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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SGU / news
BNED (62) HVT (70) TITN (57) WOOF (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Why SGU Stock advanced +0.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$12.94 +0.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.92

Star Group L.P. (SGU) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $424.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SGU Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SGU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Star Group L.P. (NYSE: SGU) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $12.94 (+0.16% 1D, market cap $424.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SGU ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SGU compare to BNED and HVT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SGU carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of 31.5%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BNED (Barnes & Noble Education Inc) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $439.2M) and HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $456.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGU?
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Per SGU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001002590), Star Group L.P. generated $1.78B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $73.5M in net income, and $56.0M in free cash flow against $1.05B in total assets and $161.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.92 (-0.16%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (10)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$16 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE SGU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SGU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SGU SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 72% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$13.10-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$13.06-1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$12.89+0.4% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$12.94+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SGU Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, SGU faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 29.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.87) or 200D SMA ($12.77) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.23) toward Bear Floor ($10.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SGU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SGU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SGU Stock advanced +0.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Star Group L.P. (SGU) advanced +0.16% to $12.94, trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($11.41 – $13.53). Solid 32% profit margin (32% profit margin), mixed timing at 6x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 72% of its 52-week range ($11.41 – $13.53) with RSI-14 at 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3% around $12.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 31.5% gross margin and $56.0M annual free cash flow.
Live SGU Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 86d ago
Star Group Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Star Group (NYSE:SGU) reported a wider fiscal third-quarter loss as higher insurance claims, lower heating-oil and propane volumes and an unfavorable change in derivative values outweighed improved service and installati

RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 180d ago
Star Group, L.P. Reports Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter Results

STAMFORD, Conn., May 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Star Group, L.P. (the "Company" or "Star") (NYSE:SGU), a home energy distributor and services provider, today filed its quarterly report on Form 10-Q with the SEC and ann

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SGU Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
SGU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.86%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $12.92H $12.94L $12.92C $12.94VOL 10.5K
RES: $13.32SUP: $12.40SMA50: $12.87SMA200: $12.77
$13.63$13.22$12.82$12.41$12.00RES $13.32SUP $12.40$12.942026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SGU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SGU Butterfly Map → + Track SGU →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SGU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SGU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SGU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SGU)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #274 of 1011 ⚔️ BNED vs SGU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SGU vs. BNED, HVT, TITN, WOOF)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Group L.P. (SGU) ranks #274 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #604 by equity capitalization ($424.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SGU leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while BNED leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. HVT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with SGU at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SGU ACTIVE
Star Group L.P.
C 63/100 5.8x 31.5% — +0.16% $424.6M Benchmark Subject
BNED
Barnes & Noble Education Inc
C 62/100 26.1x 23.4% 10.3% -0.39% $439.2M /bned-vs-sgu →
HVT
Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.
B- 70/100 23.2x 60.7% 6.4% -0.44% $456.6M /hvt-vs-sgu →
TITN
Titan Machinery Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 15.8% -0.7% -2.77% $561.5M /titn-vs-sgu →
WOOF
Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 81.5x 38.7% 4.0% +0.77% $747.6M /woof-vs-sgu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001002590

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Star Group L.P. (SGU) reported GAAP revenue of $1.78B (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and -8.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $73.5M, operating cash flow of $71.0M, and free cash flow of $56.0M (-44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SGU closed FY2025 with $1.05B in total assets against $161.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.78B $73.5M $71.0M $56.0M $1.05B $161.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.77B $35.2M $111.0M $100.3M $986.8M $182.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.95B $31.9M $123.7M $123.7M — —

3. SGU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SGU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Star Group L.P. (NYSE: SGU) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $12.94 (+0.16% 1D, market cap $424.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SGU ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SGU compare to BNED and HVT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), SGU carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of 31.5%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BNED (Barnes & Noble Education Inc) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $439.2M) and HVT (Haverty Furniture Companies Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 23.2x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $456.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SGU leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while BNED leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SGU?

Per SGU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001002590), Star Group L.P. generated $1.78B in revenue (+1.0% YoY), $73.5M in net income, and $56.0M in free cash flow against $1.05B in total assets and $161.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SGU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SGU last traded at $12.94 (+0.16% on volume of 10,500 shares), positioning the stock +0.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.87) and +1.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.77). Across its 52-week range of $11.41 to $13.53, SGU sits at the 72.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.0% ($12.55 to $13.33).

Direct Sub-Reports: SGU RQD Cockpit SGU 12M Forecast SGU Earnings & Move SGU Dividends & DRIP SGU Insiders & 13F SGU Whale Options SGU Profit Sankey SGU News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SGU — Star Group L.P.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:36:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SGU scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. The pillar notes ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 13.22%. The high FCF yield is an upside driver, but the 0% ROIC signals that the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital, which limits the quality of that cash flow as a durable engine.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The pillar is labeled as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, suggesting limited institutional conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. The pillar references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the strongest pillar and points to comparatively supportive insider-side signals, though the underlying trade-level detail is not included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity assessment. The score indicates the stock moves in line with the broader market, with no strong defensive or offensive macro tilt in the data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a moderate balance sheet profile: not in distress territory, but not showing top-tier financial strength either.

Taken together, a prospective investor is looking at a stock with a high cash-flow yield and a low earnings multiple, offset by weak return on capital, limited institutional accumulation, and a balance sheet that is adequate rather than strong. The verdict frames this as a balanced risk-reward profile rather than a clear buy or avoid signal.

Business

Star Group L.P. (SGU) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry, per the company profile.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Sector is Consumer Discretionary and industry is Other Specialty Stores.

Open Questions

  • What drives the decline in revenue from FY 2023 to FY 2025, and is the trend expected to continue?
  • What explains the 0% ROIC alongside positive operating and net income in the reported periods?
  • What is the composition and timing of the SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR flows referenced in the insider pillar?
  • Why are EPS values reported as N/A for all periods while the TTM EPS is 2.24?
  • What is the cash and debt position for FY 2023, which is marked N/A in the source?

SGU Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Star Group L.P. (SGU) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SGU Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 86d ago
Star Group Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Star Group (NYSE:SGU) reported a wider fiscal third-quarter loss as higher insurance claims, lower heating-oil and propane volumes and an unfavorable change in derivative values outweighed improved service and installati

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SGU Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.94?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SGU 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SGU:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $13.95 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SGU (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $12.92?

Welcome to the SGU (Star Group L.P.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Other Specialty Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.69 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $12.92

Pump the brakes on SGU — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SGU, but look at what you are paying: 5.8x trailing P/E with 31.5% gross margins. Unless Star Group L.P. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.54 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $12.92

SGU cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SGU, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Specialty Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.92 (52-wk range $11.39 - $13.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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