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SAFE (51) CTO (50) INN (59) ESRT (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Service Properties Trust of (SVC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$6.21 -0.64% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.19

Service Properties Trust of (SVC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $809.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SVC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Service Properties Trust of (NASDAQ: SVC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $6.21 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $809.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SVC compare to SAFE and CTO in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), SVC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -31.3%. By comparison, SAFE (Safehold Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $817.9M) and CTO (CTO Realty Growth Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.8%, cap $778.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAFE leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while ESRT leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVC?
β–Ό

Per SVC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000945394), Service Properties Trust of generated $1.41B in revenue (-5.6% YoY), -$202.3M in net income, and $117.8M in free cash flow against $6.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.19 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 8.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510038
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$13 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SVC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SVC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SVC SCORES 38/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$5.85+4.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$6.10+3.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$6.30-1.4% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$6.21-7.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (30) β†’ D- (38)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SVC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SVC currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.63) and Max Pain ($6.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.76.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SVCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSVC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SVC Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SVC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SVC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SVC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SVC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SVC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.35%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $6.26H $6.26L $6.21C $6.21VOL 1.38M
RES: $7.63SUP: $5.29SMA50: $6.63SMA200: $8.27
$11.06$9.60$8.13$6.66$5.19RES $7.63SUP $5.29$6.212026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SVC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ SVC Butterfly Map β†’ + Track SVC β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SVC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SVC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SVC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SVC)

Financials Rank #935 of 1097 βš”οΈ SAFE vs SVC Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (SVC vs. SAFE, CTO, INN, ESRT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Service Properties Trust of (SVC) ranks #935 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #599 by equity capitalization ($809.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SAFE leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while ESRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.6% ROIC and β€” gross margin. INN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with SVC at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SVC ACTIVE
Service Properties Trust of
D- 38/100 β€” β€” -31.3% -0.64% $809.4M Benchmark Subject
SAFE
Safehold Inc.
D 51/100 7.0x β€” 3.3% -2.77% $817.9M /safe-vs-svc β†’
CTO
CTO Realty Growth Inc.
D 50/100 β€” β€” 4.8% -0.55% $778.7M /cto-vs-svc β†’
INN
Summit Hotel Properties Inc.
C- 59/100 β€” β€” 6.3% -0.84% $765.8M /inn-vs-svc β†’
ESRT
Empire State Realty Trust Inc. (Class A)
D 46/100 β€” β€” 11.6% +1.20% $859.1M /esrt-vs-svc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000945394 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Service Properties Trust of (SVC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.41B (-5.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.50B , and -4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$202.3M, operating cash flow of $117.8M, and free cash flow of $117.8M (-15.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, SVC closed FY2025 with $6.49B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.41B -$202.3M $117.8M $117.8M $6.49B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.50B -$275.5M $139.4M $139.4M $7.12B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.48B -$32.8M $485.5M $485.5M β€” β€”

3. SVC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SVC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Service Properties Trust of (NASDAQ: SVC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $6.21 (-0.64% 1D, market cap $809.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SVC compare to SAFE and CTO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), SVC carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -31.3%. By comparison, SAFE (Safehold Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 7.0x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $817.9M) and CTO (CTO Realty Growth Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.8%, cap $778.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SAFE leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while ESRT leads on capital efficiency (11.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVC?

Per SVC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000945394), Service Properties Trust of generated $1.41B in revenue (-5.6% YoY), -$202.3M in net income, and $117.8M in free cash flow against $6.49B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SVC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SVC last traded at $6.21 (-0.64% on volume of 1,216,555 shares), positioning the stock -6.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.63) and -24.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.27). Across its 52-week range of $5.65 to $12.15, SVC sits at the 8.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($5.43 to $6.99).

Direct Sub-Reports: SVC RQD Cockpit SVC 12M Forecast SVC Earnings & Move SVC Dividends & DRIP SVC Insiders & 13F SVC Whale Options SVC Profit Sankey SVC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 38/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SVC β€” Service Properties Trust of: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Service Properties Trust of (SVC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 38/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.21 (-0.64% 1D, market capitalization $809.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -31.3%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of 14.19%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Service Properties Trust of (SVC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. The profile lists a market capitalization of $0.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Service Properties Trust of (SVC) reported $1.41B in annual revenue (up from $1.50B in FY2024, -5.6% YoY) and -$202.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.48B revenue, -$32.8M net income) through FY2025, SVC scaled operating cash flow to $117.8M and free cash flow to $117.8M, backed by $6.49B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 38/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 14.19% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.65 – $12.15 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The liquidity signal implies that SVC's price is sensitive to changes in net liquidity, so a further contraction in the cited index would be a 2nd-order risk to the stock. Investors should watch whether the High-Yield OAS and net liquidity trends continue in the direction the signal indicates.

  • Key Question #1: Can SVC sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and -31.3% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.41B and free cash flow of $117.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SVC's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SVC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Service Properties Trust of (SVC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SVC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SVC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $6.21?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SVC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SVC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Verified $100K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.82 (+24.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Free cash flow yield of 14.19% and a price near the bottom of its 52-week range at $5.65 - $12.15.

Don't sleep on SVC's setup in Financials. Free cash flow yield of 14.19% and a price near the bottom of its 52-week range at $5.65 - $12.15.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (38/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 38/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $6.26 and keeping dry powder in case we test $5.82.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.76 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $6.26

ROIC of -31.3% with net income negative in FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025 alongside a 1.85x liquidity beta under a BEARISH signal.

Fading this rally in SVC at $6.26. ROIC of -31.3% with net income negative in FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025 alongside a 1.85x liquidity beta under a BEARISH signal.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $6.26 (52-wk range $5.65–$12.15), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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