Sanara MedTech Inc. (SMTI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.9% Move

$32.83 -0.26% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.75

Sanara MedTech Inc. (SMTI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $302.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Sanara MedTech Inc. (NASDAQ: SMTI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $32.83 (-0.26% 1D, market cap $302.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SMTI ranks #232 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMTI compare to ZJYL and INGN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Industrial Specialties), SMTI carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of 92.7%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, ZJYL (JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL LTD. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $294.2M) and INGN (Inogen Inc) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 8.5x, ROIC -27.0%, cap $192.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMTI leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while SMTI leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMTI?
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Per SMTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000714256), Sanara MedTech Inc. generated $103.1M in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $37.6M in net income, and $2.2M in free cash flow against $72.9M in total assets and $46.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $32.75 (-0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 2.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$38 Bull$32 Base$25 Bear
📬 FREE SMTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SMTI SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.25 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (30.4) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$35.15-5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$33.14-0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$33.02-0.6% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$32.83-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SMTI faces multiple-compression risk if 8.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.60% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 90.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.48) or 200D SMA ($25.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.39) toward Bear Floor ($25.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SMTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.9% Swing Band

±$1.28 Expected Swing
$31.55 (-3.9%)Spot $32.83$34.11 (+3.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SMTI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $4.09 • YoY Revenue Growth: 19%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$103.1M$37.6M$2.2M92.7%
FY 20242024-12-31$86.7M$9.7M-$229.6K90.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$65.0M$4.3M-$3.2M92%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMTI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SMTI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SMTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +72.88%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $32.88H $32.92L $32.83C $32.83VOL 35.1K
RES: $36.18SUP: $31.76SMA50: $34.48SMA200: $25.53
$36.76$31.62$26.47$21.32$16.17RES $36.18SUP $31.76$32.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMTI)

Health Care Rank #232 of 1016 ⚔️ ZJYL vs SMTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SMTI vs. ZJYL, INGN, AVR, AGPU)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sanara MedTech Inc. (SMTI) ranks #232 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #518 by equity capitalization ($302.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SMTI leads on earnings valuation at 8.1x trailing P/E, while SMTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and 92.7% gross margin. SMTI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SMTI ACTIVE
Sanara MedTech Inc.
D+ 55/100 8.1x 92.7% 16.3% -0.26% $302.4M Benchmark Subject
ZJYL
JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL LTD. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 29.2% — +26.34% $294.2M /zjyl-vs-smti →
INGN
Inogen Inc
D- 36/100 8.5x 52.2% -27.0% -5.51% $192.7M /ingn-vs-smti →
AVR
Anteris Technologies Global Corp.
E 23/100 — 70.3% -35.0% -1.71% $625.9M /avr-vs-smti →
AGPU
Axe Compute Inc.
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -8.78% $101.7M /agpu-vs-smti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000714256

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sanara MedTech Inc. (SMTI) reported GAAP revenue of $103.1M (+19.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $86.7M , and +58.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $37.6M, operating cash flow of $6.8M, and free cash flow of $2.2M (+1041.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMTI closed FY2025 with $72.9M in total assets against $46.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $103.1M $37.6M $6.8M $2.2M $72.9M $46.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $86.7M $9.7M -$23.8K -$229.6K $88.1M $30.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $65.0M $4.3M -$3.2M -$3.2M — —

3. SMTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Sanara MedTech Inc. (NASDAQ: SMTI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $32.83 (-0.26% 1D, market cap $302.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SMTI ranks #232 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SMTI compare to ZJYL and INGN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Industrial Specialties), SMTI carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.1x, gross margin of 92.7%, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, ZJYL (JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL LTD. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $294.2M) and INGN (Inogen Inc) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 8.5x, ROIC -27.0%, cap $192.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SMTI leads on earnings multiple (8.1x) while SMTI leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMTI?

Per SMTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000714256), Sanara MedTech Inc. generated $103.1M in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $37.6M in net income, and $2.2M in free cash flow against $72.9M in total assets and $46.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SMTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMTI last traded at $32.83 (-0.26% on volume of 97,205 shares), positioning the stock -4.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.48) and +28.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($25.53). Across its 52-week range of $16.05 to $35.52, SMTI sits at the 86.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($31.55 to $34.11).

SMTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SMTI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sanara MedTech Inc. (SMTI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is SMTI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.9% event move for SMTI, spanning a range between $31.55 and $34.11.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SMTI — Sanara MedTech Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SMTI scores 55 out of 100, a D+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 16.3% and an FCF yield of 0.71%. The ROIC figure is a relative strength, but the low FCF yield means little free cash flow is being returned relative to the share price. For a prospective investor, the valuation case rests more on earnings quality than on cash generation today.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning as weak. Institutional holder data is not supplied in the source data, so the basis for this pillar cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow at a moderate level. Specific insider transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Beta is 1.0 per the market data, meaning the stock's price has historically moved in line with the broader market. The rating treats sector sensitivity as a negative.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 14 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 3.25, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.74. The Z-Score and F-Score are constructive; the Debt/Equity level is the primary balance sheet concern.

Investor implications. Upside drivers in the source data include the 92.7% gross margin, the 36.4% net margin, and the 16.3% ROIC. The trailing P/E of 8.1 and forward P/E of 6.8 suggest a low earnings multiple, but the EV/EBITDA of 29.5 is considerably higher, indicating that enterprise value is elevated relative to EBITDA. Net margin is well above operating margin (7.1%), so reported net income is substantially larger than operating income, and the source data does not explain the difference; a prospective investor should treat the earnings base as requiring verification. The pending MiMedx deal described in the news wire adds a binary event risk that the rating does not model. The RQD verdict reflects these mixed signals.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$32.92$302.4M8.16.829.54.090%1.0$16.05 - $35.5216.3%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$103.1M$7.3M$37.6MN/A$2.2M$16.6M$46.0M
FY 2024$86.7M$1.3M$9.7MN/A$-0.2M$15.9M$30.7M
FY 2023$65.0M$-4.2M$4.3MN/A$-3.2MN/AN/A

Revenue grew from $65.0M in FY 2023 to $103.1M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $-4.2M to $7.3M over the same span. FY 2025 net income of $37.6M is far above operating income of $7.3M, a gap the source data does not explain. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.25 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9; ROIC is 16.3% per the market data. Debt rose from $30.7M to $46.0M in FY 2025 and the Debt/Equity ratio is 7.74, indicating high leverage relative to equity.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the dominant theme is the proposed MiMedx-Sanara merger. Items flagged RED under "RISK WATCH" include a report that the deal faces a fresh regulatory obstacle alongside a note that the stock fell below a key support level for the first time in four months, and a report on the deal spread widening after an FTC second request. YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" items reference FTC clearance as the last major hurdle for a shareholder-approved sale, along with a weekly recap of the second request and the $35 deal price. The source data does not provide the regulatory timeline or the terms of the deal beyond these headlines. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no proprietary signals and no links.

Open Questions

  • What explains the gap between FY 2025 net income of $37.6M and operating income of $7.3M, and is any of it non-recurring?
  • What are the terms of the MiMedx-Sanara transaction, and what is the expected regulatory timeline following the FTC second request?
  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue sources?
  • What drove the increase in debt from $30.7M to $46.0M, and what are the repayment terms?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders, and what are their recent transactions?

SMTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sanara MedTech Inc. (SMTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SMTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $32.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMTI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SMTI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $35.55 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SMTI (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $32.92?

Welcome to the SMTI (Sanara MedTech Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.02 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $32.92

Pump the brakes on SMTI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SMTI, but look at what you are paying: 8.1x trailing P/E with 92.7% gross margins. Unless Sanara MedTech Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.16 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $32.92

SMTI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SMTI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $32.92 (52-wk range $16.05 - $35.52), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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