Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TDS / financials

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Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$34.30 +1.12% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.30

Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.95B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TDS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (NYSE: TDS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $34.30 (+1.12% 1D, market cap $3.95B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TDS ranks #78 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TDS compare to TKC and PHI in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), TDS carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.9%. By comparison, TKC (Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.03B) and PHI (PLDT Inc. Sponsored ADR) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TDS leads on capital efficiency (-1.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDS?

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Per TDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001051512), Telephone and Data Systems Inc. generated $1.07B in revenue (-9.0% YoY), $20.2M in net income, and $199.4M in free cash flow against $8.40B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.30 (+0.01%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 18.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TDS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TDS SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 50% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$34.74-1.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$34.07+4.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$35.69-3.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$34.30-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TDS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TDS currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.22) and Max Pain ($36.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $51.58.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TDS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TDS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TDS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$199.4M (18.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.23B

FY24

Rev $1.18B

FY25

Rev $1.07B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.07B	52%	-9.1%	$20.2M	$199.4M	-1.9%
FY 2024	$1.18B	52%	-16.3%	-$26.5M	$780.4M	-3.2%
FY 2023	$1.23B	52%	-55.6%	-$487.3M	$1.14B	-1.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TDS)

✓Walkthrough of TDS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.73%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $33.92H $34.30L $33.92C $34.30VOL 1.02M

RES: $36.12SUP: $30.25SMA50: $35.22SMA200: $39.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TDS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TDS Butterfly Map → + Track TDS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TDS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TDS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TDS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TDS)

Communication Services Rank #78 of 132 ⚔️ TKC vs TDS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TDS vs. TKC, PHI, TEO, LUMN)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) ranks #78 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #44 by equity capitalization ($3.95B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TDS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.9% ROIC and — gross margin. PHI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with TDS at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TDS ACTIVE Telephone and Data Systems Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	-1.9%	+1.12%	$3.95B	Benchmark Subject
TKC Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS	D	45/100	—	—	—	-1.08%	$4.03B	/tkc-vs-tds →
PHI PLDT Inc. Sponsored ADR	D	47/100	—	—	—	+0.51%	$3.84B	/phi-vs-tds →
TEO Telecom Argentina SA	D	45/100	—	—	—	-4.24%	$4.57B	/teo-vs-tds →
LUMN Lumen Technologies Inc.	D-	37/100	—	41.4%	-13.4%	+1.88%	$5.03B	/lumn-vs-tds →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001051512

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.07B (-9.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.18B , and -12.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $20.2M, operating cash flow of $589.9M, and free cash flow of $199.4M (-74.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TDS closed FY2025 with $8.40B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.07B	$20.2M	$589.9M	$199.4M	$8.40B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.18B	-$26.5M	$1.15B	$780.4M	$13.68B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.23B	-$487.3M	$1.14B	$1.14B	—	—

3. TDS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TDS compare to TKC and PHI in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDS?

Where is TDS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TDS last traded at $34.30 (+1.12% on volume of 1,022,616 shares), positioning the stock -2.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.22) and -13.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($39.49). Across its 52-week range of $30.71 to $49.12, TDS sits at the 19.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($31.25 to $37.35).

TDS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TDS converted $1.1B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $199.4M in free cash flow (18.6% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: TDS RQD Cockpit TDS 12M Forecast TDS Earnings & Move TDS Dividends & DRIP TDS Insiders & 13F TDS Whale Options TDS Profit Sankey TDS News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TDS — Telephone and Data Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:40Z

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$1070.9M	$-97.4M	$20.2M	N/A	$199.4M	$766.0M	N/A
FY 2024	$1176.6M	$-191.3M	$-26.5M	N/A	$780.4M	$363.6M	N/A
FY 2023	$1228.1M	$-682.6M	$-487.3M	N/A	$1141.2M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $1228.1M (FY 2023) to $1070.9M (FY 2025), and operating income remained negative in each reported period. Per the market data, the operating margin is -9.1%, the net margin is 1.9%, and the gross margin is 0%. ROIC is -1.9%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the SEC financials, reported cash rose to $766.0M in FY 2025 from $363.6M in FY 2024, while reported debt is Not available in source data; the RQD rating's Debt/Equity of 0.5 is the only leverage figure provided.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, catalyst items cover fiber transition and value unlocking in Array Digital, a GuruFocus report on a 3.4% share decline with a GF Score of 51 (flagged RED as RISK WATCH), a Simply Wall St valuation discussion tied to fiber and tower growth (flagged GREEN as CATALYST), a preferred-share listing notice for the 6.625% Series UU Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock, and a MarketBeat notice of the Q3 2026 earnings date and estimates. Most other items are flagged YELLOW as MARKET WIRE. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded.

Open Questions

What are reported EPS, debt, and P/E figures, given that the financials show EPS as N/A and debt as N/A across all periods?
What drove the swing from a $-487.3M net loss in FY 2023 to a $20.2M net income in FY 2025 while operating income remained negative?
What are the company's upstream and downstream supply-chain dependencies, given the Butterfly graph records none?
How is the Array Digital value-unlocking thesis reflected in reported segment or consolidated results?
What institutional and insider positions underlie the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction sub-scores?

TDS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TDS Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 15h ago

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Telephone and Data Systems (TDS): Transitioning to Fiber While Unlocking Value in Array Digital

Yahoo Finance report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 21h ago

Telephone and Data Systems Inc (TDS) Shares Fall 3.4% -- What GF Score of 51 Tells Investors

GuruFocus report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/1,000th Interest in a 6.625% Series UU Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock News — NYSE:TDS/PU

TradingView report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Is Telephone And Data Systems (TDS) Undervalued After Its Fiber And Tower Growth Push?

Simply Wall St report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Telephone and Data Systems (TDS) Q3 2026 Earnings Date, Time & Estimates

MarketBeat report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

At 9 a.m. Central on Nov. 6, TDS and Array will webcast their third-quarter results call.

Stock Titan report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

TDS stock: Fiber project reaches more than 3,000 Tennessee locations

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Telephone and Data Systems Inc. (TDS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TDS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.30?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TDS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.85 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TDS (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $33.92?

Welcome to the TDS (Telephone and Data Systems Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $27.81 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $33.92

Pump the brakes on TDS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TDS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Telephone and Data Systems Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $41.04 (+21.0%)

Spot @ $33.92

TDS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TDS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $33.92 (52-wk range $30.71 - $49.12), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.