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Why SMHI Stock dropped -4.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$9.37 -4.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $267.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SMHI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $9.37 (-4.97% 1D, market cap $267.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SMHI ranks #598 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMHI compare to GASS and DSX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SMHI carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, GASS (StealthGas Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $307.2M) and DSX (Diana Shipping inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $311.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMPP leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while GASS leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMHI?
▼

Per SMHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001690334), SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. generated $38.4M in revenue (+31.5% YoY), -$27.8M in net income, and -$85.2M in free cash flow against $660.6M in total assets and $304.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.27 (-1.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (5)Whales (15)SEC (10)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$11 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE SMHI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMHI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SMHI SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 85% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 68.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$8.67-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$8.51+3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$8.84+6% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$9.37-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SMHI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SMHI currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.02) and Max Pain ($9.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.56.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMHI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SMHI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SMHI Stock dropped -4.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) dropped -4.97% to $9.37, trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($5.75 – $10). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($5.75 – $10) with RSI-14 at 68.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $9.37 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live SMHI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Seacor Marine: Q3 Earnings Snapshot

Yahoo Finance report covering SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
SEACOR Marine Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results

HOUSTON, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SMHI) (the “Company” or “SEACOR Marine”), a leading provider of marine and support transportation services to offshore energy facilities world

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMHI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SMHI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SMHI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.94%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-03O $9.83H $9.86L $9.37C $9.37VOL 189.2K
RES: $10.00SUP: $8.03SMA50: $9.02SMA200: $8.02
$10.26$9.19$8.11$7.04$5.97RES $10.00SUP $8.03$9.372026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMHI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMHI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMHI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMHI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMHI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #598 of 1009 ⚔️ GASS vs SMHI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SMHI vs. GASS, DSX, IMPP, SHIP)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) ranks #598 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #656 by equity capitalization ($267.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMPP leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while GASS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. IMPP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with SMHI at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SMHI ACTIVE
SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 — — 2.2% -4.97% $267.7M Benchmark Subject
GASS
StealthGas Inc.
C- 60/100 5.1x — 7.4% -3.99% $307.2M /gass-vs-smhi →
DSX
Diana Shipping inc.
D+ 52/100 17.7x — 3.6% -3.20% $311.0M /dsx-vs-smhi →
IMPP
Imperial Petroleum Inc.
C- 61/100 4.6x — 6.0% -8.25% $230.1M /impp-vs-smhi →
SHIP
Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.
D+ 56/100 16.4x — 7.3% -7.54% $344.7M /ship-vs-smhi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001690334 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) reported GAAP revenue of $38.4M (+31.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $29.2M , and -61.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$27.8M, operating cash flow of -$36.4M, and free cash flow of -$85.2M (-385.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMHI closed FY2025 with $660.6M in total assets against $304.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $38.4M -$27.8M -$36.4M -$85.2M $660.6M $304.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $29.2M -$78.1M -$10.3M -$17.6M $727.1M $317.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $99.5M -$9.3M $8.9M $8.9M — —

3. SMHI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SMHI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $9.37 (-4.97% 1D, market cap $267.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SMHI ranks #598 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMHI compare to GASS and DSX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SMHI carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, GASS (StealthGas Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $307.2M) and DSX (Diana Shipping inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 3.6%, cap $311.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMPP leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while GASS leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMHI?

Per SMHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001690334), SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. generated $38.4M in revenue (+31.5% YoY), -$27.8M in net income, and -$85.2M in free cash flow against $660.6M in total assets and $304.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMHI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMHI last traded at $9.37 (-4.97% on volume of 156,097 shares), positioning the stock +3.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.02) and +16.83% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.02). Across its 52-week range of $5.75 to $10.00, SMHI sits at the 85.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($8.48 to $10.26).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SMHI — SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.37 (-4.97% 1D, market capitalization $267.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.15x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry, with a market capitalization of $0.3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) reported $38.4M in annual revenue (up from $29.2M in FY2024, +31.5% YoY) and -$27.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($99.5M revenue, -$9.3M net income) through FY2025, SMHI scaled operating cash flow to -$36.4M and free cash flow to -$85.2M, backed by $660.6M in total assets against $304.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 15/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.75 – $10.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 9.1x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations, and no bottleneck mappings for SMHI.

  • Key Question #1: Can SMHI sustain or expand its — operating margin and 2.2% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $38.4M and free cash flow of -$85.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $304.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SMHI's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SMHI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SMHI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMHI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.37?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMHI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SMHI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.72 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale/13F flow scores 15 of 20 and a 10.08% price move coincides with reports of a strategic transaction becoming more li

The street is overcomplicating SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. (SMHI). Institutional whale/13F flow scores 15 of 20 and a 10.08% price move coincides with reports of a strategic transaction becoming more likely.. With an RQD score of 48/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $10.65.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SMHI's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.09 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $9.86

A 0% FCF yield, 2.2% ROIC, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$85.2M leave the cash engine scored at only 5 of 20.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SMHI above $9.86. A 0% FCF yield, 2.2% ROIC, and FY 2025 free cash flow of -$85.2M leave the cash engine scored at only 5 of 20.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $10.00.

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