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Why STG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.30 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $30.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.30 (0.00% 1D, market cap $30.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STG compare to YQ and YOUL in the Real Estate sector?
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Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.2M) and YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $34.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?
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Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.30 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE STG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STG SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.79 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$2.62-15.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$2.22+8.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$2.40-4.2% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$2.30-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STG currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.74) and Max Pain ($2.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.33.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why STG Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) slipped 0.00% to $2.30, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.18 – $6.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (80% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.18 – $6.98) with RSI-14 at 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $2.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 86.9% gross margin and $21.0M annual free cash flow.
Live STG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 158d ago
Sunlands Announces Material Asset Disposal for Cash

BEIJING, May 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sunlands Technology Group (NYSE: STG) (“Sunlands” or the “Company”), a leader in China’s adult online education market, today announced that Wuhan Zhizhen Youxuan Online Educatio

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 193d ago
Sunlands Technology Group Files its Annual Report on Form 20-F

BEIJING, April 24, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sunlands Technology Group (NYSE: STG) (“Sunlands” or the “Company”), a leader in China’s adult online education market and China’s adult personal interest learning market, toda

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of STG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.34%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $2.44H $2.44L $2.30C $2.30VOL 902
RES: $2.24SUP: $2.08SMA50: $2.74SMA200: $3.56
$6.62$5.42$4.21$3.01$1.81RES $2.24SUP $2.08$2.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STG)

Real Estate Rank #29 of 51 ⚔️ YQ vs STG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (STG vs. YQ, YOUL, FEDU, AACG)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #35 by equity capitalization ($30.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FEDU leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while STG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 80.4% ROIC and 86.9% gross margin. FEDU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with STG at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STG ACTIVE
Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A)
D 46/100 — 86.9% 80.4% 0.00% $30.8M Benchmark Subject
YQ
17 Education & Technology Group Inc.
D- 42/100 — 47.7% -35.0% +5.20% $29.2M /yq-vs-stg →
YOUL
Youlife Group Inc.
D 44/100 5.9x 10.4% 0.9% -7.07% $34.4M /youl-vs-stg →
FEDU
Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. each ADS representing 10
D+ 56/100 5.2x 25.8% — +5.73% $21.7M /fedu-vs-stg →
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
E 30/100 — 48.6% -35.0% -7.62% $44.5M /aacg-vs-stg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001723935 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) reported GAAP revenue of $288.8M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $272.7M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.3M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $21.0M (-21.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, STG closed FY2025 with $292.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.79, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $288.8M $52.3M $21.0M $21.0M $292.8M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $272.7M $46.9M $26.8M $26.8M $290.6M $4.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $304.2M $90.3M $19.8M $19.8M — —

3. STG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (NYSE: STG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $2.30 (0.00% 1D, market cap $30.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, STG ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STG compare to YQ and YOUL in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), STG carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 86.9%, and ROIC of 80.4%. By comparison, YQ (17 Education & Technology Group Inc.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $29.2M) and YOUL (Youlife Group Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 0.9%, cap $34.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FEDU leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while STG leads on capital efficiency (80.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STG?

Per STG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001723935), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) generated $288.8M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $52.3M in net income, and $21.0M in free cash flow against $292.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STG last traded at $2.30 (0.00% on volume of 102 shares), positioning the stock -16.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.74) and -35.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.56). Across its 52-week range of $2.18 to $6.98, STG sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($2.13 to $2.47).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

STG — Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.30 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $30.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 80.4%, gross margin of 86.9%, operating margin of 18.6%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.79, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.00x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Real Estate sector and the Other Consumer Services industry. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $32.7M market cap in the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) reported $288.8M in annual revenue (up from $272.7M in FY2024, +5.9% YoY) and $52.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($304.2M revenue, $90.3M net income) through FY2025, STG scaled operating cash flow to $21.0M and free cash flow to $21.0M, backed by $292.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Real Estate with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.18 – $6.98 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against 18.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Other Consumer Services (Real Estate), STG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 86.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can STG sustain or expand its 18.6% operating margin and 80.4% ROIC against Other Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $288.8M and free cash flow of $21.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is STG's equity valuation to Real Estate capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

STG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sunlands Technology Group representing (Class A) (STG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 158d ago
Sunlands Announces Material Asset Disposal for Cash

BEIJING, May 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Sunlands Technology Group (NYSE: STG) (“Sunlands” or the “Company”), a leader in China’s adult online education market, today announced that Wuhan Zhizhen Youxuan Online Educatio

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.64 (+14.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported ROIC of 80.4% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to strong profitability and balance-sheet quality.

Reported ROIC of 80.4% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to strong profitability and balance-sheet quality.. When you look under the hood at STG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 86.9% gross margins and 80.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $6.98. My 12M target is $2.64.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.30 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Real Estate.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.93 (-16.1%)
Spot @ $2.30

A 0% FCF yield, a 3/20 whale-flow pillar, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.79 signal weak cash conversion and no institutional support.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on STG: A 0% FCF yield, a 3/20 whale-flow pillar, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.79 signal weak cash conversion and no institutional support.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Other Consumer Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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