Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / STKS / earnings

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The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Q: Where is STKS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STKS last traded at $1.10 (0.00% on volume of 8,355 shares), positioning the stock -25.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.47) and -38.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.07 to $2.65, STKS sits at the 1.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.24).

Q: When is STKS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

Q: How much is STKS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for STKS, spanning a range between $1 and $1.24.

$1.10 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.10

The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $34.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STKS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (NASDAQ: STKS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.10 (0.00% 1D, market cap $34.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STKS ranks #974 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STKS compare to THCH and LVO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), STKS carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, THCH (TH International Limited) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $39.6M) and LVO (LiveOne Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $40.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, STKS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while STKS leads on capital efficiency (2.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STKS?

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Per STKS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001399520), The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. generated $805.7M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), -$92.2M in net income, and -$27.3M in free cash flow against $884.2M in total assets and $334.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.10 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STKS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY STKS SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.72 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.50-26.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.10+1.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.12-1.8% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.10-11.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STKS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STKS currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.47) and Max Pain ($1.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.78.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STKS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “STKS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 22%NO 78%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 27, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.14 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

STKS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 22/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 19.7%

Model Bullish Setup (22/100)Model Risk Weight (78/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-28	$805.7M	-$92.2M	-$27.3M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$673.3M	-$17.1M	-$27.4M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$332.8M	$4.7M	$30.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STKS)

✓Walkthrough of STKS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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STKS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $1.10H $1.10L $1.10C $1.10VOL 8.4K

RES: $1.59SUP: $0.99SMA50: $1.47SMA200: $1.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STKS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STKS Butterfly Map → + Track STKS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STKS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STKS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STKS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STKS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #974 of 1011 ⚔️ THCH vs STKS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STKS vs. THCH, LVO, GENK, SDOT)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) ranks #974 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #848 by equity capitalization ($34.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STKS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while STKS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.5% ROIC and — gross margin. THCH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with STKS at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
STKS ACTIVE The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.	E	22/100	—	—	2.5%	0.00%	$34.9M	Benchmark Subject
THCH TH International Limited	D	48/100	—	—	—	-2.06%	$39.6M	/thch-vs-stks →
LVO LiveOne Inc.	E	25/100	—	15.9%	-35.0%	-6.96%	$40.3M	/lvo-vs-stks →
GENK GEN Restaurant Group Inc. (Class A)	E	17/100	—	—	-35.0%	-8.59%	$52.0M	/genk-vs-stks →
SDOT Sadot Group Inc.	E	29/100	—	1.9%	-35.0%	-5.47%	$21.9M	/sdot-vs-stks →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001399520

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) reported GAAP revenue of $805.7M (+19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $673.3M , and +142.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$92.2M, operating cash flow of $30.3M, and free cash flow of -$27.3M (+0.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, STKS closed FY2025 with $884.2M in total assets against $334.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.72, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-28	$805.7M	-$92.2M	$30.3M	-$27.3M	$884.2M	$334.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$673.3M	-$17.1M	$44.2M	-$27.4M	$960.1M	$328.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$332.8M	$4.7M	$30.8M	$30.8M	—	—

3. STKS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STKS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does STKS compare to THCH and LVO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STKS?

Where is STKS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STKS last traded at $1.10 (0.00% on volume of 8,355 shares), positioning the stock -25.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.47) and -38.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.79). Across its 52-week range of $1.07 to $2.65, STKS sits at the 1.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.24).

STKS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is STKS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 27, 2026.

How much is STKS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for STKS, spanning a range between $1 and $1.24.

Direct Sub-Reports: STKS RQD Cockpit STKS 12M Forecast STKS Earnings & Move STKS Dividends & DRIP STKS Insiders & 13F STKS Whale Options STKS Profit Sankey STKS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

STKS — The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the stock scores 23 out of 100, grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20 (ROIC 2.5%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 5/20 (Altman Z 0.72; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

Investor implications: the cash-generation and flow pillars are weakest, which suggests limited evidence in the source data of self-funded value creation or meaningful accumulation signals. The forensic pillar's Altman Z of 0.72 and Piotroski F of 3/9 point to elevated financial-distress and weak-fundamentals risk by the rating's own framework. A low valuation multiple (EV/EBITDA 6.4) and a price near the bottom of its 52-week range are the main factors a bullish reader might point to, but per the RQD rating these do not offset the forensic and cash-flow weaknesses. Beta of 1.0 means the stock's volatility tracks the broader market; the rating does not treat this as a source of downside protection.

Business

Per the profile, The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue was $805.7M for FY 2025, indicating a substantial restaurant operating base.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$805.7M	$8.0M	$-92.2M	N/A	$-27.3M	$4.2M	$334.0M
FY 2024	$673.3M	$8.9M	$-17.1M	N/A	$-27.4M	$27.6M	$328.1M
FY 2023	$332.8M	$9.3M	$4.7M	N/A	$30.8M	N/A	N/A

Per the market data, operating margin is 1%, gross margin is 0%, and net margin is -11.4%, with ROIC at 2.5%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.72 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported net losses in FY 2025 and FY 2024 alongside negative free cash flow in both years, with cash falling from $27.6M to $4.2M and debt of $334.0M in FY 2025, describe a thin balance-sheet cushion.

Open Questions

What drove the FY 2025 net loss of $-92.2M despite positive operating income of $8.0M, and is it recurring?
Why are EPS and P/E figures unavailable, and what is the per-share earnings profile?
What is the composition and maturity of the $334.0M debt, and how does it relate to the Altman Z-Score of 0.72?
What are the drivers of the FY 2025 revenue increase to $805.7M from $673.3M, and are they organic or acquisition-related?
What is the company's current liquidity runway given $4.2M cash and negative free cash flow?

STKS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. (STKS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STKS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 4d ago

Top 3 Consumer Stocks That May Rocket Higher This Quarter

Visteon, Sea and One Group Hospitality show RSI near 30, signaling oversold conditions and potential value opportunities.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 4d ago

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. to Host Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast at 4:30 PM ET on November 4, 2026

DENVER, October 29, 2026--The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. ("The ONE Group" or the "Company") (Nasdaq: STKS) today announced that Emanuel "Manny" Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Nicole Thaung, Chief Fi

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 89d ago

ONE Group Hospitality Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Yahoo Finance coverage on STKS stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 180d ago

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) Reports Q1 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates

Yahoo Finance coverage on STKS stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 180d ago

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby summary of The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc.'s Q1 2026 earnings call

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 180d ago

The ONE Group Q1 Operating Income Soars 30% Amid Expansion

By Daniella Parra The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq: STKS) said first quarter operating income increased 30 percent as its asset-light expansion approach continues to gain traction. The company said it was on track

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 182d ago

Implied Volatility Surging for The ONE Group Hospitality Stock Options

Investors need to pay close attention to STKS stock based on the movements in the options market lately.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 180d ago

ONE Group Hospitality Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Yahoo Finance coverage on STKS stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STKS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.10?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STKS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.97 (-11.8%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STKS (E • RQD 23/100) a Buy at $1.10?

Welcome to the STKS (The ONE Group Hospitality Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 23/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Restaurants. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.90 (-18.2%)

Spot @ $1.10

Pump the brakes on STKS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STKS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless The ONE Group Hospitality Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.33 (+20.9%)

Spot @ $1.10

STKS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STKS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.10 (52-wk range $1.07 - $2.65), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.