SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$20.10 -5.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.88

SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $132.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SIF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, SIFCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: SIF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $20.10 (-5.14% 1D, market cap $132.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SIF ranks #344 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SIF compare to DPRO and AIRO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), SIF carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.5%, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $143.4M) and AIRO (AIRO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $171.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIF?
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Per SIF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000090168), SIFCO Industries Inc. generated $84.8M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), -$729.0K in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.87 (-1.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$30 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE SIF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SIF SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$23.14-10.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$20.79-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$19.98+0.6% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$20.10-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SIF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SIF currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.60) and Max Pain ($21.11) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SIF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE63% OF RANGE
L: $5$20.10H: $29
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SIF

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

0.4% ROIC with 12.5% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (40)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SIF
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SIF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SIF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SIF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.47%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $20.99H $21.19L $20.10C $20.10VOL 41.5K
RES: $23.77SUP: $20.12SMA50: $21.60SMA200: $18.25
$30.43$24.51$18.60$12.68$6.76RES $23.77SUP $20.12$20.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIF)

Industrials Rank #344 of 485 ⚔️ DPRO vs SIF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SIF vs. DPRO, AIRO, HOVR, EVTL)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) ranks #344 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #367 by equity capitalization ($132.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. EVTL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with SIF at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SIF ACTIVE
SIFCO Industries Inc.
D- 40/100 — 12.5% 0.4% -5.14% $132.5M Benchmark Subject
DPRO
Draganfly Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -4.88% $143.4M /dpro-vs-sif →
AIRO
AIRO Group Holdings Inc.
E 22/100 — 59.9% -3.1% -5.15% $171.7M /airo-vs-sif →
HOVR
New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share
E 34/100 9.9x — — -5.91% $85.2M /hovr-vs-sif →
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
D 47/100 — — — -1.73% $73.4M /evtl-vs-sif →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000090168

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) reported GAAP revenue of $84.8M (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.6M , and +28.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$729.0K, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SIF closed FY2025 with $74.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $84.8M -$729.0K — — $74.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $79.6M -$5.4M — — $81.0M $85.0K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $66.1M -$8.7M -$1.4M -$1.4M — —

3. SIF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, SIFCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: SIF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $20.10 (-5.14% 1D, market cap $132.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SIF ranks #344 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SIF compare to DPRO and AIRO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), SIF carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.5%, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $143.4M) and AIRO (AIRO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $171.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIF?

Per SIF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000090168), SIFCO Industries Inc. generated $84.8M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), -$729.0K in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SIF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIF last traded at $20.10 (-5.14% on volume of 72,704 shares), positioning the stock -6.94% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.60) and +10.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.25). Across its 52-week range of $4.88 to $29.00, SIF sits at the 63.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($17.97 to $22.23).

SIF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SIF stock right now?

SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 40/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SIF's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SIF's 12-month base price target is $18.47 (range $14.41 to $30.45), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SIF — SIFCO Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:03Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SIF scores 40 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 8 / 20 (ROIC 0.4%; FCF yield 0%). Weak returns on capital and no free-cash-flow yield mean the business is not currently generating cash that would fund value for shareholders.
  • Whale / 13F flow: 10 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). Institutional signals are middling, with no holder data supplied to confirm direction.
  • Insider conviction: 3 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). This is the lowest pillar, indicating little insider-level conviction in the sources.
  • Macro regime fit: 11 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). Beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the market, offering neither defensive shelter nor amplified upside on its own.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 8 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The Piotroski score of 3 out of 9 and the Altman Z of 2.5 point to a fragile financial position, though leverage as measured by Debt/Equity of 0.5 is not the primary concern.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on operating leverage returning to profitability, since reported operating margin is 0.2% and gross margin is 12.5%. The valuation tradeoff is stark: the market cap is $132.5M while ROIC and FCF yield are near zero, so the price embeds recovery expectations that the trailing financials do not yet confirm. The price range of $4.88 to $29 over 52 weeks also signals very high volatility, which magnifies both the reward and the risk of entry timing.

Business

SIFCO Industries Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Aerospace industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. The reported gross margin of 12.5% and FY 2025 revenue of $84.8M indicate an operating business with thin profitability.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$84.8M$0.2M$-0.7MN/AN/A$1.1MN/A
FY 2024$79.6M$-5.2M$-5.4MN/AN/A$3.1M$0.1M
FY 2023$66.1M$-9.0M$-8.7MN/A$-1.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $66.1M in FY 2023 to $84.8M in FY 2025, while the company moved from an operating loss of $-9.0M to an operating income of $0.2M. Net margin remains negative at -0.9%, and operating margin is 0.2%. ROIC is 0.4%. The source provides an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, both of which indicate financial weakness; Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash fell from $3.1M in FY 2024 to $1.1M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed contains six items, all tagged to SIF. Headlines are largely commentary and comparison pieces, including "SIF: Anatomy of the One That Got Away," "SIFCO vs. Park Aerospace: Which Aerospace Stock Is a Better Buy?", and a Zacks blog piece referencing SIFCO alongside large-cap names. Two price-movement items report the stock rising 5.46% to $23.75 and slipping to $21.26 while holding above $20.20 support. One item is tagged CATALYST (green light); the remainder are MARKET WIRE items with yellow lights. The source does not identify a specific fundamental event behind the catalyst tag. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products, end markets, and customers drive the aerospace revenue, and how concentrated are they?
  • What are the reported EPS, free cash flow, and total debt figures, which are marked N/A or unavailable for the periods supplied?
  • What is the trailing and forward P/E and EV/EBITDA, and how do they compare with aerospace peers?
  • What explains the $4.88 to $29 52-week range, and what fundamental event(s) drove the sharp move?
  • What is the source and substance of the "CATALYST" tag on the green-light news item?

SIF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SIF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SIF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.10?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SIF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SIF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.65 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SIF (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $21.19?

Welcome to the SIF (SIFCO Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.53 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $21.19

Pump the brakes on SIF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SIF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 12.5% gross margins. Unless SIFCO Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.37 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $21.19

SIF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SIF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.19 (52-wk range $4.88 - $29.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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