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Stock Ratings / Health Care / SNDA / options
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Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$33.87 -1.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.73

Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.65B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SNDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (NYSE: SNDA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $33.87 (-1.25% 1D, market cap $1.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SNDA ranks #750 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SNDA compare to HCSG and ARDT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), SNDA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HCSG (Healthcare Services Group Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 28.2x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $1.65B) and ARDT (Ardent Health Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDA?
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Per SNDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043000), Sonida Senior Living Inc. generated $381.1M in revenue (+25.2% YoY), -$72.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $844.8M in total assets and $682.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $33.73 (-0.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (7)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$47 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
📬 FREE SNDA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SNDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SNDA SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (39% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+7/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$35.99-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$34.37-4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$32.80+3.3% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$33.87-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SNDA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SNDA currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($36.88) and Max Pain ($35.56) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SNDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SNDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SNDA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SNDA.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SNDA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SNDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SNDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.46%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $34.25H $34.30L $33.87C $33.87VOL 466.4K
RES: $46.91SUP: $31.93SMA50: $36.88SMA200: $36.44
$45.37$41.31$37.25$33.19$29.13RES $46.91SUP $31.93$33.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SNDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SNDA Butterfly Map → + Track SNDA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +25.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SNDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SNDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SNDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SNDA)

Health Care Rank #750 of 1015 ⚔️ HCSG vs SNDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SNDA vs. HCSG, ARDT, MD, BKD)

Industry: Hospital/Nursing Management (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) ranks #750 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #288 by equity capitalization ($1.65B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARDT leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while MD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with SNDA at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SNDA ACTIVE
Sonida Senior Living Inc.
E 31/100 — — — -1.25% $1.65B Benchmark Subject
HCSG
Healthcare Services Group Inc.
B 73/100 28.2x 13.0% 11.6% +5.06% $1.65B /hcsg-vs-snda →
ARDT
Ardent Health Inc.
C+ 69/100 12.8x — 10.5% -2.49% $1.70B /ardt-vs-snda →
MD
Pediatrix Medical Group Inc.
B+ 77/100 14.3x — 33.6% +2.99% $2.33B /md-vs-snda →
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
E 32/100 — 26.2% 0.3% +0.48% $2.48B /bkd-vs-snda →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001043000 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) reported GAAP revenue of $381.1M (+25.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $304.3M , and +49.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$72.5M, operating cash flow of $24.4M, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (+66.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SNDA closed FY2025 with $844.8M in total assets against $682.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $381.1M -$72.5M $24.4M -$8.9M $844.8M $682.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $304.3M -$3.3M -$1.8M -$27.0M $841.9M $635.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $255.3M -$21.1M $10.7M $10.7M — —

3. SNDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SNDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sonida Senior Living Inc. (NYSE: SNDA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $33.87 (-1.25% 1D, market cap $1.65B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, SNDA ranks #750 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SNDA compare to HCSG and ARDT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), SNDA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, HCSG (Healthcare Services Group Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 28.2x, ROIC 11.6%, cap $1.65B) and ARDT (Ardent Health Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.5%, cap $1.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SNDA?

Per SNDA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001043000), Sonida Senior Living Inc. generated $381.1M in revenue (+25.2% YoY), -$72.5M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $844.8M in total assets and $682.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SNDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SNDA last traded at $33.87 (-1.25% on volume of 399,978 shares), positioning the stock -8.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($36.88) and -7.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.44). Across its 52-week range of $24.95 to $44.39, SNDA sits at the 45.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($31.60 to $36.14).

Direct Sub-Reports: SNDA RQD Cockpit SNDA 12M Forecast SNDA Earnings & Move SNDA Dividends & DRIP SNDA Insiders & 13F SNDA Whale Options SNDA Profit Sankey SNDA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SNDA — Sonida Senior Living Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $33.87 (-1.25% 1D, market capitalization $1.65B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -0.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sonida Senior Living Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Hospital/Nursing Management industry..6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) reported $381.1M in annual revenue (up from $304.3M in FY2024, +25.2% YoY) and -$72.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($255.3M revenue, -$21.1M net income) through FY2025, SNDA scaled operating cash flow to $24.4M and free cash flow to -$8.9M, backed by $844.8M in total assets against $682.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.54% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $24.95 – $44.39 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies are provided in the source data. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be established from the provided material. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects are unquantified, not confirmed absent.

  • Key Question #1: Can SNDA sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Hospital/Nursing Management peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $381.1M and free cash flow of -$8.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $682.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SNDA's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SNDA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sonida Senior Living Inc. (SNDA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SNDA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SNDA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $33.87?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SNDA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SNDA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $39.79 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $255.3M in FY 2023 to $381.1M in FY 2025, and the stock is up 1.94% on the day.

Picked up a starter position in SNDA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $34.30. Revenue grew from $255.3M in FY 2023 to $381.1M in FY 2025, and the stock is up 1.94% on the day.. Trading inside a $24.95–$44.39 52-week range with -0.54% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Hospital/Nursing Management multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Hospital/Nursing Management. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.15 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $34.30

The RQD rating is 31 (E, Strong Sell) with net margin at -19%, ROIC at 0%, and FCF yield at -0.54%.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SNDA: The RQD rating is 31 (E, Strong Sell) with net margin at -19%, ROIC at 0%, and FCF yield at -0.54%.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Hospital/Nursing Management triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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