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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / STRR / forecast
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Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.61 -1.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.56

Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $36.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on STRR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is STRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: STRR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $9.61 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $36.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRR ranks #998 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does STRR compare to ACCL and AERT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), STRR carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.4%, and ROIC of -5.3%. By comparison, ACCL (Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 35.4x, ROIC —, cap $34.9M) and AERT (Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $30.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AERT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while AERT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRR?
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Per STRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001210708), Star Equity Holdings Inc. generated $172.2M in revenue (+22.9% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$7.3M in free cash flow against $113.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.56 (-0.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (7)SEC (3)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18% Base Target
$13 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE STRR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for STRR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY STRR SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (39% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$9.99-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$9.94+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$10.00-3.9% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$9.61-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a STRR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While STRR currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.07) and Max Pain ($10.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $STRR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “STRR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your STRR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.61: 1040.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.15
$6,400
$-3,600 (-36.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $7.88
$8,200
$-1,800 (-18.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $12.51
$13,018
+$3,018 (+30.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring STRR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of STRR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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STRR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $9.81H $9.81L $9.61C $9.61VOL 4.3K
RES: $10.82SUP: $9.28SMA50: $10.07SMA200: $10.28
$12.11$11.27$10.43$9.59$8.75RES $10.82SUP $9.28$9.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STRR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 STRR Butterfly Map → + Track STRR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STRR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STRR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STRR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STRR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #998 of 1009 ⚔️ ACCL vs STRR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (STRR vs. ACCL, AERT, RYOJ, BGSF)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) ranks #998 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #843 by equity capitalization ($36.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AERT leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while AERT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 24.7% gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with STRR at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
STRR ACTIVE
Star Equity Holdings Inc.
E 18/100 — 46.4% -5.3% -1.99% $36.2M Benchmark Subject
ACCL
Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
C+ 66/100 35.4x 44.1% — +3.20% $34.9M /accl-vs-strr →
AERT
Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share
C 65/100 11.5x 24.7% 85.0% +3.58% $30.8M /aert-vs-strr →
RYOJ
rYojbaba Co. Ltd.
D 46/100 — 26.6% -19.5% +1.58% $29.2M /ryoj-vs-strr →
BGSF
BGSF Inc.
D- 41/100 — 35.7% -24.2% -5.90% $45.3M /bgsf-vs-strr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001210708 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) reported GAAP revenue of $172.2M (+22.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $140.1M , and +6.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.9M, operating cash flow of -$7.3M, and free cash flow of -$7.3M (-160.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, STRR closed FY2025 with $113.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $172.2M -$5.9M -$7.3M -$7.3M $113.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $140.1M -$4.8M -$2.8M -$2.8M $52.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $161.3M $2.2M $315.0K $315.0K — —

3. STRR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is STRR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Star Equity Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: STRR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $9.61 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $36.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, STRR ranks #998 in composite RQD confidence.

How does STRR compare to ACCL and AERT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), STRR carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 46.4%, and ROIC of -5.3%. By comparison, ACCL (Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 35.4x, ROIC —, cap $34.9M) and AERT (Aeries Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $30.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AERT leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while AERT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STRR?

Per STRR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001210708), Star Equity Holdings Inc. generated $172.2M in revenue (+22.9% YoY), -$5.9M in net income, and -$7.3M in free cash flow against $113.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is STRR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

STRR last traded at $9.61 (-1.99% on volume of 6,086 shares), positioning the stock -4.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.07) and -6.52% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.28). Across its 52-week range of $8.95 to $11.91, STRR sits at the 22.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.41 to $10.81).

Direct Sub-Reports: STRR RQD Cockpit STRR 12M Forecast STRR Earnings & Move STRR Dividends & DRIP STRR Insiders & 13F STRR Whale Options STRR Profit Sankey STRR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

STRR — Star Equity Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $9.61 (-1.99% 1D, market capitalization $36.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -5.3%, gross margin of 46.4%, operating margin of -2.1%, and free cash flow yield of -20.05%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Professional Services industry. The gross margin of 46.4% indicates a meaningful gap between revenue and direct costs, but the source does not explain the underlying activities that generate it. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) reported $172.2M in annual revenue (up from $140.1M in FY2024, +22.9% YoY) and -$5.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($161.3M revenue, $2.2M net income) through FY2025, STRR scaled operating cash flow to -$7.3M and free cash flow to -$7.3M, backed by $113.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -20.05% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.95 – $11.91 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -2.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source therefore does not identify any upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for STRR. The source also does not document second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should treat the absence of mapped links as a gap in the available data rather than as evidence of independence, and should look for disclosed customer and supplier concentration in the company's filings, which the source does not provide.

  • Key Question #1: Can STRR sustain or expand its -2.1% operating margin and -5.3% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $172.2M and free cash flow of -$7.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is STRR's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

STRR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to STRR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

STRR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON STRR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on STRR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.05 (+23.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $140.1M in FY 2024 to $172.2M in FY 2025 while the stock trades near the lower end of its $8.95 - $11.91 52-week rang

The street is overcomplicating Star Equity Holdings Inc. (STRR). Revenue grew from $140.1M in FY 2024 to $172.2M in FY 2025 while the stock trades near the lower end of its $8.95 - $11.91 52-week range.. With an RQD score of 18/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 2/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $10.58.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — STRR's 2/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.43 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $9.80

Negative free cash flow of -$7.3M in FY 2025, an Altman Z of 0.2, and a ROIC of -5.3% leave the valuation without current cash-generati

Careful chasing STRR at $9.80. Negative free cash flow of -$7.3M in FY 2025, an Altman Z of 0.2, and a ROIC of -5.3% leave the valuation without current cash-generation support.. Gross margin is 46.4%, but operating margin is -2.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $8.43 on multiple compression.

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