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TransAlta Corporation (TAC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.7% Move

$12.77 -1.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.71

TransAlta Corporation (TAC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.10B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, TransAlta Corporation (NYSE: TAC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $12.77 (-1.62% 1D, market cap $4.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, TAC ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TAC compare to AQN and PAM in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), TAC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AQN (Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $4.20B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAC?
▼

For TransAlta Corporation (TAC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #53 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.71 (-0.48%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$19 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE TAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TAC SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 2.9% FCF Margin ($114.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$13.22-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$12.97-0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$12.87-0.8% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$12.77-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TAC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TAC currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.42) and Max Pain ($13.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.70.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.7% Swing Band

±$0.86 Expected Swing
$11.91 (-6.7%)Spot $12.77$13.63 (+6.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TAC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 52/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (52/100)Model Risk Weight (48/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TAC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TAC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $13.21H $13.21L $12.77C $12.77VOL 835.5K
RES: $13.42SUP: $11.18SMA50: $12.42SMA200: $12.94
$15.09$14.10$13.10$12.11$11.11RES $13.42SUP $11.18$12.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TAC Butterfly Map → + Track TAC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TAC)

Utilities Rank #53 of 116 ⚔️ AQN vs TAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (TAC vs. AQN, PAM, ELC, OTTR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TransAlta Corporation (TAC) ranks #53 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #61 by equity capitalization ($4.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OTTR leads on earnings valuation at 13.8x trailing P/E, while OTTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and — gross margin. OTTR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with TAC at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TAC ACTIVE
TransAlta Corporation
D+ 52/100 — — — -1.62% $4.10B Benchmark Subject
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
C 62/100 23.1x — 3.7% +2.75% $4.20B /aqn-vs-tac →
PAM
Pampa Energia S.A.
D 45/100 — — — -3.95% $3.96B /pam-vs-tac →
ELC
Entergy Louisiana Inc. Collateral Trust Mortgage Bonds 4.875 % Series due September 1 2066
D- 43/100 — — — -0.11% $3.87B /elc-vs-tac →
OTTR
Otter Tail Corporation
B- 71/100 13.8x — 18.5% +1.28% $3.79B /ottr-vs-tac →

2. TAC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TransAlta Corporation (TAC) operates in Electric Utilities: Central (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $4.10B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TransAlta Corporation (NYSE: TAC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $12.77 (-1.62% 1D, market cap $4.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, TAC ranks #53 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TAC compare to AQN and PAM in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), TAC carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, AQN (Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $4.20B) and PAM (Pampa Energia S.A.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OTTR leads on earnings multiple (13.8x) while OTTR leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAC?

For TransAlta Corporation (TAC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #53 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TAC last traded at $12.77 (-1.62% on volume of 1,213,183 shares), positioning the stock +2.82% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.42) and -1.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.94). Across its 52-week range of $11.38 to $17.81, TAC sits at the 21.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($11.91 to $13.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: TAC RQD Cockpit TAC 12M Forecast TAC Earnings & Move TAC Dividends & DRIP TAC Insiders & 13F TAC Whale Options TAC Profit Sankey TAC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TAC — TransAlta Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TransAlta Corporation (TAC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $12.77 (-1.62% 1D, market capitalization $4.10B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TransAlta Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, specifically the Electric Utilities: Central industry. Its market capitalization is listed as $4.2B. — for product lines, customer base, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.38 – $17.81 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— supply chain is NONE with no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so no dependency, sector-correlation, or bottleneck analysis can be drawn from the sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can TAC sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $17.81 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TAC's equity valuation to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TransAlta Corporation (TAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TAC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.77?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TAC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TAC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.58 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, the strongest reading i

Long TAC at $12.98 targeting $15.58. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20 with an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, the strongest reading in the rating.. Institutional whale score is 8/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $11.38 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Electric Utilities: Central. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.64 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $12.98

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% while the Insider Conviction pillar scores only 9 of 20, leaving the rating in a Sell verdict.

Fading this rally in TAC at $12.98. ROIC and FCF yield are both 0% while the Insider Conviction pillar scores only 9 of 20, leaving the rating in a Sell verdict.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $12.98 (52-wk range $11.38–$17.81), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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