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TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$9.87 +1.02% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.87

TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $297.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TBI Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, TrueBlue Inc. (NYSE: TBI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $9.87 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $297.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TBI ranks #714 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TBI compare to III and HCKT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), TBI carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.7%. By comparison, III (Information Services Group Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $295.3M) and HCKT (Hackett Group Inc .) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $318.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCMT leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while RCMT leads on capital efficiency (46.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBI?
β–Ό

Per TBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000768899), TrueBlue Inc. generated $1.62B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), -$48.0M in net income, and -$73.7M in free cash flow against $638.7M in total assets and $65.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.87 (-0.01%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
$12 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TBI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TBI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TBI SCORES 41/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±8.6% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.73 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$8.83-6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$8.29+16.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$9.68+2% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$9.87-7.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (33) β†’ D- (41)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TBI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TBI currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.39) and Max Pain ($10.36) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.58.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TBIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTBI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TBI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TBI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +65.33%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $9.76H $9.87L $9.76C $9.87VOL 167.3K
RES: $9.84SUP: $8.37SMA50: $9.39SMA200: $6.83
$11.52$9.50$7.48$5.46$3.44RES $9.84SUP $8.37$9.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TBI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TBI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TBI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TBI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #714 of 1009 βš”οΈ III vs TBI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TBI vs. III, HCKT, RCMT, ROMA)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) ranks #714 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #643 by equity capitalization ($297.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RCMT leads on earnings valuation at 15.6x trailing P/E, while RCMT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.0% ROIC and 27.5% gross margin. RCMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with TBI at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TBI ACTIVE
TrueBlue Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” 22.8% -11.7% +1.02% $297.4M Benchmark Subject
III
Information Services Group Inc.
B- 71/100 31.5x 43.1% 11.2% +2.95% $295.3M /iii-vs-tbi β†’
HCKT
Hackett Group Inc .
B- 70/100 24.3x 38.3% 14.8% +2.96% $318.9M /hckt-vs-tbi β†’
RCMT
RCM Technologies Inc.
B+ 77/100 15.6x 27.5% 46.0% -0.65% $250.4M /rcmt-vs-tbi β†’
ROMA
Roma Green Finance Limited (Class A)
E 30/100 β€” 17.1% β€” +1.71% $383.0M /roma-vs-tbi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-28 β€’ CIK 0000768899 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.62B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B , and +2319.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$48.0M, operating cash flow of -$58.0M, and free cash flow of -$73.7M (-78.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TBI closed FY2025 with $638.7M in total assets against $65.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.73, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $1.62B -$48.0M -$58.0M -$73.7M $638.7M $65.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $1.57B -$125.7M -$17.1M -$41.2M $675.4M $7.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $66.8M -$14.2M $34.8M $34.8M β€” β€”

3. TBI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TBI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TrueBlue Inc. (NYSE: TBI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $9.87 (+1.02% 1D, market cap $297.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TBI ranks #714 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TBI compare to III and HCKT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), TBI carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 22.8%, and ROIC of -11.7%. By comparison, III (Information Services Group Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 31.5x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $295.3M) and HCKT (Hackett Group Inc .) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 24.3x, ROIC 14.8%, cap $318.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, RCMT leads on earnings multiple (15.6x) while RCMT leads on capital efficiency (46.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBI?

Per TBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000768899), TrueBlue Inc. generated $1.62B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), -$48.0M in net income, and -$73.7M in free cash flow against $638.7M in total assets and $65.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TBI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TBI last traded at $9.87 (+1.02% on volume of 164,899 shares), positioning the stock +5.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.39) and +44.51% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.83). Across its 52-week range of $3.18 to $11.03, TBI sits at the 85.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.6% ($9.02 to $10.72).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 41/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TBI β€” TrueBlue Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $9.87 (+1.02% 1D, market capitalization $297.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -11.7%, gross margin of 22.8%, operating margin of -2.9%, and free cash flow yield of -24.81%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.73, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.24x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, TrueBlue Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Professional Services industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 22.8%, an operating margin of -2.9%, and a net margin of -3%. β€” describes its specific product lines, customer base, or revenue model, so the mechanics of how it earns revenue cannot be detailed from the sources provided.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) reported $1.62B in annual revenue (up from $1.57B in FY2024, +3.1% YoY) and -$48.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($66.8M revenue, -$14.2M net income) through FY2025, TBI scaled operating cash flow to -$58.0M and free cash flow to -$73.7M, backed by $638.7M in total assets against $65.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -24.81% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.18 – $11.03 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -2.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore β€” The only sector-level context in the sources is the news reference to tech visa rules tightening, which the news feed ties to staffing stocks generally.

  • Key Question #1: Can TBI sustain or expand its -2.9% operating margin and -11.7% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.62B and free cash flow of -$73.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $65.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TBI's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TBI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TrueBlue Inc. (TBI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TBI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TBI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $9.87?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TBI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TBI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ FCF Compounder Hunter πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.33 (+16.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $1.57B to $1.62B while the net loss narrowed from -$125.7M to -$48.0M.

Picked up a starter position in TBI in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $9.77. Revenue grew from $1.57B to $1.62B while the net loss narrowed from -$125.7M to -$48.0M.. Trading inside a $3.18–$11.03 52-week range with -24.81% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Professional Services multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $9.77 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.43 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $9.77

ROIC of -11.7% and FCF of -$73.7M against rising debt of $65.8M signal continuing cash burn.

ROIC of -11.7% and FCF of -$73.7M against rising debt of $65.8M signal continuing cash burn.. Look at the math on TBI: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -11.7% ROIC and -2.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Professional Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $8.60 before getting long.

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