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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SMP / news
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Why SMP Stock surged +7.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$45.65 +7.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.19

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $947.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Standard Motor Products Inc. (NYSE: SMP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $45.65 (+7.64% 1D, market cap $947.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SMP ranks #307 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMP compare to APOG and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), SMP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $945.3M) and DCH (Dauch Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMP?
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Per SMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093389), Standard Motor Products Inc. generated $1.79B in revenue (+22.4% YoY), $42.2M in net income, and $18.7M in free cash flow against $2.00B in total assets and $566.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.19 (+1.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (8)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$55 Bull$46 Base$36 Bear
📬 FREE SMP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SMP SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.27 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$37.03+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$37.11+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$37.58+21.5% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$45.65+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, SMP faces multiple-compression risk if 20.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.80) or 200D SMA ($38.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($46.27) toward Bear Floor ($36.09).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why SMP Stock surged +7.64% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) surged +7.64% to $45.65, trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($34.27 – $46). Solid 31.2% gross margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 97% of its 52-week range ($34.27 – $46) with RSI-14 at 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $45.65 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 31.2% gross margin and $18.7M annual free cash flow.
Live SMP Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (SMP Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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SMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.25%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $38.25H $45.65L $38.25C $45.65VOL 303.8K
RES: $43.55SUP: $33.85SMA50: $37.80SMA200: $38.58
$46.42$43.23$40.05$36.87$33.68RES $43.55SUP $33.85$45.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMP Butterfly Map → + Track SMP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #307 of 1009 ⚔️ APOG vs SMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SMP vs. APOG, DCH, ADNT, AEVA)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) ranks #307 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #511 by equity capitalization ($947.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with SMP at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SMP ACTIVE
Standard Motor Products Inc.
C- 61/100 20.2x 31.2% 8.6% +7.64% $947.5M Benchmark Subject
APOG
Apogee Enterprises Inc.
B- 71/100 17.7x 22.7% 9.2% +3.78% $945.3M /apog-vs-smp →
DCH
Dauch Corporation
E 30/100 — 12.1% 2.2% -2.93% $1.14B /dch-vs-smp →
ADNT
Adient plc
D- 35/100 — 6.6% -16.2% +3.66% $1.29B /adnt-vs-smp →
AEVA
Aeva Technologies Inc.
E 21/100 — -3.7% -35.0% -7.23% $646.2M /aeva-vs-smp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000093389 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.79B (+22.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.46B , and +31.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.2M, operating cash flow of $57.4M, and free cash flow of $18.7M (-42.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMP closed FY2025 with $2.00B in total assets against $566.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.27, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.79B $42.2M $57.4M $18.7M $2.00B $566.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.46B $28.5M $76.7M $32.7M $1.81B $535.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.36B $34.4M $144.3M $144.3M — —

3. SMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Standard Motor Products Inc. (NYSE: SMP) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $45.65 (+7.64% 1D, market cap $947.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SMP ranks #307 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMP compare to APOG and DCH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), SMP carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.2x, gross margin of 31.2%, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $945.3M) and DCH (Dauch Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMP?

Per SMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093389), Standard Motor Products Inc. generated $1.79B in revenue (+22.4% YoY), $42.2M in net income, and $18.7M in free cash flow against $2.00B in total assets and $566.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMP last traded at $45.65 (+7.64% on volume of 313,082 shares), positioning the stock +20.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($37.80) and +18.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.58). Across its 52-week range of $34.27 to $46.00, SMP sits at the 97.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($42.77 to $48.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: SMP RQD Cockpit SMP 12M Forecast SMP Earnings & Move SMP Dividends & DRIP SMP Insiders & 13F SMP Whale Options SMP Profit Sankey SMP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SMP — Standard Motor Products Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $45.65 (+7.64% 1D, market capitalization $947.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.6%, gross margin of 31.2%, operating margin of 7.6%, and free cash flow yield of 2.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.27, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.83x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Auto Parts: O.E.M. Industry. Beyond the sector and industry classification, the profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) reported $1.79B in annual revenue (up from $1.46B in FY2024, +22.4% YoY) and $42.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.36B revenue, $34.4M net income) through FY2025, SMP scaled operating cash flow to $57.4M and free cash flow to $18.7M, backed by $2.00B in total assets against $566.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 2.19% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $34.27 – $46.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 20.2x trailing P/E and 8.4x EV/EBITDA against 7.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Auto Parts:O.E.M. (Consumer Discretionary), SMP carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 31.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can SMP sustain or expand its 7.6% operating margin and 8.6% ROIC against Auto Parts:O.E.M. Peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.79B and free cash flow of $18.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $566.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SMP's 17.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SMP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Standard Motor Products Inc. (SMP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SMP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SMP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $55.98 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and forward P/E of 17 versus trailing 20.2 point to a financially sound balance sheet with expected earnings i

Long SMP at $42.41 targeting $55.98. Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and forward P/E of 17 versus trailing 20.2 point to a financially sound balance sheet with expected earnings improvement.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $34.27 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SMP's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.05 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $42.41

Free cash flow fell from $144.3M in FY 2023 to $18.7M in FY 2025 and the RQD cash engine pillar scores only 8/20, signaling weak cash c

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SMP: Free cash flow fell from $144.3M in FY 2023 to $18.7M in FY 2025 and the RQD cash engine pillar scores only 8/20, signaling weak cash conversion.. At 20.2x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Auto Parts:O.E.M. triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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