Yahoo Finance report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why SPHR Stock dropped -3.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is SPHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE: SPHR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $109.14 (-3.50% 1D, market cap $4.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SPHR ranks #696 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does SPHR compare to MSGE and MANU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SPHR carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 121.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, MSGE (Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 102.7x, ROIC 22.2%, cap $3.85B) and MANU (Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSGE leads on earnings multiple (102.7x) while MSGE leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPHR?
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Per SPHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001795250), Sphere Entertainment Co. generated $1.22B in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $33.4M in net income, and $188.5M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $767.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 1.30 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.5% FCF Margin ($188.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.2) create a -14 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPHR Turnaround Squeeze
While SPHR currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($127.21) and Max Pain ($114.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $190.71.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why SPHR Stock dropped -3.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) dropped -3.50% to $109.14, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($64 – $181.63). Stretched risk/reward at 122x P/E (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($64 – $181.63) with RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.1% around $109.14 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $188.5M annual free cash flow.
Barron's report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NEW YORK, October 30, 2026--Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE: SPHR) will host a conference call to discuss results for its third quarter ended September 30, 2026 on Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time. Th
Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPHR)
- ✓Walkthrough of SPHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
SPHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +19.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPHR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPHR)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SPHR vs. MSGE, MANU, BATRA, ENHA)
Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) ranks #696 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #310 by equity capitalization ($4.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MSGE leads on earnings valuation at 102.7x trailing P/E, while MSGE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.2% ROIC and — gross margin. MANU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with SPHR at 43/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPHR
ACTIVE
Sphere Entertainment Co. | D- | 43/100 | 121.6x | — | -7.3% | -3.50% | $4.06B | Benchmark Subject |
| MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A) | D+ | 56/100 | 102.7x | — | 22.2% | -0.90% | $3.85B | /msge-vs-sphr → |
| MANU Manchester United Ltd. (Class A) | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +0.38% | $3.62B | /manu-vs-sphr → |
| BATRA Atlanta Braves Holdings Inc. (Series A) | D- | 40/100 | — | — | -1.1% | +0.24% | $3.50B | /batra-vs-sphr → |
| ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | — | -8.3% | -26.96% | $5.11B | /enha-vs-sphr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001795250In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.22B (+19.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.02B , and +113.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $33.4M, operating cash flow of $243.3M, and free cash flow of $188.5M (+386.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SPHR closed FY2025 with $4.21B in total assets against $767.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.30, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.22B | $33.4M | $243.3M | $188.5M | $4.21B | $767.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-06-30 | $1.02B | -$200.6M | -$19.7M | -$65.7M | $4.52B | $524.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-06-30 | $571.2M | $505.7M | $153.6M | $127.9M | $2.23B | $522.8M |
3. SPHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs SPHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE: SPHR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $109.14 (-3.50% 1D, market cap $4.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SPHR ranks #696 in composite RQD confidence.
How does SPHR compare to MSGE and MANU in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SPHR carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 121.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.3%. By comparison, MSGE (Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 102.7x, ROIC 22.2%, cap $3.85B) and MANU (Manchester United Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSGE leads on earnings multiple (102.7x) while MSGE leads on capital efficiency (22.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPHR?
Per SPHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001795250), Sphere Entertainment Co. generated $1.22B in revenue (+19.0% YoY), $33.4M in net income, and $188.5M in free cash flow against $4.21B in total assets and $767.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is SPHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
SPHR last traded at $109.14 (-3.50% on volume of 777,599 shares), positioning the stock -14.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($127.21) and -16.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($130.69). Across its 52-week range of $64.00 to $181.63, SPHR sits at the 38.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.1% ($98.12 to $120.16).
SPHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is SPHR stock moving today?
Why SPHR Stock dropped -3.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 122x P/E (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
SPHR — Sphere Entertainment Co.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, SPHR scores 43 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of -7.3% and an FCF yield of 4.64%. Negative ROIC signals that, on this measure, invested capital is not currently generating returns above zero; the positive FCF yield indicates cash generation relative to market value, but the two readings together point to a weak operating return profile.
- Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is low-to-mid range, indicating limited supportive institutional flow in the source data. Note that the holders section is empty in the source data, so the underlying positioning detail cannot be verified here.
- Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score suggests insider signals are not a meaningful source of conviction in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects beta of 0.99 and sector sensitivity. A beta near 1.0 means the stock has tended to move roughly in line with the broader market; the low pillar score indicates weak alignment with the current regime as assessed by the rating model.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar cites Altman Z 1.3, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.34. The Piotroski reading is strong, but the Altman Z reading sits in a range that the source data does not further characterize, so this is the highest-scoring pillar yet still well short of a favorable reading.
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a valuation tradeoff: per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 121.6 and forward P/E is 102.1 against an EPS (TTM) of 0.93, meaning price embeds substantial expectations relative to reported earnings. The upside case rests on improving operating margins and return on capital, which the source data currently shows as negative. The downside case centers on the weak cash engine and flow pillars. This section is analytical and educational, not personalized advice.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1218.2M | $-229.6M | $33.4M | N/A | $188.5M | $507.8M | $767.4M |
| FY 2024 | $1023.9M | $-341.2M | $-200.6M | N/A | $-65.7M | $502.0M | $524.0M |
| FY 2023 | $571.2M | $-273.0M | $505.7M | N/A | $127.9M | N/A | $522.8M |
Per the SEC financials, operating income was negative across all three reported periods, while net income was positive in FY 2025 and FY 2023 and negative in FY 2024. Per the market data, operating margin is -18.8% and net margin is 2.7%, with gross margin at 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -7.3%, the Altman Z-Score is 1.3, and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.34; the reported debt of $767.4M in FY 2025 against cash of $507.8M is consistent with a leveraged but not extreme balance sheet on the source figures.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all tied to SPHR:
- "Why Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) Stock Is Trading Lower Today" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE, 1h ago). Covers market action only.
- "Sphere Entertainment Stock Sinks as Analysts Say 'Wizard of Oz' Demand Cools" (Barron's, RED, RISK WATCH, 3h ago). Flags softening demand as an analyst concern.
- "Sphere Entertainment: Don't Let The Selloff Spook You" (Seeking Alpha, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE, 6h ago). Commentary on the sell-off.
- "Citizens reiterates Sphere Entertainment stock rating on venue expansion outlook" (Investing.com, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE, 9h ago). References a venue expansion outlook.
- "Why Is Sphere Entertainment Stock Sinking Monday?" (Benzinga, RED, RISK WATCH, 12h ago). Covers the sell-off.
- "Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) Stock Price, News, Quote & History" (Yahoo! Finance Canada, YELLOW, MARKET WIRE, 15h ago). A quote page.
Per the news wire, two RED RISK WATCH items concern softening demand and the sell-off, and four YELLOW MARKET WIRE items cover price action and a venue expansion outlook. The Butterfly supply-chain graph shows no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What specific products and revenue streams generate the $1218.2M reported for FY 2025, and how do they map to the operating losses?
- What drove the swing from net income of $-200.6M in FY 2024 to $33.4M in FY 2025 while operating income remained negative?
- What is the composition of the $767.4M in debt, and what are its maturity and cost terms?
- What does the "Wizard of Oz" demand commentary refer to, and how material is it to revenue?
- What insider, institutional, and analyst positioning exists, given that the holders and analyst sections are empty?
SPHR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Barron's report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
SPHR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $109.14?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SPHR (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $113.10?
Welcome to the SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (121.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on SPHR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SPHR, but look at what you are paying: 121.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Sphere Entertainment Co. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
SPHR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SPHR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $113.10 (52-wk range $64.00 - $181.63), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.