ROARABLE
FREE $100K
My Trading Account →
▾
Trading Profile Active
Active Trader
Verified Trader
⚡ My $100K Trading Account → ★ My Saved Watchlist →
🟢 My $100K Account → Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Energy / TBN / earnings
SBR (49) REPX (73) HPK (57) BORR (50) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.4% Move

$29.01 -1.29% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.89

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.03B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TBN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TBN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Tamboran Resources Corporation (NYSE: TBN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $29.01 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TBN ranks #182 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TBN compare to SBR and REPX in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), TBN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.1%. By comparison, SBR (Sabine Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.01B) and REPX (Riley Exploration Permian Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBN?
▼

Per TBN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001997652), Tamboran Resources Corporation generated $110.1M in revenue (+91.6% YoY), -$36.9M in net income, and -$29.6M in free cash flow against $600.6M in total assets and $32.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.89 (-0.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk C-
Cash (6)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$55 Bull$26 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE TBN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TBN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TBN SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 22% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$35.31-17.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$29.02+9.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$31.69-8.5% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$29.01-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TBN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TBN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.77) and Max Pain ($30.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $54.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TBN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TBN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~53 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.4% Swing Band

±$3.02 Expected Swing
$25.99 (-10.4%)Spot $29.01$32.03 (+10.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TBN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 37/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (37/100)Model Risk Weight (63/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$110.1M-$36.9M-$29.6M52%
FY 20242024-06-30$57.4M-$21.9M-$11.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TBN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TBN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
TBN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.96%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $31.14H $31.14L $29.01C $29.01VOL 187.7K
RES: $43.22SUP: $26.87SMA50: $34.77SMA200: $33.97
$42.98$38.68$34.39$30.10$25.81RES $43.22SUP $26.87$29.012026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TBN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TBN Butterfly Map → + Track TBN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +91.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TBN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TBN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TBN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TBN)

Energy Rank #182 of 211 ⚔️ SBR vs TBN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (TBN vs. SBR, REPX, HPK, BORR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) ranks #182 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #136 by equity capitalization ($1.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REPX leads on earnings valuation at 7.2x trailing P/E, while REPX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.2% ROIC and — gross margin. REPX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with TBN at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TBN ACTIVE
Tamboran Resources Corporation
D- 37/100 — — -10.1% -1.29% $1.03B Benchmark Subject
SBR
Sabine Royalty Trust
D 49/100 — — — -0.92% $1.01B /sbr-vs-tbn →
REPX
Riley Exploration Permian Inc.
B 73/100 7.2x — 12.2% -1.53% $1.06B /repx-vs-tbn →
HPK
HighPeak Energy Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — 4.6% -0.46% $1.10B /hpk-vs-tbn →
BORR
Borr Drilling Limited
D 50/100 27.8x — 8.9% -5.98% $1.13B /borr-vs-tbn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001997652 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) reported GAAP revenue of $110.1M (+91.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $57.4M ) , GAAP net income of -$36.9M, operating cash flow of -$29.6M, and free cash flow of -$29.6M (-160.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TBN closed FY2025 with $600.6M in total assets against $32.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.45, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $110.1M -$36.9M -$29.6M -$29.6M $600.6M $32.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $57.4M -$21.9M -$11.4M -$11.4M $362.9M $0

3. TBN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TBN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tamboran Resources Corporation (NYSE: TBN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $29.01 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $1.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, TBN ranks #182 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TBN compare to SBR and REPX in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), TBN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -10.1%. By comparison, SBR (Sabine Royalty Trust) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.01B) and REPX (Riley Exploration Permian Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 7.2x, ROIC 12.2%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, REPX leads on earnings multiple (7.2x) while REPX leads on capital efficiency (12.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBN?

Per TBN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001997652), Tamboran Resources Corporation generated $110.1M in revenue (+91.6% YoY), -$36.9M in net income, and -$29.6M in free cash flow against $600.6M in total assets and $32.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TBN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TBN last traded at $29.01 (-1.29% on volume of 208,422 shares), positioning the stock -16.57% below its 50-day simple moving average ($34.77) and -14.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($33.97). Across its 52-week range of $22.33 to $52.21, TBN sits at the 22.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($25.99 to $32.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: TBN RQD Cockpit TBN 12M Forecast TBN Earnings & Move TBN Dividends & DRIP TBN Insiders & 13F TBN Whale Options TBN Profit Sankey TBN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TBN — Tamboran Resources Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $29.01 (-1.29% 1D, market capitalization $1.03B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -2.71%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.45, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.09x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tamboran Resources Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oil & Gas Production industry. The company carries a market capitalization of $1.1B. Per the market data, its reported gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and its FY 2025 revenue is —.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) reported $110.1M in annual revenue (up from $57.4M in FY2024, +91.6% YoY) and -$36.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($57.4M revenue, -$21.9M net income) through FY2025, TBN scaled operating cash flow to -$29.6M and free cash flow to -$29.6M, backed by $600.6M in total assets against $32.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.71% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.33 – $52.21 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are listed. Upstream dependencies, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the stated sector and industry classification are — The going-concern flag and the move from appraisal into development are the most relevant second-order items for an investor to monitor, since development-stage capital needs would connect to the reported cash of $83.4M and debt of $32.6M.

  • Key Question #1: Can TBN sustain or expand its — operating margin and -10.1% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $110.1M and free cash flow of -$29.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $32.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TBN's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TBN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TBN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TBN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.01?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TBN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TBN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.99 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet strength, with an Altman Z-Score of 5.45 and Debt/Equity of 0.09, gives TBN room to fund development without immediate so

Picked up a starter position in TBN in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $31.14. Balance sheet strength, with an Altman Z-Score of 5.45 and Debt/Equity of 0.09, gives TBN room to fund development without immediate solvency pressure.. Trading inside a $22.33–$52.21 52-week range with -2.71% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Oil & Gas Production multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $31.14 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.60 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $31.14

Negative ROIC of -10.1%, negative free cash flow in both reported years, and a going-concern warning point to continued cash burn witho

Negative ROIC of -10.1%, negative free cash flow in both reported years, and a going-concern warning point to continued cash burn without revenue.. Look at the math on TBN: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -10.1% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil & Gas Production demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $27.40 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE