Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why STZ Stock surged +3.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is STZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $135.33 (+3.82% 1D, market cap $22.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, STZ ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does STZ compare to COKE and ABEV in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), STZ carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 45.1%, cap $13.94B) and ABEV (Ambev S.A. American) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $42.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STZ leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while COKE leads on capital efficiency (45.1% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STZ?
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Per STZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000016918), Constellation Brands Inc. generated $9.14B in revenue (-10.5% YoY), $1.69B in net income, and $1.79B in free cash flow against $21.68B in total assets and $10.29B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 2.72 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the STZ Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, STZ faces multiple-compression risk if 13.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($125.15) or 200D SMA ($141.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($140.20) toward Bear Floor ($109.36).
Why STZ Stock surged +3.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) surged +3.82% to $135.33, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($110.6 – $168.6). Solid 52% profit margin (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($110.6 – $168.6) with RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.2% around $135.33 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 51.6% gross margin and $1.8B annual free cash flow.
CNBC report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Constellation Brands is a Buy, with valuation reflecting a conservative margin of safety and solid long-term growth prospects. Read more on STZ stock here.
'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer talks consumer staples making a comeback.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (STZ Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
STZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STZ today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (STZ)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (STZ vs. COKE, ABEV, FMX, KDP)
Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) ranks #22 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #21 by equity capitalization ($22.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STZ leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while COKE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.1% ROIC and 39.7% gross margin. COKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 82/100 (A-) compared with STZ at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STZ
ACTIVE
Constellation Brands Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 13.1x | 51.6% | 12.0% | +3.82% | $22.06B | Benchmark Subject |
| COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc. | A- | 82/100 | 24.4x | 39.7% | 45.1% | +0.45% | $13.94B | /coke-vs-stz → |
| ABEV Ambev S.A. American | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -0.37% | $42.08B | /abev-vs-stz → |
| FMX Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V. | C | 64/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.46% | $42.34B | /fmx-vs-stz → |
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | C | 64/100 | 23.1x | 54.2% | 7.5% | +1.53% | $48.04B | /kdp-vs-stz → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-02-28 • CIK 0000016918In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28), Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) reported GAAP revenue of $9.14B (-10.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.21B , and -8.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.69B, operating cash flow of $2.67B, and free cash flow of $1.79B (-7.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, STZ closed FY2025 with $21.68B in total assets against $10.29B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.72, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-02-28 | $9.14B | $1.69B | $2.67B | $1.79B | $21.68B | $10.29B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-28 | $10.21B | -$81.4M | $3.15B | $1.94B | $22.81B | $10.19B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-29 | $9.96B | $1.73B | $2.78B | $2.33B | $12.13B | $2.84B |
3. STZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs STZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $135.33 (+3.82% 1D, market cap $22.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, STZ ranks #22 in composite RQD confidence.
How does STZ compare to COKE and ABEV in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), STZ carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 45.1%, cap $13.94B) and ABEV (Ambev S.A. American) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $42.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STZ leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while COKE leads on capital efficiency (45.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for STZ?
Per STZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-02-28, CIK 0000016918), Constellation Brands Inc. generated $9.14B in revenue (-10.5% YoY), $1.69B in net income, and $1.79B in free cash flow against $21.68B in total assets and $10.29B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is STZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
STZ last traded at $135.33 (+3.82% on volume of 3,425,469 shares), positioning the stock +8.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($125.15) and -4.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($141.55). Across its 52-week range of $110.60 to $168.60, STZ sits at the 42.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($128.29 to $142.37).
STZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is STZ stock moving today?
Why STZ Stock surged +3.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 52% profit margin (12% return on capital), mixed timing at 13x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
STZ — Constellation Brands Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, STZ scores 66 out of 100, a C+ grade labeled "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 12%; FCF yield 8.13%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 18/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12/20 (Beta 1.09; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.72; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 1.33). The strongest pillar is insider activity, which the rating treats as the main support for the score. The weakest pillars are institutional flow and macro fit, both at the lower end of their ranges, which is why the verdict sits in neutral territory rather than a bullish call. For a prospective investor, the score implies a stock with a reasonably solid balance sheet and cash generation, but one where institutional momentum has not clearly confirmed the insider signal. The "watch for breakout" framing suggests the rating is waiting for confirmation from institutional flow before a stronger view is warranted. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not a recommendation.
Snapshot
Business
Constellation Brands Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $22.1B. The source data does not specify its product lines, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 51.6%, an operating margin of 29.8%, and a net margin of 18.5%.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $9139.0M | $2721.4M | $1686.7M | N/A | $1794.0M | $152.4M | $10285.1M |
| FY 2024 | $10208.7M | $354.9M | $-81.4M | N/A | $1938.1M | $73.7M | $10185.7M |
| FY 2023 | $9961.8M | $3169.7M | $1727.4M | N/A | $2331.7M | N/A | $2838.5M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $10208.7M in FY 2024 to $9139.0M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $-81.4M to $1686.7M. Debt rose from $2838.5M in FY 2023 to $10285.1M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.72, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 1.33. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scored 14/20 on these measures. ROIC is 12% per the market data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, all six items are tagged with a YELLOW light and a MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines center on beer sales demand durability, a Modelo owner effort to win back beer drinkers as overall demand weakens, a Trefis piece on the biggest threat to the stock, a Yahoo Finance piece describing the stock as undervalued after a 42% three-year slide, and commentary on whether the stock has become a different bet. The source data does not provide the underlying figures or dates behind these headlines beyond the published timestamps. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded for STZ.
Open Questions
- What drove the move in debt from $2838.5M in FY 2023 to $10285.1M in FY 2025, and how is it being serviced?
- Why is EPS reported as N/A across all periods when net income is available, and what is the per-share figure for FY 2025?
- What specific beer demand trends are referenced in the news, and what volumes or revenue lines do they affect?
- Who are the institutional holders and insiders driving the 10/20 flow and 18/20 insider scores?
- What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is reported as N/A?
STZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
STZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $135.33?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is STZ (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $130.35?
Welcome to the STZ (Constellation Brands Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Beverages (Production/Distribution). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on STZ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on STZ, but look at what you are paying: 13.1x trailing P/E with 51.6% gross margins. Unless Constellation Brands Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
STZ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on STZ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Beverages (Production/Distribution) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $130.35 (52-wk range $110.60 - $168.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.