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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SUGP
EHGO (33) CLIK (29) BIYA (18) PMEC (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.60 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SUGP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #820 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.3M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?
▼

Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.6% Base Target
$306 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE SUGP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SUGP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SUGP SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 16% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$2.18-26.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$1.60+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$1.60+0% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$1.60-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SUGP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SUGP currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.93) and Max Pain ($1.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $305.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SUGP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SUGP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
28.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.60H: $291
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on SUGP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 16.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (27)

8/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SUGP
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SUGP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SUGP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SUGP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.73%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $1.60H $1.60L $1.60C $1.60VOL 44.9K
RES: $0.24SUP: $0.80SMA50: $2.93SMA200: $73.52
$194.7$142.4$89.97$37.59$-14.79RES $0.24SUP $0.80$1.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SUGP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SUGP Butterfly Map → + Track SUGP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SUGP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SUGP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SUGP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SUGP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #820 of 1009 ⚔️ EHGO vs SUGP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SUGP vs. EHGO, CLIK, BIYA, PMEC)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) ranks #820 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #986 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUGP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BIYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. PMEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 38/100 (D-) compared with SUGP at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SUGP ACTIVE
SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 — 16.0% — 0.00% $2.6M Benchmark Subject
EHGO
Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)
E 33/100 — 17.0% — -4.50% $2.3M /ehgo-vs-sugp →
CLIK
Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share
E 29/100 — 15.3% — +6.08% $5.5M /clik-vs-sugp →
BIYA
Baiya International Group Inc (Class A)
E 18/100 — 11.5% -34.0% -1.61% $9.4M /biya-vs-sugp →
PMEC
Primech Holdings Ltd.
D- 38/100 — 17.1% — -3.17% $13.0M /pmec-vs-sugp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001969863 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) reported GAAP revenue of $24.7M (+5.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.4M , and +18.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.4M, operating cash flow of -$2.0M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-254.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SUGP closed FY2025 with $16.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $24.7M -$2.4M -$2.0M -$2.2M $16.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $23.4M $1.4M $1.8M $1.4M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $20.9M $1.2M -$1.7M -$1.7M — —

3. SUGP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SUGP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: SUGP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUGP ranks #820 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SUGP compare to EHGO and CLIK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUGP carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.0%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EHGO (Eshallgo Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.3M) and CLIK (Click Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Share) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUGP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BIYA leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUGP?

Per SUGP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001969863), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) generated $24.7M in revenue (+5.5% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $16.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SUGP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SUGP last traded at $1.60 (0.00% on volume of 48,300 shares), positioning the stock -45.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.93) and -97.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($73.52). Across its 52-week range of $1.47 to $291.00, SUGP sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.40 to $1.80).

Direct Sub-Reports: SUGP RQD Cockpit SUGP 12M Forecast SUGP Earnings & Move SUGP Dividends & DRIP SUGP Insiders & 13F SUGP Whale Options SUGP Profit Sankey SUGP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SUGP — SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $2.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of 16.0%, operating margin of -10.4%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in Diversified Commercial Services. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) reported $24.7M in annual revenue (up from $23.4M in FY2024, +5.5% YoY) and -$2.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($20.9M revenue, $1.2M net income) through FY2025, SUGP scaled operating cash flow to -$2.0M and free cash flow to -$2.2M, backed by $16.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.47 – $291.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector classification is Consumer Discretionary, industry Diversified Commercial Services. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can SUGP sustain or expand its -10.4% operating margin and — ROIC against Diversified Commercial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $24.7M and free cash flow of -$2.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SUGP's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SUGP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SU Group Holdings Limited (Class A) (SUGP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SUGP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SUGP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SUGP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SUGP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.84 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $20.9M in FY 2023 to $24.7M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.

Revenue grew from $20.9M in FY 2023 to $24.7M in FY 2025, showing top-line expansion.. When you look under the hood at SUGP, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 16.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $291.00. My 12M target is $1.84.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Commercial Services. If gross margin (16.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.38 (-13.8%)
Spot @ $1.60

Operating income swung from $1.4M in FY 2024 to -$2.6M in FY 2025 with ROIC at 0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9.

Careful chasing SUGP at $1.60. Operating income swung from $1.4M in FY 2024 to -$2.6M in FY 2025 with ROIC at 0% and a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9.. Gross margin is 16.0%, but operating margin is -10.4%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.38 on multiple compression.

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