annual revenue (up from $4.93B in FY2024, +51.6% YoY) and $384.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.93B revenue, $368.1M net income) through FY2025, SGI scaled operating cash flow to $800.1M and free cash flow to $633.2M, backed by $11.60B in total assets against $3.82B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 52/100): Strong cash generator (42.6% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Free cash flow yield of 4.27% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $60.08 – $98.56 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 38.6x trailing P/E and 19.0x EV/EBITDA against 10.1% operating margins and a 0.89x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can SGI sustain or expand its 10.1% operating margin and 11.3% ROIC against Home Furnishings peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $7.48B and free cash flow of $633.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.82B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SGI's 32.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.89x)?

SGI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SGI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SGI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $66.42?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SGI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SGI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $77.54 (+22.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Cash generation is the rating's strongest pillar, with 11.3% ROIC and a 4.27% FCF yield supporting the business at a price of $64.44.

Picked up a starter position in SGI in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $63.56. Cash generation is the rating's strongest pillar, with 11.3% ROIC and a 4.27% FCF yield supporting the business at a price of $64.44.. Trading inside a $60.08–$98.56 52-week range with 4.27% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Home Furnishings multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $63.56 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $48.31 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $63.56

Valuation is stretched at a 38.6 TTM P/E and 19 EV/EBITDA while debt more than doubled to $3.82B and macro-regime fit scored only 5 o

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SGI: Valuation is stretched at a 38.6 TTM P/E and 19 EV/EBITDA while debt more than doubled to $3.82B and macro-regime fit scored only 5 of 20.. At 38.6x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Home Furnishings triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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