Yahoo Finance report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SKYW Stock slipped -0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $81.68 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $3.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #413 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SKYW compare to ALK and AERO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?
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Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $1.73B in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 52.5% FCF Margin ($908.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SKYW Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, SKYW faces multiple-compression risk if 8.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($95.98) or 200D SMA ($95.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($80.94) toward Bear Floor ($63.13).
Why SKYW Stock slipped -0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) slipped -0.79% to $81.68, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($77.89 – $117.72). Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($77.89 – $117.72) with RSI-14 at 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $81.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $908.3M annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SkyWest stock just took a hard landing. The shares closed at US$96.54 before the earnings release and now trade near US$82, a single session slide of about 15% that wipes out weeks of gains. The reaction looks harsh when
Key TakeawaysSkyWest shares fell 13% today after it cut its 2026 EPS outlook to about $10. 60 and said 2027 EPS should be similar.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SKYW)
- ✓Walkthrough of SKYW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SKYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +24.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKYW today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SKYW)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SKYW vs. ALK, AERO, ALGT, CPA)
Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) ranks #413 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #345 by equity capitalization ($3.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYW
ACTIVE
SkyWest Inc. | D+ | 56/100 | 8.8x | — | 10.9% | -0.79% | $3.20B | Benchmark Subject |
| ALK Alaska Air Group Inc. | D- | 42/100 | 40.3x | — | 2.9% | +7.23% | $3.99B | /alk-vs-skyw → |
| AERO Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +1.60% | $2.18B | /aero-vs-skyw → |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Company | D- | 35/100 | — | — | 1.1% | +7.35% | $1.95B | /algt-vs-skyw → |
| CPA Copa Holdings S.A. | D+ | 54/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +6.53% | $5.30B | /cpa-vs-skyw → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793733 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.73B (+24.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +493.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $428.3M, operating cash flow of $940.4M, and free cash flow of $908.3M (+40.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKYW closed FY2025 with $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.73B | $428.3M | $940.4M | $908.3M | $7.39B | $1.85B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.39B | $323.0M | $692.5M | $647.6M | $7.14B | $2.14B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $291.4M | $34.3M | $736.3M | $736.3M | — | — |
3. SKYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $81.68 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $3.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #413 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SKYW compare to ALK and AERO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?
Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $1.73B in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SKYW last traded at $81.68 (-0.79% on volume of 770,435 shares), positioning the stock -14.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($95.98) and -14.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($95.88). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($75.47 to $87.89).
SKYW — SkyWest Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $81.68 (-0.79% 1D, market capitalization $3.20B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 24.23%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.67x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry. Revenue is reported as — in each financial period, so the source does not establish how the company earns income. — for further business detail.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported $1.73B in annual revenue (up from $1.39B in FY2024, +24.9% YoY) and $428.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($291.4M revenue, $34.3M net income) through FY2025, SKYW scaled operating cash flow to $940.4M and free cash flow to $908.3M, backed by $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $77.89 – $117.72 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.8x trailing P/E and 8.5x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
There are no upstream or downstream links and no sector correlations recorded. Supply chain: NONE. — for upstream dependencies, downstream customers, or 2nd-order bottlenecks. The one fleet-related item in the news feed (over 300 regional jets by end of 2027) is a company-level expectation and is not mapped to any supplier or customer in the graph.
- Key Question #1: Can SKYW sustain or expand its — operating margin and 10.9% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.73B and free cash flow of $908.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.85B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is SKYW's 8.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
SKYW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SKYW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.68?
Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 24.23% FCF yield and 16 / 20 insider-conviction pillar point to strong cash generation and supportive
The street is overcomplicating SkyWest Inc. (SKYW). Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 24.23% FCF yield and 16 / 20 insider-conviction pillar point to strong cash generation and supportive insider flow at a 8.8 TTM P/E.. With an RQD score of 56/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $88.92.
@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 8.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Air Freight/Delivery Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 10 / 20 whale-flow pillar and 13 / 20 forensic balance sheet signal weak institutional accumulation an
I respect the product at SkyWest Inc., but the stock at $82.33 is a different story. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 10 / 20 whale-flow pillar and 13 / 20 forensic balance sheet signal weak institutional accumulation and moderate balance-sheet strength.. FCF yield is 24.23% and RQD sits at 56/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?