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Why SKYW Stock slipped -0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$81.68 -0.79% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.41

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.20B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $81.68 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $3.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #413 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SKYW compare to ALK and AERO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?
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Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $1.73B in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.41 (-0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 52.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$124 Bull$81 Base$63 Bear
📬 FREE SKYW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SKYW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SKYW SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 52.5% FCF Margin ($908.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$94.52-2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$92.35+3.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$95.68-14.6% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$81.68-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SKYW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, SKYW faces multiple-compression risk if 8.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($95.98) or 200D SMA ($95.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($80.94) toward Bear Floor ($63.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SKYW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SKYW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SKYW Stock slipped -0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) slipped -0.79% to $81.68, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($77.89 – $117.72). Stretched risk/reward at 9x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($77.89 – $117.72) with RSI-14 at 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $81.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $908.3M annual free cash flow.
Live SKYW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
SkyWest (SKYW) Stock Sinks As Q3 Results Expose Fuel Pressure

SkyWest stock just took a hard landing. The shares closed at US$96.54 before the earnings release and now trade near US$82, a single session slide of about 15% that wipes out weeks of gains. The reaction looks harsh when

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SKYW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SKYW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SKYW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.38%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $96.54H $96.54L $81.68C $81.68VOL 829.3K
RES: $128.5SUP: $89.18SMA50: $95.98SMA200: $95.88
$120.5$109.0$97.41$85.86$74.31RES $128.5SUP $89.18$81.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SKYW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SKYW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SKYW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SKYW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SKYW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #413 of 1009 ⚔️ ALK vs SKYW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SKYW vs. ALK, AERO, ALGT, CPA)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) ranks #413 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #345 by equity capitalization ($3.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SKYW ACTIVE
SkyWest Inc.
D+ 56/100 8.8x — 10.9% -0.79% $3.20B Benchmark Subject
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc.
D- 42/100 40.3x — 2.9% +7.23% $3.99B /alk-vs-skyw →
AERO
Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )
D 45/100 — — — +1.60% $2.18B /aero-vs-skyw →
ALGT
Allegiant Travel Company
D- 35/100 — — 1.1% +7.35% $1.95B /algt-vs-skyw →
CPA
Copa Holdings S.A.
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +6.53% $5.30B /cpa-vs-skyw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793733 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.73B (+24.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +493.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $428.3M, operating cash flow of $940.4M, and free cash flow of $908.3M (+40.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, SKYW closed FY2025 with $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.73B $428.3M $940.4M $908.3M $7.39B $1.85B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.39B $323.0M $692.5M $647.6M $7.14B $2.14B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $291.4M $34.3M $736.3M $736.3M — —

3. SKYW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SKYW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SkyWest Inc. (NASDAQ: SKYW) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $81.68 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $3.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SKYW ranks #413 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SKYW compare to ALK and AERO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), SKYW carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, ALK (Alaska Air Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 2.9%, cap $3.99B) and AERO (Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SKYW?

Per SKYW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793733), SkyWest Inc. generated $1.73B in revenue (+24.9% YoY), $428.3M in net income, and $908.3M in free cash flow against $7.39B in total assets and $1.85B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SKYW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SKYW last traded at $81.68 (-0.79% on volume of 770,435 shares), positioning the stock -14.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($95.98) and -14.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($95.88). Across its 52-week range of $77.89 to $117.72, SKYW sits at the 9.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($75.47 to $87.89).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SKYW — SkyWest Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $81.68 (-0.79% 1D, market capitalization $3.20B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 24.23%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.67x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry. Revenue is reported as — in each financial period, so the source does not establish how the company earns income. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) reported $1.73B in annual revenue (up from $1.39B in FY2024, +24.9% YoY) and $428.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($291.4M revenue, $34.3M net income) through FY2025, SKYW scaled operating cash flow to $940.4M and free cash flow to $908.3M, backed by $7.39B in total assets against $1.85B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $77.89 – $117.72 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.8x trailing P/E and 8.5x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links and no sector correlations recorded. Supply chain: NONE. — for upstream dependencies, downstream customers, or 2nd-order bottlenecks. The one fleet-related item in the news feed (over 300 regional jets by end of 2027) is a company-level expectation and is not mapped to any supplier or customer in the graph.

  • Key Question #1: Can SKYW sustain or expand its — operating margin and 10.9% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.73B and free cash flow of $908.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.85B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SKYW's 8.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SKYW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SkyWest Inc. (SKYW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SKYW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SKYW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SKYW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SKYW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $96.33 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 24.23% FCF yield and 16 / 20 insider-conviction pillar point to strong cash generation and supportive

The street is overcomplicating SkyWest Inc. (SKYW). Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 24.23% FCF yield and 16 / 20 insider-conviction pillar point to strong cash generation and supportive insider flow at a 8.8 TTM P/E.. With an RQD score of 56/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $88.92.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on 8.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Air Freight/Delivery Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.69 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $82.33

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 10 / 20 whale-flow pillar and 13 / 20 forensic balance sheet signal weak institutional accumulation an

I respect the product at SkyWest Inc., but the stock at $82.33 is a different story. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the 10 / 20 whale-flow pillar and 13 / 20 forensic balance sheet signal weak institutional accumulation and moderate balance-sheet strength.. FCF yield is 24.23% and RQD sits at 56/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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