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Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$352.37 +5.94% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $355.47

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $80.35B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SHW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SHW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sherwin-Williams Company (NYSE: SHW) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $352.37 (+5.94% 1D, market cap $80.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHW ranks #313 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SHW compare to FAST and LOW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), SHW carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.0x, gross margin of 48.8%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, FAST (Fastenal Company) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 47.9x, ROIC 27.1%, cap $59.56B) and LOW (Lowe's Companies Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 17.5x, ROIC 50.1%, cap $117.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSCO leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while LOW leads on capital efficiency (50.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHW?
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Per SHW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000089800), Sherwin-Williams Company generated $23.57B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $2.57B in net income, and $2.39B in free cash flow against $25.90B in total assets and $9.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (48.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $355.47 (+0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 10.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (18)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$420 Bull$356 Base$277 Bear
📬 FREE SHW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SHW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SHW SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.1% FCF Margin ($2.39B FCF) & 48.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.17 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$324.54+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$337.27-4.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
57
Grade C$320.80+9.8% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$352.37+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SHW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, SHW faces multiple-compression risk if 31.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($328.33) or 200D SMA ($332.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($355.54) toward Bear Floor ($277.32).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SHW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SHW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.79% Total Yield
0.99% Cash ($3.49/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
21.4% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $18,422

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $514/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.3K
Yr 2
$12.0K
Yr 3
$12.8K
Yr 4
$13.6K
Yr 5
$14.4K
Yr 6
$15.3K
Yr 7
$16.3K
Yr 8
$17.3K
Yr 9
$18.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in SHW & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on SHW and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SHW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.49%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $330.1H $352.4L $330.1C $352.4VOL 2.21M
RES: $341.8SUP: $314.3SMA50: $328.3SMA200: $332.4
$377.9$354.1$330.2$306.3$282.5RES $341.8SUP $314.3$352.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SHW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SHW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SHW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SHW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SHW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #313 of 1009 ⚔️ FAST vs SHW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SHW vs. FAST, LOW, HD, TSCO)

Industry: RETAIL: Building Materials (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) ranks #313 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #24 by equity capitalization ($80.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TSCO leads on earnings valuation at 16.0x trailing P/E, while LOW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.1% ROIC and 33.5% gross margin. FAST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SHW at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SHW ACTIVE
Sherwin-Williams Company
C- 60/100 31.0x 48.8% 18.1% +5.94% $80.35B Benchmark Subject
FAST
Fastenal Company
B+ 78/100 47.9x 45.0% 27.1% +1.23% $59.56B /fast-vs-shw →
LOW
Lowe's Companies Inc.
C+ 67/100 17.5x 33.5% 50.1% +4.34% $117.30B /low-vs-shw →
HD
Home Depot Inc.
C- 61/100 23.2x 33.3% 32.9% +3.63% $328.44B /hd-vs-shw →
TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
B- 70/100 16.0x 36.4% 27.9% +4.04% $17.68B /tsco-vs-shw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000089800 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) reported GAAP revenue of $23.57B (+2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.10B , and +2.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.57B, operating cash flow of $3.45B, and free cash flow of $2.39B (+13.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SHW closed FY2025 with $25.90B in total assets against $9.32B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.17, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $23.57B $2.57B $3.45B $2.39B $25.90B $9.32B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $23.10B $2.68B $3.15B $2.11B $23.63B $8.18B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $23.05B $2.39B $3.52B $2.48B $43.86B $10.26B

3. SHW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SHW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sherwin-Williams Company (NYSE: SHW) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $352.37 (+5.94% 1D, market cap $80.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SHW ranks #313 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SHW compare to FAST and LOW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (RETAIL: Building Materials), SHW carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.0x, gross margin of 48.8%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, FAST (Fastenal Company) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 47.9x, ROIC 27.1%, cap $59.56B) and LOW (Lowe's Companies Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 17.5x, ROIC 50.1%, cap $117.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSCO leads on earnings multiple (16.0x) while LOW leads on capital efficiency (50.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SHW?

Per SHW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000089800), Sherwin-Williams Company generated $23.57B in revenue (+2.1% YoY), $2.57B in net income, and $2.39B in free cash flow against $25.90B in total assets and $9.32B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (48.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SHW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SHW last traded at $352.37 (+5.94% on volume of 3,118,344 shares), positioning the stock +7.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($328.33) and +6.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($332.40). Across its 52-week range of $289.86 to $377.77, SHW sits at the 71.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($334.05 to $370.69).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SHW — Sherwin-Williams Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $352.37 (+5.94% 1D, market capitalization $80.35B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 18.1%, gross margin of 48.8%, operating margin of 13.3%, and free cash flow yield of 3.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.17, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.03x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sherwin-Williams Company (The) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the RETAIL: Building Materials industry, . Its market capitalization is cited as $79.7B. Per the financials, FY 2025 revenue was $23.57B, indicating the scale of operations.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) reported $23.57B in annual revenue (up from $23.10B in FY2024, +2.1% YoY) and $2.57B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($23.05B revenue, $2.39B net income) through FY2025, SHW scaled operating cash flow to $3.45B and free cash flow to $2.39B, backed by $25.90B in total assets against $9.32B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Strong cash generator (48.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Free cash flow yield of 3.00% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $289.86 – $377.77 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 31.0x trailing P/E and 22.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in RETAIL: Building Materials (Consumer Discretionary), SHW carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 48.8%.

  • Key Question #1: Can SHW sustain or expand its 13.3% operating margin and 18.1% ROIC against RETAIL: Building Materials peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $23.57B and free cash flow of $2.39B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.32B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SHW's 28.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SHW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SHW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SHW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $352.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SHW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SHW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $382.50 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong capital efficiency, with ROIC of 18.1% and an Altman Z-Score of 5.17, supports the fundamental cash engine pillar.

Strong capital efficiency, with ROIC of 18.1% and an Altman Z-Score of 5.17, supports the fundamental cash engine pillar.. When you look under the hood at SHW, Fundamental Cash Engine is 18/20 with 48.8% gross margins and 18.1% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $377.77. My 12M target is $382.50.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $332.61 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $249.46 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $332.61

Valuation and macro sensitivity weigh on the stock, with a trailing P/E of 31, a 3% FCF yield, and a macro-fit score of only 3 of 20.

Careful chasing SHW at $332.61. Valuation and macro sensitivity weigh on the stock, with a trailing P/E of 31, a 3% FCF yield, and a macro-fit score of only 3 of 20.. Gross margin is 48.8%, but operating margin is 13.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $249.46 on multiple compression.

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