Seeking Alpha report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SJT Stock surged +5.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SJT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-03, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: SJT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $3.28 (+5.47% 1D, market cap $145.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SJT ranks #147 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SJT compare to EPM and AMPY in the Energy sector?
▼
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SJT carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EPM (Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 105.4x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $146.7M) and AMPY (Amplify Energy Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 4.1x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $159.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SJT?
▼
For San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #147 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where to Enter $SJT, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($4.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SJT Turnaround Squeeze
While SJT currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.38) and Max Pain ($3.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.88.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why SJT Stock surged +5.47% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) surged +5.47% to $3.28, trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($2.37 – $6.55). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 22% of its 52-week range ($2.37 – $6.55) with RSI-14 at 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $3.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $4.1M annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SJT)
- ✓Walkthrough of SJT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SJT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SJT today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SJT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SJT)
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SJT vs. EPM, AMPY, ANNA, MINE)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) ranks #147 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #181 by equity capitalization ($145.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. AMPY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with SJT at 47/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJT
ACTIVE
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | +5.47% | $145.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| EPM Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc. | D | 48/100 | 105.4x | 42.5% | 5.2% | +1.11% | $146.7M | /epm-vs-sjt → |
| AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. | D+ | 54/100 | 4.1x | 93.2% | 15.3% | -2.08% | $159.2M | /ampy-vs-sjt → |
| ANNA AleAnna Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | 8.5% | -1.68% | $159.3M | /anna-vs-sjt → |
| MINE Mayfair Gold Corp. | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | -4.90% | $170.2M | /mine-vs-sjt → |
2. SJT Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTSan Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) operates in Oil & Gas Production (Energy) with an equity capitalization of $145.0M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. SJT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SJT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE: SJT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $3.28 (+5.47% 1D, market cap $145.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SJT ranks #147 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SJT compare to EPM and AMPY in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SJT carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EPM (Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 105.4x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $146.7M) and AMPY (Amplify Energy Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 4.1x, ROIC 15.3%, cap $159.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SJT?
For San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #147 in Energy, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SJT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SJT last traded at $3.28 (+5.47% on volume of 145,877 shares), positioning the stock -2.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.38) and -16.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.95). Across its 52-week range of $2.37 to $6.55, SJT sits at the 21.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.87 to $3.69).
SJT — San Juan Basin Royalty Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.28 (+5.47% 1D, market capitalization $145.0M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Oil & Gas Production industry (Energy sector) with an equity market capitalization of $153.3M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Oil & Gas Production peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.37 – $6.55 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Supply_chain is "NONE" and butterfly_links is empty. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can SJT sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $6.55 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is SJT's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
SJT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.marketscreener.com report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ad-hoc-news.de report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
kalkine.ca report covering San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SJT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.28?
The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the strongest of the five pillars.
Picked up a starter position in SJT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $3.29. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the strongest of the five pillars.. Trading inside a $2.37–$6.55 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Oil & Gas Production multiples expand this quarter.
@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $3.29 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.
The RQD rating carries a D grade with 0% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, 0% dividend yield, and a no-distribution declaration for October 2026.
The RQD rating carries a D grade with 0% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, 0% dividend yield, and a no-distribution declaration for October 2026.. Look at the math on SJT: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $2.90 before getting long.