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Why SHOO Stock advanced +0.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$43.53 +0.07% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.45

Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.18B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SHOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Steven Madden Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $43.53 (+0.07% 1D, market cap $3.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHOO ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SHOO compare to BIRK and WWW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), SHOO carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 73.6x, gross margin of 41.6%, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, BIRK (Birkenstock Holding plc) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.52B) and WWW (Wolverine World Wide Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DECK leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DECK leads on capital efficiency (73.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOO?
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Per SHOO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000913241), Steven Madden Ltd. generated $2.52B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $44.7M in net income, and $119.5M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $234.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $43.45 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 4.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$52 Bull$44 Base$35 Bear
📬 FREE SHOO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHOO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SHOO SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.7% FCF Margin ($119.5M FCF) & 41.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.6) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
70
Grade B$44.75+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$45.06-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$42.78+1.8% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$43.53+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SHOO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, SHOO faces multiple-compression risk if 73.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 74x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($43.91) or 200D SMA ($41.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($44.31) toward Bear Floor ($34.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHOO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SHOO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SHOO Stock advanced +0.07% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) advanced +0.07% to $43.53, trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($31.33 – $49.7). Solid 41.6% gross margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 74x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 66% of its 52-week range ($31.33 – $49.7) with RSI-14 at 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $43.53 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 41.6% gross margin and $119.5M annual free cash flow.
Live SHOO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 2d ago
Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SHOO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SHOO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.52%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $44.93H $44.93L $43.50C $43.53VOL 1.22M
RES: $46.71SUP: $42.05SMA50: $43.91SMA200: $41.35
$50.68$46.62$42.57$38.51$34.45RES $46.71SUP $42.05$43.532026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHOO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
47.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHOO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHOO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHOO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHOO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #283 of 1009 ⚔️ BIRK vs SHOO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SHOO vs. BIRK, WWW, CROX, DECK)

Industry: Shoe Manufacturing (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) ranks #283 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #347 by equity capitalization ($3.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DECK leads on earnings valuation at 11.0x trailing P/E, while DECK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 73.9% ROIC and 57.7% gross margin. DECK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with SHOO at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SHOO ACTIVE
Steven Madden Ltd.
C 62/100 73.6x 41.6% 6.5% +0.07% $3.18B Benchmark Subject
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +6.31% $5.52B /birk-vs-shoo →
WWW
Wolverine World Wide Inc.
B- 71/100 17.6x 47.3% 12.4% +2.89% $1.71B /www-vs-shoo →
CROX
Crocs Inc.
C+ 68/100 — 58.3% 4.9% +1.73% $6.88B /crox-vs-shoo →
DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
B 75/100 11.0x 57.7% 73.9% +3.67% $10.94B /deck-vs-shoo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000913241 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.27B , and +27.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $44.7M, operating cash flow of $162.2M, and free cash flow of $119.5M (-30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHOO closed FY2025 with $1.91B in total assets against $234.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.00, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.52B $44.7M $162.2M $119.5M $1.91B $234.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.27B $169.4M $198.1M $172.2M $1.41B $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.97B $171.6M $229.2M $229.2M — —

3. SHOO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Steven Madden Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $43.53 (+0.07% 1D, market cap $3.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHOO ranks #283 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHOO compare to BIRK and WWW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), SHOO carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 73.6x, gross margin of 41.6%, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, BIRK (Birkenstock Holding plc) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $5.52B) and WWW (Wolverine World Wide Inc.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.6x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DECK leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DECK leads on capital efficiency (73.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHOO?

Per SHOO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000913241), Steven Madden Ltd. generated $2.52B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $44.7M in net income, and $119.5M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $234.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHOO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHOO last traded at $43.53 (+0.07% on volume of 1,313,639 shares), positioning the stock -0.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($43.91) and +5.27% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.35). Across its 52-week range of $31.33 to $49.70, SHOO sits at the 66.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($40.27 to $46.79).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SHOO — Steven Madden Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $43.53 (+0.07% 1D, market capitalization $3.18B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.5%, gross margin of 41.6%, operating margin of 3.2%, and free cash flow yield of 3.64%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.00, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.27x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Shoe Manufacturing industry. Per the recent news wire, the company's brand grew from a $1,100 start in 1990 to selling more than $1 billion in merchandise annually. FY 2025 revenue was $2.52B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) reported $2.52B in annual revenue (up from $2.27B in FY2024, +11.0% YoY) and $44.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.97B revenue, $171.6M net income) through FY2025, SHOO scaled operating cash flow to $162.2M and free cash flow to $119.5M, backed by $1.91B in total assets against $234.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 62/100): Strong cash generator (41.6% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $31.33 – $49.70 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 73.6x trailing P/E and 29.1x EV/EBITDA against 3.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Shoe Manufacturing (Consumer Discretionary), SHOO carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 41.6%.

  • Key Question #1: Can SHOO sustain or expand its 3.2% operating margin and 6.5% ROIC against Shoe Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.52B and free cash flow of $119.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $234.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SHOO's 68.4x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SHOO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Steven Madden Ltd. (SHOO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SHOO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SHOO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $43.53?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SHOO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SHOO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $53.94 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 5 and a Piotroski F of 8/9, supporting solvency quality.

Here is why I am bullish on SHOO here at $43.50: Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with an Altman Z of 5 and a Piotroski F of 8/9, supporting solvency quality.. Compare SHOO's 3.2% operating margin and 6.5% ROIC against the rest of Shoe Manufacturing. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $41.32 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 73.6x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Shoe Manufacturing. If gross margin (41.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.98 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $43.50

Trailing P/E of 73.6 against ROIC of 6.5% and an operating margin of 3.2% leaves little room for earnings disappointment.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SHOO above $43.50. Trailing P/E of 73.6 against ROIC of 6.5% and an operating margin of 3.2% leaves little room for earnings disappointment.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (3.64%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $49.70.

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