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Taylor Devices Inc. (TAYD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$56.53 +1.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.54

Taylor Devices Inc. (TAYD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $180.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TAYD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TAYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Taylor Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: TAYD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $56.53 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $180.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TAYD ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TAYD compare to AIRJ and RR in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TAYD carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.4x, gross margin of 44.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, AIRJ (AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $191.0M) and RR (Richtech Robotics Inc. (Class B)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.7%, cap $212.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAYD leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while TAYD leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAYD?
▼

Per TAYD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000096536), Taylor Devices Inc. generated $41.6M in revenue (-10.0% YoY), $8.6M in net income, and $4.9M in free cash flow against $72.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $56.54 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 11.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.1% Base Target
$95 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE TAYD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TAYD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TAYD SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 11.7% FCF Margin ($4.9M FCF) & 44.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$56.33-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$55.00+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$56.29+0.4% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$56.53-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TAYD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TAYD currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($58.94) and Max Pain ($59.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $94.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TAYD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TAYD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TAYD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $56.53: 176.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $42.31
$7,485
$-2,515 (-25.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $54.24
$9,595
$-405 (-4.1%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $94.89
$16,786
+$6,786 (+67.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$5674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$8969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$4858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TAYD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TAYD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TAYD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $56.87H $56.87L $55.89C $56.53VOL 16.7K
RES: $70.36SUP: $48.64SMA50: $58.94SMA200: $61.61
$69.31$63.64$57.98$52.32$46.65RES $70.36SUP $48.64$56.532026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TAYD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TAYD Butterfly Map → + Track TAYD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TAYD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TAYD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TAYD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TAYD)

Industrials Rank #239 of 486 ⚔️ AIRJ vs TAYD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TAYD vs. AIRJ, RR, MVST, SERV)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Taylor Devices Inc. (TAYD) ranks #239 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #355 by equity capitalization ($180.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TAYD leads on earnings valuation at 21.4x trailing P/E, while TAYD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.9% ROIC and 44.1% gross margin. TAYD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TAYD ACTIVE
Taylor Devices Inc.
D 49/100 21.4x 44.1% 8.9% +1.15% $180.5M Benchmark Subject
AIRJ
AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A)
E 30/100 — — -4.0% -2.36% $191.0M /airj-vs-tayd →
RR
Richtech Robotics Inc. (Class B)
E 30/100 — 35.9% -6.7% -10.18% $212.8M /rr-vs-tayd →
MVST
Microvast Holdings Inc.
D- 42/100 — 28.6% 1.8% +1.21% $219.5M /mvst-vs-tayd →
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc.
E 32/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -3.46% $225.4M /serv-vs-tayd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0000096536 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), Taylor Devices Inc. (TAYD) reported GAAP revenue of $41.6M (-10.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $46.3M , and -6.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.6M, operating cash flow of $7.0M, and free cash flow of $4.9M (+0.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TAYD closed FY2025 with $72.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $41.6M $8.6M $7.0M $4.9M $72.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-31 $46.3M $9.4M $7.5M $4.9M $62.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-31 $44.6M $9.0M $13.2M $13.2M — —

3. TAYD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TAYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Taylor Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: TAYD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $56.53 (+1.15% 1D, market cap $180.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TAYD ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TAYD compare to AIRJ and RR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TAYD carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.4x, gross margin of 44.1%, and ROIC of 8.9%. By comparison, AIRJ (AirJoule Technologies Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $191.0M) and RR (Richtech Robotics Inc. (Class B)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.7%, cap $212.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TAYD leads on earnings multiple (21.4x) while TAYD leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TAYD?

Per TAYD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0000096536), Taylor Devices Inc. generated $41.6M in revenue (-10.0% YoY), $8.6M in net income, and $4.9M in free cash flow against $72.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TAYD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TAYD last traded at $56.53 (+1.15% on volume of 47,554 shares), positioning the stock -4.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($58.94) and -8.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($61.61). Across its 52-week range of $43.14 to $90.37, TAYD sits at the 28.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($53.03 to $60.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: TAYD RQD Cockpit TAYD 12M Forecast TAYD Earnings & Move TAYD Dividends & DRIP TAYD Insiders & 13F TAYD Whale Options TAYD Profit Sankey TAYD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TAYD — Taylor Devices Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-05-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Taylor Devices Inc. (TAYD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $56.53 (+1.15% 1D, market capitalization $180.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.9%, gross margin of 44.1%, operating margin of 17.6%, and free cash flow yield of 2.66%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Taylor Devices Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. The company reports revenue, operating income, and net income across fiscal years 2023 through 2025, and per the market data it reports gross margin of 44.1%, operating margin of 17.6%, and net margin of 20.6%. — for further detail on how it makes money.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-05-31), Taylor Devices Inc. (TAYD) reported $41.6M in annual revenue (up from $46.3M in FY2024, -10.0% YoY) and $8.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($44.6M revenue, $9.0M net income) through FY2025, TAYD scaled operating cash flow to $7.0M and free cash flow to $4.9M, backed by $72.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 2.66% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $43.14 – $90.37 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 21.4x trailing P/E and 19.8x EV/EBITDA against 17.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector correlations beyond the sector and industry labels, and no bottleneck signals. Investors should watch whether the backlog cited in the Seeking Alpha headline converts into revenue, since the reported revenue decline is the most visible near-term pressure in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can TAYD sustain or expand its 17.6% operating margin and 8.9% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $41.6M and free cash flow of $4.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TAYD's 19.9x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TAYD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Taylor Devices Inc. (TAYD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TAYD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TAYD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $56.53?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TAYD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TAYD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $70.42 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A record $55.2M backlog cited ahead of an earnings recovery could support future revenue.

Long TAYD at $55.89 targeting $70.42. A record $55.2M backlog cited ahead of an earnings recovery could support future revenue.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $43.14 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 49/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $55.89 and keeping dry powder in case we test $51.98.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $46.39 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $55.89

Revenue and operating income declined in FY 2025 and earnings missed estimates by $0.79.

Fading this rally in TAYD at $55.89. Revenue and operating income declined in FY 2025 and earnings missed estimates by $0.79.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $55.89 (52-wk range $43.14–$90.37), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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