debelegger.nl report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SOGP Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SOGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, Sound Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SOGP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $11.16 (-0.36% 1D, market cap $46.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SOGP compare to MF and JG in the Technology sector?
▼
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SOGP carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MF (MindForge Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.6%, cap $41.6M) and JG (Aurora Mobile Limited) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SOGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOGP leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOGP?
▼
Per SOGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783407), Sound Group Inc. generated $443.7M in revenue (+59.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $39.6M in free cash flow against $107.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.9% FCF Margin ($39.6M FCF) & 29.2% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 1.85 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SOGP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, SOGP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($11.45) or 200D SMA ($12.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($11.01) toward Bear Floor ($8.59).
Why SOGP Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) slipped -0.36% to $11.16, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($9.73 – $23.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($9.73 – $23.5) with RSI-14 at 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.9% around $11.16 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: SOGP Exhibits 6.00x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B
www.siam.in report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Sound Group delivered faster profit growth than revenue growth in the first half of 2026, while a 245% increase in subscription revenue highlighted the growing contribution from its AI applications portfolio. Key Investo
SINGAPORE, March 31, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sound Group Inc. (“Sound Group” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: SOGP), a global AI-powered audio company, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has approved a
SINGAPORE, April 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sound Group Inc. (“Sound Group” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: SOGP), a global AI-powered audio company, today announced that it filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fisc
SINGAPORE, Aug. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sound Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SOGP) (“SOGP” or the “Company” or “We”), a global AI-powered audio company, today announced its unaudited financial results for the six months ended
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
SINGAPORE, Jan. 06, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sound Group Inc. (“Sound Group” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: SOGP), a global AI-powered audio company, today announced the official launch of SoundSphereAI, a voice AI technolog
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SOGP)
- ✓Walkthrough of SOGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SOGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +59.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOGP today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOGP)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SOGP vs. MF, JG, GOAI, TEAD)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) ranks #306 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #566 by equity capitalization ($46.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SOGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SOGP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. SOGP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOGP
ACTIVE
Sound Group Inc. | D+ | 55/100 | — | 29.2% | 85.0% | -0.36% | $46.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| MF MindForge Inc. (Class A) | E | 25/100 | — | 0.8% | -6.6% | +27.68% | $41.6M | /mf-vs-sogp → |
| JG Aurora Mobile Limited | D+ | 55/100 | — | 67.2% | 4.0% | -3.25% | $40.3M | /jg-vs-sogp → |
| GOAI Eva Live Inc. | D | 46/100 | — | — | 67.0% | -11.12% | $40.1M | /goai-vs-sogp → |
| TEAD Teads Holding Co. | D- | 36/100 | — | 33.0% | -35.0% | -4.43% | $29.9M | /tead-vs-sogp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001783407In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) reported GAAP revenue of $443.7M (+59.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $278.4M , and +52.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $40.0M, and free cash flow of $39.6M (+869.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, SOGP closed FY2025 with $107.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.85, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $443.7M | $0 | $40.0M | $39.6M | $107.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $278.4M | $0 | -$3.6M | -$5.1M | $71.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $291.8M | $0 | -$16.5M | -$16.5M | — | — |
3. SOGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SOGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Sound Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SOGP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $11.16 (-0.36% 1D, market cap $46.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
How does SOGP compare to MF and JG in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SOGP carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 29.2%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, MF (MindForge Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.6%, cap $41.6M) and JG (Aurora Mobile Limited) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SOGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOGP leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOGP?
Per SOGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001783407), Sound Group Inc. generated $443.7M in revenue (+59.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $39.6M in free cash flow against $107.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SOGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SOGP last traded at $11.16 (-0.36% on volume of 5,277 shares), positioning the stock -2.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.45) and -13.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.91). Across its 52-week range of $9.73 to $23.50, SOGP sits at the 10.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($9.94 to $12.38).
SOGP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SOGP stock moving today?
Why SOGP Stock slipped -0.36% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (85% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
SOGP — Sound Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, SOGP scores 55 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 17 of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 6 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 11 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 9 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12 of 20 (Altman Z 1.85; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the cash engine, where a reported 85% ROIC is the main upside driver in the source data. The offsetting weakness is that the same pillar shows a 0% FCF yield, meaning the high return on capital is not translating into free cash flow at the current market value. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 6 of 20, which suggests limited evidence of sustained whale accumulation. The balance sheet and macro fit pillars sit in the middle range. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a $46.8M market cap with no reported earnings multiples in the source data, so the investor cannot benchmark price against earnings. The verdict label itself signals caution, and this dossier reports that verdict without converting it into a personal recommendation.
Business
Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $46.8M market cap in the market data section. Gross margin is reported at 29.2% and operating margin at 7% per the market data.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $443.7M | $31.0M | $0.0M | N/A | $39.6M | $93.7M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $278.4M | $-12.3M | $0.0M | N/A | $-5.1M | $60.5M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $291.8M | $-20.8M | $0.0M | N/A | $-16.5M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $278.4M in FY 2024 to $443.7M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss of $-12.3M to $31.0M, with FCF turning positive at $39.6M. Reported net income is $0.0M across all three periods. Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, ROIC is 85% and net margin is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.85 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5, per the forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt values are not available in the financial table.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, four items from the same secondary sources reference SOGP with YELLOW impact lights and MARKET WIRE labels. Headlines report price moves: a gain of 2.65% to $11.60, a slip of 0.40% to $11.16, and a tick up to $9.90 holding above $9.40 support. These items are price-action commentary and do not report company-specific operational events.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary signal is a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND with a BULLISH direction, severity score 94, and a Macro Tailwind Score of 96/100. The graph cites a True Net Liquidity Index of $5,745.73B with a -0.64% 4-week rate of change and High-Yield OAS +2 bps. A rolling 5-year regression assigns SOGP a 6.00x Net Liquidity beta with r = -0.31. The risk watch item is that this beta reflects sensitivity to liquidity conditions rather than company fundamentals, and the regression correlation is weak and negative.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE and no butterfly links are recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore not available in source data. The graph does identify a sector-level liquidity linkage through the 6.00x Net Liquidity beta. For an investor, the second-order consideration is that a stock with high liquidity sensitivity may move with broad financial conditions more than with company-specific results. Watch for shifts in the net liquidity series and high-yield spreads cited in the graph, as these are the macro inputs the signal depends on.
Open Questions
- What are the company's reported EPS, net income, and debt figures, given that these fields are N/A or $0.0M in the financial table?
- Why does the profile show a $0.0B market cap while market data shows $46.8M, and which figure is current?
- What drives the reported swing from a $-12.3M operating loss in FY 2024 to $31.0M operating income in FY 2025?
- What specific products, customers, and revenue sources generate the reported revenue?
- What is the source of the 85% ROIC given the reported 0% net margin and 0% FCF yield?
SOGP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
debelegger.nl report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.siam.in report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Sound Group delivered faster profit growth than revenue growth in the first half of 2026, while a 245% increase in subscription revenue highlighted the growing contribution from its AI applications portfolio. Key Investo
SINGAPORE, March 31, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sound Group Inc. (“Sound Group” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: SOGP), a global AI-powered audio company, today announced that its board of directors (the “Board”) has approved a
SINGAPORE, April 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sound Group Inc. (“Sound Group” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: SOGP), a global AI-powered audio company, today announced that it filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the fisc
SINGAPORE, Aug. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sound Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SOGP) (“SOGP” or the “Company” or “We”), a global AI-powered audio company, today announced its unaudited financial results for the six months ended
SOGP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.16?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SOGP (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $11.20?
Welcome to the SOGP (Sound Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on SOGP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SOGP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 29.2% gross margins. Unless Sound Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
SOGP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SOGP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.20 (52-wk range $9.73 - $23.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.