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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TDW / news
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Why TDW Stock dropped -9.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$79.04 -9.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $77.88

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $4.35B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TDW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $79.04 (-9.49% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TDW ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TDW compare to TRMD and BIPC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TDW carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, TRMD (TORM plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.38B) and BIPC (Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDW leads on earnings multiple (12.7x) while TDW leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDW?
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Per TDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098222), Tidewater Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $333.5M in net income, and $353.3M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $649.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $77.88 (-1.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 26.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510079
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw A- · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (15)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.5% Base Target
$107 Bull$87 Base$65 Bear
📬 FREE TDW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TDW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TDW SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 26.1% FCF Margin ($353.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-6 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
87
Grade A$86.45-6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
84
Grade A$80.81+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
82
Grade A$84.49-6.5% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$79.04+8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (87) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TDW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, TDW faces multiple-compression risk if 12.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.02) or 200D SMA ($79.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($86.51) toward Bear Floor ($64.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TDW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TDW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 79%NO 21%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TDW Stock dropped -9.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) dropped -9.49% to $79.04, trading at 57% of its 52-week range ($49.54 – $101.58). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 57% of its 52-week range ($49.54 – $101.58) with RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.8% around $79.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $353.3M annual free cash flow.
Live TDW Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 1d ago
The Bet Tidewater Holders Made

Simply Wall St report covering Tidewater Inc. (TDW) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TDW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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TDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.23%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $85.28H $87.33L $79.04C $79.04VOL 382.3K
RES: $110.2SUP: $76.82SMA50: $87.02SMA200: $79.58
$104.3$93.00$81.70$70.40$59.09RES $110.2SUP $76.82$79.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TDW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TDW Butterfly Map → + Track TDW →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TDW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TDW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TDW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TDW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #27 of 1009 ⚔️ TRMD vs TDW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TDW vs. TRMD, BIPC, DHT, GLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tidewater Inc. (TDW) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #294 by equity capitalization ($4.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TDW leads on earnings valuation at 12.7x trailing P/E, while TDW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TDW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TDW ACTIVE
Tidewater Inc.
B+ 79/100 12.7x — 15.6% -9.49% $4.35B Benchmark Subject
TRMD
TORM plc
B- 71/100 32.8x — 9.9% -6.72% $4.38B /trmd-vs-tdw →
BIPC
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation
D 50/100 — — — +2.03% $4.61B /bipc-vs-tdw →
DHT
DHT Holdings Inc.
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% -4.64% $4.03B /dht-vs-tdw →
GLNG
Golar Lng Ltd
D 44/100 72.3x — 2.5% -3.31% $4.70B /glng-vs-tdw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000098222 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tidewater Inc. (TDW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.35B , and +33.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $333.5M, operating cash flow of $379.1M, and free cash flow of $353.3M (+38.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TDW closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $649.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.35B $333.5M $379.1M $353.3M $2.39B $649.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.35B $179.0M $282.5M $254.9M $2.07B $571.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.01B $95.6M $104.2M $104.2M — —

3. TDW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $79.04 (-9.49% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TDW ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TDW compare to TRMD and BIPC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TDW carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, TRMD (TORM plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.38B) and BIPC (Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDW leads on earnings multiple (12.7x) while TDW leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDW?

Per TDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098222), Tidewater Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $333.5M in net income, and $353.3M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $649.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TDW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TDW last traded at $79.04 (-9.49% on volume of 780,860 shares), positioning the stock -9.17% below its 50-day simple moving average ($87.02) and -0.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($79.58). Across its 52-week range of $49.54 to $101.58, TDW sits at the 56.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($72.87 to $85.21).

Direct Sub-Reports: TDW RQD Cockpit TDW 12M Forecast TDW Earnings & Move TDW Dividends & DRIP TDW Insiders & 13F TDW Whale Options TDW Profit Sankey TDW News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 79/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TDW — Tidewater Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 79/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $79.04 (-9.49% 1D, market capitalization $4.35B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 20.9%, and free cash flow yield of 8.33%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.48x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Marine Transportation industry (Consumer Discretionary sector) with an equity market capitalization of $4.35B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 20.9%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.6% (free cash flow yield of 8.33%). Within the Marine Transportation peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tidewater Inc. (TDW) reported $1.35B in annual revenue (up from $1.35B in FY2024, +0.5% YoY) and $333.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.01B revenue, $95.6M net income) through FY2025, TDW scaled operating cash flow to $379.1M and free cash flow to $353.3M, backed by $2.39B in total assets against $649.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 79/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $49.54 – $101.58 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 12.7x trailing P/E and 14.2x EV/EBITDA against 20.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can TDW sustain or expand its 20.9% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.35B and free cash flow of $353.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $649.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TDW's 11.8x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TDW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tidewater Inc. (TDW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TDW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TDW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $79.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TDW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TDW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $114.40 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash engine (ROIC 15.6%, FCF yield 8.33%) combined with the highest-scoring insider conviction pillar (18/20) supports the Roara

Don't sleep on TDW's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Strong cash engine (ROIC 15.6%, FCF yield 8.33%) combined with the highest-scoring insider conviction pillar (18/20) supports the Roarable Buy rating.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (79/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $87.33 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $69.86 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $87.33

Institutional whale flow scores only 9/20, and the price sits near the top of its 52-week range (high $101.58) with valuation flagged a

I respect the product at Tidewater Inc., but the stock at $87.33 is a different story. Institutional whale flow scores only 9/20, and the price sits near the top of its 52-week range (high $101.58) with valuation flagged as overvalued in news headlines.. FCF yield is 8.33% and RQD sits at 79/100 (B+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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